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The BBC gets what it deserved
29 January 2004
My faithful reader will be waiting for my thoughts on Lord Hutton's report
issued yesterday.
 | The BBC got what it deserved. In the absence of effective political
opposition the BBC had positioned itself as the de facto opposition to the
government. It took news reporting into the realms of speculation. The checks
and balances that good news organisations have in place were not there. |
 | Tony Blair remains the best Prime Minister that Britain has. Single
handedly he made the Labour Party electable. Without him they may not be
electable. Without him the party may factionalise and fall apart. |
 | Tony Blair still does what he believes is right. What he will have learned
is to make sure that the information that he receives and uses for his
decision making is reliable. I still believe he is sincere. And he states his
beliefs with passion. |
 | Dr. Kelly frankly got himself into a bit of a mess. He said too much to
the wrong people. As Lord Hutton says Kelly was a difficult man to work for
and with. A maverick. |
 | The Conservatives under Howard should be embarrassed enough to be silenced
for a while. Howard has used parliamentary privilege to do all but call Blair
a liar. His accusations are not substantiated in any way by the Hutton report
and an apology is due to Mr. Blair and other members of the cabinet. |
 | The test of a well run organisation is how it manages a crisis. The BBC
did not manage the conflict with the government. The governors did not
investigate the government's complaints. Indeed the BBC almost relished and
encouraged the battle. Hutton recognises that the government behaved
appropriately while the BBC was in his words "dishonest". |
 | The major problem with the Hutton report is not the report itself but its
terms of reference. These were very narrow; to investigate the apparent
suicide of Dr. Kelly. The Hutton inquiry was an inquiry into a particular set
of events, not an inquiry into the decision to go to war in Iraq. Hutton was
not tasked with investigating the accuracy of the intelligence used in the
government dossier on weapons of mass destruction. |
 | Predictably the conservative party and their conservative press colleagues
(Mail, Independent) are calling for a full inquiry on the reasons for going to
war. Hutton did not give them what they wanted. This part of the media will
regard Hutton's report as a whitewash. Strange how everyone accepted a neutral
referee until they found out that they did not agree with the result! |
 | Should there be a further inquiry. Maybe. Should it be public. Probably
not. Firstly we have had enough navel gazing for now. It really is time to
move forward. Secondly there are issues of national security to consider. Did
the intelligence services in Britain, the US and elsewhere, perform
adequately. Probably not. But sorting out the intelligence organisations is
not really a public matter. |
 | In its preparation of the dossier and in its response to the BBC's report
and accusations the government can feel vindicated. But it still has a lot to
prove. The government has lost the support of many in its party in government
and across the country. Little short of unearthing many tonnes of WMD will
regain that support. The damage is done. |
Calling foul on fowl flu denial !
23 January 2004
As a leader you can choose the advisors and senior officers that you have
around you. You can choose sycophants who will tell you just what you want to
hear. They are self serving; and concerned with the preservation of their own
secure and rewarding positions.
Or you can surround yourself with people who will tell you what you need to
hear; their only fear being an argument; not retribution. People who challenge
you; who give you choices; who are not self serving but are serving a greater
interest.
In Thailand we appear to have the former - and that underlies the complete
fowl-up of the current Bird Flu crisis. In Thailand what you read and hear is no
longer what actually happens. The press is self censored and largely uncritical.
Politicians sat what they think they should say; rather than what needs to be
said.
Democracy depends upon trust. When you lie to or mislead the people you lose
that trust.
Now Thailand looks like China but has not learned the lesson. China ignored
SARS for months allowing it to spread to Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong and
Canada. Now for months Thailand has ignored and denied the existence of bird
flu.
This is a government that decries negative news; that is focused upon
maintaining big business (including the massive chicken export business); that
lacks the backbone to acknowledge and accpet criticism and to maybe learn and
improve along the way. "It's not a big deal, we can handle it" said Prime
Minister Thaksin Shinawatra on Friday. He may be right but at a cost; including
the damage done to Thailand's image and tourist business.
Thai farmers had alleged for more than a week that millions of chickens were
dying of bird flu and that the government was engaged in a large-scale cover-up.
But officials maintained until last Friday (23rd) that the chickens were suffering from
fowl cholera - which they said posed no danger to people.
On January 14 the Agriculture Minister said "There has never been an outbreak
of bird flu in Thailand. We have a programme that calls for regular checks of
poultry farms to control diseases." He really should resign.
Consumer advocates, doctors and others argue that the government suppressed
reports of the epidemic to protect exports. One doctor, a medical adviser to the
government was reported as saying that it was national policy to deny the
outbreak. If that is true it is a very alarming, but sadly nor surprising,
report.
With maybe one man's death as well as a number of reported cases of H5N1 (the
version of the virus found in humans) the chicken lunch that the Prime Minister
held last Tuesday with his cabinet in front of invited media is looking in
rather bad taste.
Thailand is among the world's top five poultry exporters and the news sent
chicken producers' share prices plunging.
Despite its similarities to the influenza virus in humans, bird flu very
rarely jumps species to infect people and usually only causes infections in
birds and pigs.
The virus can survive for long periods in the tissues and faeces of diseased
birds and in water but there is no evidence of person-to-person transmission.
Health officials however fear that the H5N1 strain could mutate to allow such
infection.
Avian flu is not a significant threat.....yet. Playing with raw chicken and
chicken carcasses is ill advised. But most of our contact will only ever be with
cooked chicken. The risk is a mutation of the disease allowing human to human
transfer.
Happy and Prosperous Chinese New Year
| January 22 2004
http://www.chinatownchinese.com |

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Introduction
Chinese
New
Year
unlike
the
western
calendar
is
based
on the
lunar
calendar
and a
new
month
begins
with
each
new
moon.
Chinese
New
Year
is the
first
day of
the
first
month
of the
lunar
calendar
and
hence
each
year
Chinese
New
Year
lands
on a
different
day.
On the
22nd
of
January
2004
we
usher
in the
Year
of the
Monkey.
Records
have
traced
the
beginnings
of the
calendar
as far
as
2637
BC. A
full
Chinese
astrological
cycle
takes
60
years
and
passes
through
each
of the
12
animal
signs
5
times,
each
of
which
has
one
"golden"
year.
About
the
Year
of the
Monkey
Everything
will
be
workable
this
year.
At
least
the
agile
Monkey
will
not
give
up
before
trying
every
angle.
There
will
be
success
even
in
impossible
ventures,
there
will
be
inventions
and
improvisations
galore.
Politics,
diplomacy,
high
finance
and
business
will
be
engaged
in one
big
poker
game
with
everyone
trying
to out
bluff
each
other.
A
rather
amusing
and
exciting
time
in
which
everyone
will
be
given
the
opportunity
to try
his
hand
at the
game.
no
direct
confrontation
here,
as the
Monkey
is one
who
can
laugh
off
his
mistakes
and
improve
his
bargaining
prowess
in the
next
round.
This
is a
year
that
will
find
us all
trying
to get
a
better
deal
by
outsmarting
the
other
man.
It his
hard
to
keep
track
of who
is
winning,
as the
right
hand
has no
idea
of
what
the
left
hand
us up
to.
One
thing
is for
sure,
this
will
be an
extremely
progressive
time.
We
will
all
steam
ahead,
and
even
if we
do not
apply
ourselves
to the
utmost,
we
will
be
carried
forward
by the
surging
tide
of the
Monkey's
natural
talent
for
learning
and
advancement.
The
lucky
imp of
a
Monkey
who
rules
this
year
will
urge
us to
gamble,
speculate
and
exploit
risky
but
ingenious
options.
If you
are
quick
on the
draw,
this
year
will
yield
huge
dividends.
It is
definitely
not a
year
for
the
faint-hearted
or
slow-witted.
The
Monkey
gives
no
concessions
and
asks
none
in
return.
If
there
is a
recession,
the
year
of the
Monkey
will
quickly
put an
end to
it.
Business
will
skyrocket
under
his
optimistic
and
shrewd
influence.
The
Monkey's
resourcefulness
will
amaze
and
confound
everyone.
It is
very
interesting
to
note
that
America
was
born
in the
year
of the
Fire
Monkey,
1776.
Perhaps
this
explains
her
phenomenal
growth
and
fantastic
achievements
within
such a
short
span
of
time.
It is
said
that
the
Monkey's
year
will
bring
many
new
and
unconventional
ways
of
doing
things.
The
motto
of
this
year
should
be:
"Don't
take
No for
an
answer!"
The
12
Animals
of the
Chinese
Horoscope
There
are
various
explanation
of the
origins
of the
12
animals
of the
Chinese
Calendar.
The
simplest
explanation
is
that
Buddha,
on the
turn
of a
new
year,
summoned
all
the
animals
to
come
to him
before
his
departure
from
earth.
Only
12
came
to bid
him
farewell,
so
Buddha
honored
them
each
with a
year.
The
order
was
taken
from
the
sequence
that
they
appeared
to
him:
first
the
Rat,
who is
said
to
have
ridden
on the
back
of the
Ox and
jumped
off in
front
of the
Ox
when
they
arrived,
then
the
Ox,
the
Tiger,
Rabbit,
Dragon,
Snake,
Horse,
Sheep,
Monkey,
Rooster,
Dog
and
Pig.
Another
legend
relates
to the
Jade
Emperor....
The
Jade
Emperor,
ruler
of the
heavens
gazed
down
on
Earth
and
was
curious
about
the
animals
that
roamed
there.
He
called
to his
trusted
aide
and
asked
him to
bring
the
animals
to
visit
him in
his
palace.
His
aide
advised
that
Earth
had
thousands
upon
thousands
of
creatures
and to
summon
them
all
would
be
impossible.
The
Jade
Emperor
advised
his
aide
to
bring
only
the 12
most
interesting.
The
Emperor’s
aide
went
down
to
Earth
and
his
first
encounter
was
with a
rat.
He
invited
the
rat to
the
Emperor’s
place
and
ordered
him to
bring
along
his
friend
the
cat.
The
aide
believing
that
the
cat’s
furry
coat
would
please
the
Emperor.
The
aide
continued
on his
journey
and
invited
the
ox,
the
tiger,
the
rabbit,
the
dragon,
the
snake,
the
horse,
the
ram,
the
monkey,
the
rooster,
and
finally
the
dog.
He
ordered
them
all to
be
ready
to
parade
before
the
Emperor
at
dawn
the
next
day.
All of
the
animals
prepared
themselves
for
the
invitation
to an
audience
before
the
ruler
of the
heavens.
The
rat
sought
out
his
friend
the
cat
and
advised
him of
the
invitation.
The
cat
was
excited
to be
chosen
to
meet
the
Emperor
but
was
afraid
that
he
would
not
wake
up at
dawn,
as he
was a
heavy
sleeper.
The
rat
promised
to
wake
him
well
before
the
meeting.
However,
as the
rat
returned
to his
shelter
the
more
he
thought
about
his
friend
the
cat
the
more
he
became
jealous
of the
cat’s
elegant
and
handsome
looks.
The
rat
believing
that
the
cat
would
outshine
him
before
the
Emperor.
He
decided
then
that
he
would
not
wake
the
cat,
as he
knew
the
cat
would
sleep
through
until
noon
and
miss
the
meeting.
The
next
morning
the 11
animals
paraded
before
the
Emperor
in the
palace
courtyard.
The
Emperor
studied
them
in
turn
however
noticed
that
there
were
only
11
animals
before
him.
He
called
to his
aide
and
demanded
to see
the
last
animal
immediately.
His
anger
shaking
the
heavens
and
all of
the
Emperor’s
aides
shook
with
fear.
The
aide
charged
with
the
duty
of
finding
12
animals
quickly
returned
to
Earth
to
look
for
the
cat.
On his
way he
noticed
a
servant
holding
a pig
and
grabbed
the
pig as
a
replacement
for
the
cat.
Back
at the
palace
the 11
animals
tried
to
impress
the
Emperor.
The
first
to be
noticed
was
the
rat
that
sat on
top of
the
Ox’s
back
and
played
music
on a
flute
to
please
the
Emperor.
The
Emperor
was
pleased
with
this
and
gave
the
rat
first
position.
The ox
was
awarded
second
place,
as he
was
kind
enough
to let
the
rat
sit on
his
back.
The
majestic
tiger
was
awarded
third
and
the
rabbit
with
his
soft
white
fur
was
placed
fourth.
The
dragon
was
placed
fifth
as he
reminded
the
Emperor
of a
powerful
snake
with
legs
and
the
snake
was
placed
sixth.
The
remaining
animals
were
placed
in the
following
order:
the
horse,
the
ram,
the
monkey,
the
rooster,
the
dog
and
finally
the
ugliest
of
them
all,
the
pig.
As
soon
as the
Emperor
had
made
his
decree
the
cat
stormed
into
the
palace
and
begged
to be
included
in the
12
chosen
animals.
However
the
Emperor
had
made
his
decision
and
had
assigned
the 12
animals
to the
Chinese
Horoscope
and
their
earthly
branches.
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Monkey
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Born in the 1992, 1980, 1968, 1956, 1944,
1932 |
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Nature
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Clever, energetic and innovative, a fast
learner with good
memory. Should adopt the rules related to
the career and learn more to
communicate with other. |
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Prospect for the Year
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The star is with you and comes with gain
and loss
simultaneously. Learn to be satiated with
your luck and share it with your
love. |
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Rooster
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Born in 1993, 1891, 1969, 1957, 1945, 1933 |
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Nature
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Optimistic and like to work
systematically. Outspoken and
loves to attract attention. Should make
observations in different angles. |
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Prospect for the Year
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A lucrative year is in front of you with
solid
chances. Be determined to score your goals
of fortune and love, one by one. |
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Dog
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Born in 1994, 1982, 1970, 1958, 1946, 1934 |
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Nature
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Faithful and loyalty and a label of
responsibility. Should
make more practical and realistic
consideration to access successful
returns. |
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Prospect for the Year
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Be legitimate and careful with contracts
or documents
and not entering any gambling or risky
investments. Learn how to love with
care. |
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Pig
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Born in 1995, 1983, 1971, 1959, 1947, 1935 |
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Nature
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Knowledgeable in organizing times for
works and leisure.
Fond of enjoying life and forgetting any
targets in life. Should learn to
work harder |
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Prospect for the Year
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Hindrances are tests and accountabilities
of your
wisdom. Stay cool and work hard will help
to find. |
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Rat
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Born in 1996, 1984, 1972, 1960, 1948, 1936
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Nature
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A true opportunist to grab any chances
with her fast
response and connate sapience. Should not
be too mean to create hurting
feelings for people around. |
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Prospect for the Year
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mooth going with career, stay humble with
fortunes.
Love is not to enthralled, but to have
your eyes and your mind wide. |
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