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The BBC gets what it deserved

29 January 2004

My faithful reader will be waiting for my thoughts on Lord Hutton's report issued yesterday.

bulletThe BBC got what it deserved. In the absence of effective political opposition the BBC had positioned itself as the de facto opposition to the government. It took news reporting into the realms of speculation. The checks and balances that good news organisations have in place were not there.
bulletTony Blair remains the best Prime Minister that Britain has. Single handedly he made the Labour Party electable. Without him they may not be electable. Without him the party may factionalise and fall apart.
bulletTony Blair still does what he believes is right. What he will have learned is to make sure that the information that he receives and uses for his decision making is reliable. I still believe he is sincere. And he states his beliefs with passion.
bulletDr. Kelly frankly got himself into a bit of a mess. He said too much to the wrong people. As Lord Hutton says Kelly was a difficult man to work for and with. A maverick.
bulletThe Conservatives under Howard should be embarrassed enough to be silenced for a while. Howard has used parliamentary privilege to do all but call Blair a liar. His accusations are not substantiated in any way by the Hutton report and an apology is due to Mr. Blair and other members of the cabinet.
bulletThe test of a well run organisation is how it manages a crisis. The BBC did not manage the conflict with the government. The governors did not investigate the government's complaints. Indeed the BBC almost relished and encouraged the battle. Hutton recognises that the government behaved appropriately while the BBC was in his words "dishonest".
bulletThe major problem with the Hutton report is not the report itself but its terms of reference. These were very narrow; to investigate the apparent suicide of Dr. Kelly. The Hutton inquiry was an inquiry into a particular set of events, not an inquiry into the decision to go to war in Iraq. Hutton was not tasked with investigating the accuracy of the intelligence used in the government dossier on weapons of mass destruction.
bulletPredictably the conservative party and their conservative press colleagues (Mail, Independent) are calling for a full inquiry on the reasons for going to war. Hutton did not give them what they wanted. This part of the media will regard Hutton's report as a whitewash. Strange how everyone accepted a neutral referee until they found out that they did not agree with the result!
bulletShould there be a further inquiry. Maybe. Should it be public. Probably not. Firstly we have had enough navel gazing for now. It really is time to move forward. Secondly there are issues of national security to consider. Did the intelligence services in Britain, the US and elsewhere, perform adequately. Probably not. But sorting out the intelligence organisations is not really a public matter.
bulletIn its preparation of the dossier and in its response to the BBC's report and accusations the government can feel vindicated. But it still has a lot to prove. The government has lost the support of many in its party in government and across the country. Little short of unearthing many tonnes of WMD will regain that support. The damage is done.

Calling foul on fowl flu denial !

23 January 2004

As a leader you can choose the advisors and senior officers that you have around you. You can choose sycophants who will tell you just what you want to hear. They are self serving; and concerned with the preservation of their own secure and rewarding positions.

Or you can surround yourself with people who will tell you what you need to hear; their only fear being an argument; not retribution. People who challenge you; who give you choices; who are not self serving but are serving a greater interest.

In Thailand we appear to have the former - and that underlies the complete fowl-up of the current Bird Flu crisis. In Thailand what you read and hear is no longer what actually happens. The press is self censored and largely uncritical. Politicians sat what they think they should say; rather than what needs to be said.

Democracy depends upon trust. When you lie to or mislead the people you lose that trust.

Now Thailand looks like China but has not learned the lesson. China ignored SARS for months allowing it to spread to Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong and Canada. Now for months Thailand has ignored and denied the existence of bird flu.

This is a government that decries negative news; that is focused upon maintaining big business (including the massive chicken export business); that lacks the backbone to acknowledge and accpet criticism and to maybe learn and improve along the way. "It's not a big deal, we can handle it" said Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra on Friday. He may be right but at a cost; including the damage done to Thailand's image and tourist business.

Thai farmers had alleged for more than a week that millions of chickens were dying of bird flu and that the government was engaged in a large-scale cover-up.

But officials maintained until last Friday (23rd) that the chickens were suffering from fowl cholera - which they said posed no danger to people.

On January 14 the Agriculture Minister said "There has never been an outbreak of bird flu in Thailand. We have a programme that calls for regular checks of poultry farms to control diseases." He really should resign.

Consumer advocates, doctors and others argue that the government suppressed reports of the epidemic to protect exports. One doctor, a medical adviser to the government was reported as saying that it was national policy to deny the outbreak. If that is true it is a very alarming, but sadly nor surprising, report.

With maybe one man's death as well as a number of reported cases of H5N1 (the version of the virus found in humans) the chicken lunch that the Prime Minister held last Tuesday with his cabinet in front of invited media is looking in rather bad taste.

Thailand is among the world's top five poultry exporters and the news sent chicken producers' share prices plunging. 

Despite its similarities to the influenza virus in humans, bird flu very rarely jumps species to infect people and usually only causes infections in birds and pigs.

The virus can survive for long periods in the tissues and faeces of diseased birds and in water but there is no evidence of person-to-person transmission.

Health officials however fear that the H5N1 strain could mutate to allow such infection.

Avian flu is not a significant threat.....yet. Playing with raw chicken and chicken carcasses is ill advised. But most of our contact will only ever be with cooked chicken. The risk is a mutation of the disease allowing human to human transfer.

 

 

Happy and Prosperous Chinese New Year

January 22 2004

http://www.chinatownchinese.com


 
Introduction
Chinese New Year unlike the western calendar is based on the lunar calendar and a new month begins with each new moon. Chinese New Year is the first day of the first month of the lunar calendar and hence each year Chinese New Year lands on a different day. On the 22nd of January 2004 we usher in the Year of the Monkey. Records have traced the beginnings of the calendar as far as 2637 BC. A full Chinese astrological cycle takes 60 years and passes through each of the 12 animal signs 5 times, each of which has one "golden" year.

About the Year of the Monkey
Everything will be workable this year. At least the agile Monkey will not give up before trying every angle. There will be success even in impossible ventures, there will be inventions and improvisations galore. Politics, diplomacy, high finance and business will be engaged in one big poker game with everyone trying to out bluff each other. A rather amusing and exciting time in which everyone will be given the opportunity to try his hand at the game. no direct confrontation here, as the Monkey is one who can laugh off his mistakes and improve his bargaining prowess in the next round.

This is a year that will find us all trying to get a better deal by outsmarting the other man. It his hard to keep track of who is winning, as the right hand has no idea of what the left hand us up to. One thing is for sure, this will be an extremely progressive time. We will all steam ahead, and even if we do not apply ourselves to the utmost, we will be carried forward by the surging tide of the Monkey's natural talent for learning and advancement.

The lucky imp of a Monkey who rules this year will urge us to gamble, speculate and exploit risky but ingenious options. If you are quick on the draw, this year will yield huge dividends. It is definitely not a year for the faint-hearted or slow-witted. The Monkey gives no concessions and asks none in return. If there is a recession, the year of the Monkey will quickly put an end to it. Business will skyrocket under his optimistic and shrewd influence. The Monkey's resourcefulness will amaze and confound everyone.

It is very interesting to note that America was born in the year of the Fire Monkey, 1776. Perhaps this explains her phenomenal growth and fantastic achievements within such a short span of time. It is said that the Monkey's year will bring many new and unconventional ways of doing things. The motto of this year should be: "Don't take No for an answer!"

The 12 Animals of the Chinese Horoscope
There are various explanation of the origins of the 12 animals of the Chinese Calendar.

The simplest explanation is that Buddha, on the turn of a new year, summoned all the animals to come to him before his departure from earth. Only 12 came to bid him farewell, so Buddha honored them each with a year. The order was taken from the sequence that they appeared to him: first the Rat, who is said to have ridden on the back of the Ox and jumped off in front of the Ox when they arrived, then the Ox, the Tiger, Rabbit, Dragon, Snake, Horse, Sheep, Monkey, Rooster, Dog and Pig.

Another legend relates to the Jade Emperor....
The Jade Emperor, ruler of the heavens gazed down on Earth and was curious about the animals that roamed there. He called to his trusted aide and asked him to bring the animals to visit him in his palace. His aide advised that Earth had thousands upon thousands of creatures and to summon them all would be impossible. The Jade Emperor advised his aide to bring only the 12 most interesting.

The Emperor’s aide went down to Earth and his first encounter was with a rat. He invited the rat to the Emperor’s place and ordered him to bring along his friend the cat. The aide believing that the cat’s furry coat would please the Emperor. The aide continued on his journey and invited the ox, the tiger, the rabbit, the dragon, the snake, the horse, the ram, the monkey, the rooster, and finally the dog. He ordered them all to be ready to parade before the Emperor at dawn the next day.

All of the animals prepared themselves for the invitation to an audience before the ruler of the heavens. The rat sought out his friend the cat and advised him of the invitation. The cat was excited to be chosen to meet the Emperor but was afraid that he would not wake up at dawn, as he was a heavy sleeper. The rat promised to wake him well before the meeting. However, as the rat returned to his shelter the more he thought about his friend the cat the more he became jealous of the cat’s elegant and handsome looks. The rat believing that the cat would outshine him before the Emperor. He decided then that he would not wake the cat, as he knew the cat would sleep through until noon and miss the meeting.

The next morning the 11 animals paraded before the Emperor in the palace courtyard. The Emperor studied them in turn however noticed that there were only 11 animals before him. He called to his aide and demanded to see the last animal immediately. His anger shaking the heavens and all of the Emperor’s aides shook with fear.

The aide charged with the duty of finding 12 animals quickly returned to Earth to look for the cat. On his way he noticed a servant holding a pig and grabbed the pig as a replacement for the cat.

Back at the palace the 11 animals tried to impress the Emperor. The first to be noticed was the rat that sat on top of the Ox’s back and played music on a flute to please the Emperor. The Emperor was pleased with this and gave the rat first position. The ox was awarded second place, as he was kind enough to let the rat sit on his back.

The majestic tiger was awarded third and the rabbit with his soft white fur was placed fourth. The dragon was placed fifth as he reminded the Emperor of a powerful snake with legs and the snake was placed sixth. The remaining animals were placed in the following order: the horse, the ram, the monkey, the rooster, the dog and finally the ugliest of them all, the pig.

As soon as the Emperor had made his decree the cat stormed into the palace and begged to be included in the 12 chosen animals. However the Emperor had made his decision and had assigned the 12 animals to the Chinese Horoscope and their earthly branches.

 


Monkey
Born in the 1992, 1980, 1968, 1956, 1944, 1932
Nature
Clever, energetic and innovative, a fast learner with good
memory. Should adopt the rules related to the career and learn more to
communicate with other.
Prospect for the Year
The star is with you and comes with gain and loss
simultaneously. Learn to be satiated with your luck and share it with your
love.
 

Rooster
Born in 1993, 1891, 1969, 1957, 1945, 1933
Nature
Optimistic and like to work systematically. Outspoken and
loves to attract attention. Should make observations in different angles.
Prospect for the Year
A lucrative year is in front of you with solid
chances. Be determined to score your goals of fortune and love, one by one.
 

Dog
Born in 1994, 1982, 1970, 1958, 1946, 1934
Nature
Faithful and loyalty and a label of responsibility. Should
make more practical and realistic consideration to access successful
returns.
Prospect for the Year
Be legitimate and careful with contracts or documents
and not entering any gambling or risky investments. Learn how to love with
care.
 

Pig
Born in 1995, 1983, 1971, 1959, 1947, 1935
Nature
Knowledgeable in organizing times for works and leisure.
Fond of enjoying life and forgetting any targets in life. Should learn to
work harder
Prospect for the Year
Hindrances are tests and accountabilities of your
wisdom. Stay cool and work hard will help to find.
 

Rat
Born in 1996, 1984, 1972, 1960, 1948, 1936
Nature
A true opportunist to grab any chances with her fast
response and connate sapience. Should not be too mean to create hurting
feelings for people around.
Prospect for the Year
mooth going with career, stay humble with fortunes.
Love is not to enthralled, but to have your eyes and your mind wide.