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Dubai Investment Watch - watching Dubai buy
the World one piece at a time
The UAE, led by Dubai, is on an unprecedented asset buying spree and this
page will follow some of the investors that are leading the way.
Dubai buys South African
game reserves
20 March 2008
State-owned conglomerate Dubai World has bought major shareholdings in three
South African game reserves in the latest in a string of investments in the
African continent.
Subsidiary Dubai World Africa said on Monday it has acquired 80%
stakes in the Shamwari Game Reserve, Sanbona Wildlife Reserve and Jock
Safari Lodge.
The firm did not disclose how much it paid for the stakes, although local
press reported the Shamwari deal to be worth in the region of 600 million
South African rand ($74 million).
The three
parks were founded by the ecotourism entrepreneur Adrian Gardiner, who will
continue as managing director and a minority shareholder.
A “subbrand”, Dubai World Conservation Africa, has been created to handle
“ecotourism for the company in Africa”, the company told Johannesburg’s
Business Day.
The company has previously said it intends to invest around $1.5 billion in
Africa over the next five years.
Its current portfolio of African properties includes the iconic Victoria &
Alfred Waterfront and the Pearl Valley Signature Golf Estate and Spa, both
in Cape Town, South Africa, the Kempinski Beach Resort in the Comoros, One &
Only Zanzibar, Djibouti Palace Kempinski and Nyungwe, Akagera National Park
and Gorilla’s Nest Lodge, all in Rwanda.
Dubai on resort shopping spree
3 March 2008
United Arab Emirate Dubai is
teeing up bids worth at least £400m for three premier Scottish golf courses:
Turnberry, Gleneagles and Loch Lomond.
It is understood that Dubai World, a state-owned business with interests in
leisure, property, financial services and container ports, is in advanced
talks to acquire the Turnberry course and adjacent luxury hotel from its US
owner, Starwood Hotels and Resorts.
Turnberry, which is hosting the Open Championship in 2009, was put up for
sale at the end of last year. Starwood is selling on condition it retains
the right to manage the resort after a sale is agreed.
Dubai is building itself into an international tourism and business hub. It
has benefited from the sky-high cost of oil, attracting hugely wealthy
Middle Eastern investors, although the emirate itself has very little in the
way of natural resources.
A source in the Gulf says: 'Dubai is seeking trophy sporting assets. It
wants to be behind leading golfing tournaments, which would help it to
promote its own Dubai Desert Classic competition.'
Gleneagles is owned by beer and spirits giant Diageo and is due to host the
Ryder Cup in 2014. Tournaments at Loch Lomond include the Barclays Scottish
Open and Solheim Cup.
A Dubai World subsidiary took over UK ports operator P&O three years ago, in
a deal worth £3.8bn.
Dubai's Investment Reach
From the Middle East Media
Research Institute
5 September 2007
The massive increase in oil
revenues in most of the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) -
Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman and Kuwait - has
created unprecedented opportunities for the building of infrastructure, the
provision of social services and, at the same time, for investments
overseas.
These investments have been
channeled through two principal pipelines - acquisition of assets and the
purchase of shares in high quality financial and industrial firms. According
to the London daily Al-Sharq Al-Awsat of August 13, the Gulf
countries have channeled $140 billion for overseas investments in the last
three years. In a relatively short time, some of the Gulf countries have
become respectable actors on the international financial scene.
At the same time, a hospitable
investment environment, the privatization of state-owned entities, and the
prospects of mutually profitable deals have attracted a massive influx of
Western financial services and industry to the Gulf region. The opening of
the real estate market for foreign investors, particularly in Dubai, has
created a massive construction boom which is fueling economic growth at a
rapid rate.
The purpose of this article is to
shed light on the investment activities of Dubai, and on how an enlightened
and entrepreneurial leadership has turned what was a small desert outpost
just a few decades ago into a bustling metropolis with a vigorous economy
that is subject to both envy and emulation.
Increased Investment Power
Economies in the Middle East and
North Africa [MENA] in general have grown by more than 5% in each of the
last three years on account of substantial oil revenues. As the main
suppliers of oil in the region, the Gulf countries - and, chiefly among
them, the United Arab Emirates [UAE] - have experienced unprecedented levels
of growth.
In contrast to the earlier oil
booms of the 1970s and 1980s, however, these countries are not squandering
their oil revenues on spending sprees, but rather are focusing on
diversifying their assets and buttressing their fiscal solvency through
massive investment schemes.
Dubai, one of the seven emirates
that make up the UAE, in particular, exemplifies the investment trends of
the Middle East, mostly on account of the fact that it is an investment
powerhouse out of necessity. The emirate seeks to open itself to and extend
its reach within international markets in order to hedge any risk it faces
due to the steady decline of its oil and gas reserves, which are expected to
reach depletion within twenty years. Dubai currently has a strong penchant
for the real-estate sector, but is learning to thoroughly diversify its
assets in its search for some high-yielding financial instruments.
Large current account surpluses
have allowed much of this investment to take place through sovereign funds,
which, in the past, were traditionally held only to protect domestic
currencies and banks. Sovereign fund investment is a trend not limited to
Gulf countries; the global total of sovereign funds may be $2.5 trillion by
the end of this year, and could reach $12 trillion by 2015 on account of
capital appreciation. Sovereign wealth funds may soon become the most
important buyers of stocks and bonds, and oil countries account for about
two-thirds of such assets globally.
Attracting Western Industries
The current generation of
economic and industry ministers in the Gulf region is largely composed of
men who began their careers in the private sector. This correlates with
efforts in almost all MENA countries to increase the privatization of
state-owned entities in an attempt to create an "open market" atmosphere. As
the Middle East daily Al-Sharq Al-Awsat reported on August 8, 2007,
an international investment firm in Kuwait noted that privatization trends
in Gulf countries - which are competing amongst themselves to become the
next global "financial capitol" - are reflected in the flow of private
capital into publicly traded stocks and other financial instruments. In 2006
this amount totaled $7.07 billion, which was a 61.6% increase over the
previous year.
As regional investment levels
skyrocket, from both private and public sources, local private investment
funds are scrambling to attain access to European and American markets so
that shareholders can enjoy even higher returns on their assets. In the end,
this has pulled many Western services and industries, attracted to the
copious amount of funds that proximity to potential investors can yield,
into the Gulf region.
The Carlyle Group LP says that
the Middle East is now the “hot spot” for private equity deals, and HSBC
reports that as much as one third of all project finance involves Middle
Eastern projects. Dubai is a particular hub of this activity. The chief
executive of oil services company Halliburton has recently opted to relocate
at least part of the company’s corporate and executive headquarters from
Houston to Dubai. Other prospective buyers of property in the emirate
include Oracle, Cisco and Microsoft.
Indeed, Dubai has made itself
fertile ground for a Western economic presence with its free trade zones, in
which companies are not held to the standard UAE requirement that all
entities be majority-owned by a UAE national. Various information technology
firms, investment banks and media corporations have holed themselves up in
these territories, and officials expect finance alone to quadruple its
contribution to the emirate’s GDP to $15 billion by 2015.
Low tariffs, low currency risk,
the absence of restrictions on repatriation of profits, a small national
bureaucracy, and UAE laws that forbid corporate and sales taxes helped the
number of Greenfield projects [certain types of investment ventures] within
Dubai alone to rise from 88 in 2002 to 215 in 2005. As such, non-oil growth
has average 10.6% annually over the past five years. In turn, state-oriented
investment facilities such as Dubai International Capital, Istithmar
[investment holding company] and DIFC Investments have taken stakes in HSBC,
Standard Chartered Bank, Blackstone [private equity fund] and Deutsche Bank.
Qatar is following in Dubai’s
footsteps, announcing on July 16, 2007 the unification of its regulatory
system, and its intention to rewrite outdated legal codes for commercial and
financial transactions that may act as barriers to entry for international
firms.
On a smaller scale, many US
companies are moving into the region to bolster the sugar industry, which
has had to quickly develop after the World Trade Organization capped exports
of sugar from the EU in July 2006. With the Gulf’s large number of transport
vessels, it is a magnet for much of the half-billion dollars being invested
in sugar output production.
A Mastercard survey also
indicated that consumer confidence in the region is at an all time high, and
so spending is soaring in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE. Owing to
this and the decline of the dollar, to which all of the Gulf currencies are
pegged with the exception of Kuwait’s, some American products are getting a
boost. For instance, June was the best month for General Motors in the
Persian Gulf because its cars were enjoying an advantage over Japanese and
European cars. If the spending trend continues, other Western manufacturing
may be pulled into the Gulf’s orbit
Expanding Horizons
While Western banking, financial,
and information technology industries are rapidly being drawn to the Gulf
countries, Gulf investment is not necessarily giving preferential treatment
to the Western hemisphere that has largely responsible for its explosion of
financial power.
While it is true that various
emirate companies invested $3.5 billion in the US last year, many of those
same companies are also shifting their interest to Asian markets on account
of the falling dollar and for the sake of diversification:
- Dubai International Capital and
DIFC Investments are working to extend their reach into Pakistan, India and
South Korea.
- Istithmar’s real estate arm,
which is part of the Dubai World group of companies, plans to increase the
5% of its assets it has invested in Asia to 30% within five years.
- The Dubai government firm Emaar
is responsible for the housing boom taking place across Asia, most recently
securing a deal to construct a 1,200-hectare project, set on the pristine
Mandalika Beach, estimated at $600 million in worth.
- Remaining oil exports in the
Dubai are being used to help launch the Dubai Mercantile Exchange, a joint
venture with Nymex that is to create a futures market for Mideast crude oil
exported to Asia.
- Dubai Ports World, in its
attempt to double its capacity in 10 years, is developing terminals in
China, India, Vietnam and Pakistan.
There has also been a trend of
increased cross-border investment within the Gulf and larger MENA regions.
Part of the reason behind this trend is a post-9/11 sentiment in the Arab
world that the West, and especially the US, is unwelcoming of Arab
investment. This fear did not seem entirely unfounded in 2006, when the U.S.
House of Representatives passed legislation forbidding Dubai Ports World
from gaining operations of ports in major American cities, citing that
al-Qaeda funding had passed through UAE banks, albeit unbeknownst to the
government, prior to 9/11. [This caused a showdown between Congress and the
White House, which supported the deal, and much controversy ensued.]
As an example, construction
company Emaar’s most recent press releases discuss not Western development,
but a $500 million deal to build Samara Dead Sea Golf and Beach resort in
Jordan, and a memorandum of understanding with a Saudi energy company on
plans for the construction of an open-cycle gas turbine power plant for King
Abdullah Economic City in Saudi Arabia.
Mergers and Acquisitions
Arabic satellite television has
allowed Gulf companies to develop strong regional brands, and then take
their business to a global level. The substantial revenues produced by this
trend have enabled more mergers and acquisitions to take place. For example,
Qatar Telecommunications Co. paid $3.7 billion for a 51% stake in Kuwait’s
National Mobile Telecommunications Co., while Abraaj Capital, the MENA’s
largest private equity firm, paid around $1.4 billion for Egypt’s largest
private sector fertilizer manufacturer.
The Gulf’s stepped up
trans-shipment and trading hub status means that it is also increasing its
trading links with Iran. Each year, chemicals, oil production equipment, and
computer technology enter into Iran via the UAE, which, in theory, assists
Iran in its quest to develop its industry and become more economically
autonomous. The US also suspects that some equipment transshipped through
Dubai ports may have been used by Iran for its nuclear program.
Conclusion
These investment patterns place
the Gulf region, and especially the UAE, in a unique position. As
relationships increase in number and depth within certain markets, namely
Iran and China, diplomatic ties with Washington and Europe will probably
occasionally feel a squeeze.
Sovereign wealth funds are set to
grow in the short and medium-term at least, and as they do so it is
inevitable that the economic sway held by Gulf countries, by nature of their
voracious appetite for foreign investment, will increase dramatically. Of
course, there will be repercussions to this new scheme of sovereign
investment. But one should expect Western industries, especially financial
services, to continue to converge upon and cater to the burgeoning market of
the Gulf. At the same time, Asian markets - especially real-estate sectors -
will be able to count on continued attention from the oil producing asset
powerhouses.
* Bianca Gersten is a
researcher at
www.memrieconomicblog.org.
Dubai Aerospace
goes shopping
23 August 2007
In a move that
should be seen as a significant threat to the well established airplane
leasing companies Dubai Aerospace Enterprises (DAE) announced plans to buy
at least 125 planes worth over $4 billion for its leasing unit over the next
five years, part of its drive to become one of the world’s largest airport
and aviation services companies.
The state-owned company, which was formed last year, may seek an initial
public offering (IPO) to purchase the planes from Airbus and Boeing, the
head of the company’s leasing unit told Bloomberg on Wednesday.
The leasing unit
will attempt to purchase some planes initially from leasing companies, but
will focus mainly on sale-lease back agreements with airlines and consider
direct purchases from Airbus and Boeing by 2012.
About 70 to 80% of the planes DAE Capital acquires will involve direct
orders from airlines, Genise said, mainly consisting of a wider variety of
single aisle and wider-bodied Airbus and Boeing planes.
The company is considering single-aisle planes including Boeing 737-700s,
737-800s and Airbus A320s and A319s. Wide-body models being looked at
include Airbus's A330-200 and the planned A350 as well as Boeing's
777-200-LR, 777-300-ER, 747-400 freighter and planned 747-8 freighter.
Basically a little bit of everything!
DAEis currently on a massive expansion drive aimed turning it into a global
player in the airport and aviation services industry.
DAE, which also owns Dubai International Airport, is currently attempting to
acquire a controlling stake in New Zealand’s Auckland airport, and earlier
this month bought US aircraft maintenance firms Landmark Aviation and
Standard Aero for $1.9 billion. It has also been linked with the UK's second
busiest airport, Gatwick, which is expected to be auctioned off in the
coming months.
DAE has previously said it plans to invest $15 billion in airport
development and aeroplane leasing and servicing worldwide.
Dubai goes
gambling
23 August 2007
Am i the only one
who finds it rather strange that a country where gambling is illegal is
making a multi billion dollar investment in one of the World's best known
gaming businesses.
Dubai World said
yesterday that it will invest up to $5.2 billion in MGM Mirage, making the
investment holding firm of the Dubai government a major player in Las Vegas,
the biggest gambling destination in the US.
MGM shares jumped
10%, or $7.46, to $81.78 in early trading on the New York Stock Exchange.
Dubai World said it will buy a 9.5% stake in MGM for about $2.4 billion. It
will also invest about $2.7 billion to acquire a 50% stake in MGM's
CityCenter project, a $7.4 billion, 76-acre Las Vegas development of hotels,
condos and retail outlets due to open in 2009.
Dubai World will
pay MGM Mirage an additional $100 million if the project opens on time and
on budget.
The investment firm will buy 14.2 million shares from MGM Mirage at $84
each, a premium of about 13% over Tuesday's closing price. The firm will
also issue a public tender for an additional 14.2 million shares at the same
price. The public tender is due to begin during the week of August 27.
Government owned Dubai World
pointed out that the company had long owned a small stake in Kerzner
International - the owner of the Bahamas' Paradise Island casino. The
investment company indicated that it would like to increase its stake in MGM
to 20% once it receives approval from gaming regulators.
Dubai World's activities in its home
nation include building two luxurious off-shore residential projects - the
World and the Palm. The company's recent overseas ventures include buying
the QE2, the W Hotel in New York's Union Square and the department store
group Barneys.
Two years ago, Dubai World's ports
offshoot, DP World, snapped up P&O for £3.9bn but was forced to offload
P&O's six US ports following a campaign by opponents including Hillary
Clinton, who claimed that Arab ownership of American ports was a national
security risk.
Borse Dubai's bold OSX bid
19 August 2007
For a two week old, and strangely
named holding company, Borse Dubai is taking bold steps. Borse Dubai holds
the government's stakes in the Dubai Financial Market (DFM), which lists
local shares, and the internationally-orientated DIFX.
Now Borse Duabi is seeking to
acquire the OMX and jump to being the fifth largest exchange group in the
world. On Friday it offered a 13.7 per cent premium on rival Nasdaq's
existing bid for OMX.
As a part-share deal the existing
Nasdaq offer is seen as vulnerable to the recent market turmoil, compared
with Dubai's all-cash bid.
The emirate knows that OMX, which
owns seven exchanges, would give it access to a wider range of international
markets. A combined Dubai-OMX entity would act as a gateway to the markets
of Europe, North Africa, the Middle East and the rest of Asia. Dubai already
has strong trade links with China. OMX is also considered a
world leader in financial trading systems.
But its involvement with OMX is
already proving to be a bumpy ride. Just two days after Borse Dubai was
incorporated, the company said it had bought a 4.9 per cent stake in OMX, as
well as entering into option agreements with various hedge funds over
another 22.5 per cent. But the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority has
questioned how Dubai could have amassed such a stake in the company, and
demanded details of the contacts between Borse Dubai, HSBC (its financial
adviser), and the hedge funds.
OMX's head, Magnus Bocker, has
also criticised the possible lack of transparency and regulation in a market
owned by a single shareholder, which could undermine the credibility of the
Nordic group. Dubai intends to de-list the OMX if its bid is successful.
Borse Dubai has until tomorrow
morning to answer the Swedish FSA, and observers believe its ruling will
come on Tuesday.
There have been setbacks to
proposed major investments by Dubai backed companies. The most high-profile
case was that of P&O, which Dubai's state-owned DP World bought for $6.85bn
in 2006. It was forced to sell off the firm's US ports because of concerns
over the security implications of a Gulf nation controlling such assets. And
a recent deal by the state-owned Dubai Aerospace Enterprise, which bid
$1.8bn for Auckland airport, has been threatened by shareholders, who last
week said they had blocked the deal.
Whatever does happen it is clear
that the OSX will have a new owner and that that owner will be either the US
backed NASDAQ or will be the Dubai backed Borse Dubai. It sets a tone for
the potential modern day economic shift from the USA to the Gulf region.
Dubai seeks control of
Auckland Airport
23 July 2007
Dubai's government is proposing
to buy a controlling stake in Auckland International Airport Ltd., New
Zealand's busiest airport, for as much as US$2.1 billion.
Auckland Airport directors
recommended the offer from state- controlled Dubai Aerospace Enterprises,
worth up to NZ$3.80 a share, 15 percent more than before the offer was
announced. The offer values Auckland Airport at NZ$5.6 billion including
stock, cash and debt, the company said in a statement.
The airport handles 70 percent of
arrivals to New Zealand.
It is not clear what real new
value the Dubai bid can bring to remote Auckland unless the airport can
serve as a regional hub for Emirates Airline. Perhaps it may be a gateway
for Emirates to the West Coast of the USA. There is no doubt that EK has the
ambition.
Existing management will remain
in place, according to the airport's statement. Shareholders will be asked
to vote on the proposal in November and the deal is also subject to approval
by New Zealand's Overseas Investment Office, which may take until March next
year to make a ruling.
In the meantime if you have cash
to spare then Auckland Airport is not restricted from considering competing
proposals and making a recommendation to shareholders if another proposal is
better, it said.
The Auckland deal may face some
political opposition in New Zealand. Lawmaker Winston Peters, who is foreign
minister and head of the New Zealand First Party, today said the company's
shareholders should oppose ``the unnecessary sell out and sell off of yet
another New Zealand plum to a foreign-owned company.''
Dubai Aerospace's shareholders
include Emaar Properties PJSC, Istithmar PJSC, Dubai Airport Free Zone
Authority, Dubai International Capital LLC, DIFC Investments LLC, the
government of Dubai and Amlak Finance PJSC.
Hamleys to come to Dubai
18 July 2007
There is good news for my little
guy when he visits Dubai as London's famous toy store Hamleys will open in
Dubai under a deal with a UAE-based group, Daud Investments.
Daud Investments will have the
exclusive rights to the Hamleys franchise for the region.
The company said it is finalising
the management team that will lead the venture and hopes to announce its
first store after this summer. It did not provide details of the agreement.
Retail Arabia, a subsidiary of
Daud Investments, is partnering with Hamleys for the store's first venture
outside Europe. Denmark is the only place outside Britain where Hamleys
opened a store.
The store is named after its
founder William Hamley, who first opened his first toy shop in London in
1760.
The Dubai retail scene does
increasingly look like a British High Street - Harvey Nicholls,
Debenhams, Next and Top Shop are just some of the UK names that are a
familiar site in most UAE malls.
Dubai buys stake in Airbus parent
5
July 2007
Dubai - home to
Emirates airline, the biggest customer in the troubled A380 'superjumbo'
programme - has bought a 3.12% stake in Airbus parent EADS. This can be seen
as a vote of confidence is EADS' restructuring plans but also a means of
making sure that Emirates Airline's interests are closely watched over by
the Dubai authorities.
The investment was made by the Global Strategic Equities Fund (GSEF), making
it 'one of the largest institutional shareholders in the company', according
to a statement.
GSEF, which is managed by state-owned Dubai International Capital (DIC), did
not give details of how much it paid, saying only that it was investing with
partners.
DIC said neither
it nor the fund would seek a seat on EADS's board or take a role in managing
the group.
Abraaj makes 'significant' education
investment
17 June 2007
Abraaj Capital has acquired a
“significant” stake in Dubai-based Global Education Management Systems
(GEMS), the investment firm said today.
GEMS owns and manages a number of primary and secondary schools across the
Middle East, including Our Own English High School, Dubai American
Academy, Cambridge International School and Our Own Indian School.
The company would not reveal how large an investment it has made or what
percentage of GEMS it now controls.
Abraaj said the investment in GEMS,
made through its Infrastructure and Growth Capital Fund (IGCF), is aimed
at capitalising on the rising demand for education in the region.
The Dubai-based investment firm said this demand, coupled with limited
capacity in the sector, is straining the region’s existing education
infrastructure.
“The MENASA (Middle East, North Africa and South Asia) region's youthful
population and high demographic growth rate will place great pressure on
the economies over the coming decade,” said Arif Naqvi, vice chairman and
chief executive of Abraaj.
“As a result, today more than ever, the region needs educational
institutions that produce individuals with the skills necessary to compete
in a modern and global economy,” he added.
The investment follows the launch last month of a $10 billion education
foundation by HH Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and
Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, at the World Economic Forum
(WEF) in Jordan.
Naqvi said the stake in GEMS would also contribute to the stability and
diversification of Abraaj’s investment portfolio.
Currently the firm’s investment portfolio includes companies such as the
Egyptian Fertilisers Company, Air Arabia, Egyptian financial services firm
EFG-Hermes, Arab internet portal Maktoob.comm, and Saudi Arabia’s National
Air Services (NAS).
Abraaj digs
deep for fertiliser
From Arabian
business - 10 June 2007
"There are two
kinds of people in this world," insists Arif Naqvi, breaking into a broad
grin. "The first kind wake up in the morning, they look up, and they say
‘Good morning, God'. The second kind wake up in the morning, look up, and
say ‘Good God, it's morning'."
Without a doubt, the CEO and vice chairman of private equity giant Abraaj
Capital belongs to the former category. He is a self-confessed "massive
optimist" - and with good reason, as his company is at the forefront of the
region's increased confidence in the private equity market.
Increased liquidity is attracting some of the biggest names in the field to
the Middle East, and Abraaj has taken swift advantage of the shift in
industry attitudes, rustling up a series of funds in sectors as diverse as
aviation, infrastructure, and agriculture. Last week, Abraaj closed the
largest private equity acquisition in the history of the Middle East and
North Africa, with the US$1.41bn leveraged buyout acquisition of Egyptian
Fertilisers Company (EFC), one of Egypt's largest private-sector fertiliser
manufacturers and exporters
"It's the first deal we've done in primary petrochemicals,
although we're very comfortable in the sector, and we've always wanted to do
a landmark transaction in the sector," says Naqvi. "The sector's very
exciting and interesting, given how critical it is to the region."
It is so exciting that Naqvi happily admits Abraaj is in "very advanced"
talks with a number of other Egyptian companies in the same line of work.
"We're talking to four or five other producers in the region with a view to
coming together under a common platform," he reveals. "That's what private
equity does - it pulls other businesses in to create a far bigger critical
mass and scale that enhances efficiency and yields, and can get us better
values when we eventually exit the business."
For Abraaj, Naqvi explains, fertiliser means bigger business than might
initially be apparent.
"Every analyst tells you that if we keep burning oil at the speed we're
using it, we're going to run out of oil in the next 50 years," he says. "It
may take 30 years, it may take 60 years, but it doesn't matter - there's a
finite end to that particular natural resource.
"The world's not going to stand still," he continues. "The world is going to
be looking for alternative energy sources, it's going to be looking at
biofuels, it's going to be looking at wind power, and so on.
"So we are going to be using alternative sources. Now what is the biggest
alternative source today? That's ethanol - and ethanol comes from corn,
sugar cane, and stuff like that.
"In order to enhance the productivity of things that we grow, you need
fertiliser, and that's why the fertiliser industry has a very rosy future
ahead of it." The deal is a fine example of the foresight that has enabled
Abraaj to build seven funds, worth a cool US$4bn between them, over the last
decade. In addition, the firm is also the single largest shareholder in
leading regional investment bank EFG-Hermes.
"With our deployable capacity - with each of our transactions we only use
about 30% capital, the rest is co-investor capital and then leverage on top
of that - we're talking about deploying close to US$12bn in the region over
the course of the next few years," reveals Naqvi.
"Last year, for example, we invested over US$1bn, and this year we expect to
achieve double that.
"We're on a very rapid acceleration process in terms of investment, which is
coming at a time when stock markets are going through corrections and are
significantly off highs, so that means that we have great buying
opportunities at this time," he continues. "We're long-term investors, we're
stable investors, we look at opportunity not just for today, but for the
next few years to come. Our exit drivers are not time, but efficiency."
With utmost efficiency, Naqvi rattles through Abraaj's key business lines.
Each has proven hugely successful in its own right; each has made its
investors rich.
"There's real estate, where we have one fund fully invested and exceptional
returns produced for our investors. We'll probably be raising another real
estate fund some time this year," he says.
"We have the special opportunities business, again fully invested, where we
take minority positions in public companies. It's almost like a hedge fund,
but we've outperformed every other regional fund in the stock market last
year, and this year so far," continues Naqvi, matter-of-factly.
"Everybody else is in the negative realm because of the markets; we're very
positive on the returns from that business.
"Our third area is the equity buyout space where we have two operational
funds, again fully invested. We're into about 14 or 15 companies in that
space that we've invested in," he adds.
The final area is that of infrastructure. Last year, Abraaj launched its
first infrastructure fund with Deutsche Bank and Ithmaar Bank, and saw a
first closure at US$500m in December. The next close will be at the end of
June, Naqvi adds, and the fund should be fully capital-raised by the end of
October. "Where's the biggest investment thrust in this part of the world
going to come from?" he asks, leaving barely a breath before the answer.
"It's going to be in infrastructure, because as governments are accumulating
these surpluses they're also realising that they need to spend them very
intelligently, because they're generating wealth off a dwindling resource.
It's not going to come again and again.
"We've experienced a boom in the last three or four years, but what does
that boom mean? It has been driven primarily and totally by the private
sector - real estate, stock markets, and so on," he continues. "As that has
slowed down, governments have kicked in. And who's going to benefit from
that? Again, it will be the private sector because they are the
subcontractors to that process.
"So I see good years ahead of us, but the one sea change that I see is that
governments are now beginning to realise that all of this infrastructure
spend needs to be through the private/public partnership model," he adds.
"Governments are beginning to realise that governments should be in the
business of governance, and not in the business of management."
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