| Patriotic Games
21 February 2004
A week ago flying through Hong Kong the newspapers were full of the debate
over what defines a patriot in Hong Kong. Today flying through Hong Kong the
same debate is still on the front page.
China Daily stirred up the latest debate: the newspaper argued that those who
rule Hong Kong must love the motherland (China) and must safeguard the
fundamental interests of the country. The China Daily editorial was outrageous.
It basically said that dissenting views, debate, foreign interference and
discussions of democracy should not be tolerated.
I have argued before that one country two systems will not last the planned
50 years. It may not even last for 10 years. China's expectation is one country
one system.
China Daily said that "some people in the SAR, who are currently in positions
of power, do not meet this pre-requisite to be rulers of Hong Kong. They are not
willing to live under "One Country". They keep on hassling the SAR government
and the central authorities. They are opposed to legislation for national
security, organize or participate in activities against the central government,
invite foreign intervention in Hong Kong affairs and lend open support to Taiwan
independence."
Beijing is clearly trying to intensify the political reform debate; and to
move Hong Kong away from a move to greater democracy.
It is simply not good enough to brand the democrats as unpatriotic. There is
nothing wrong with loving your country whilst also seeking political reform. The
two can, and often do, go hand in hand. You can have pride in your nation
irrespective of your political persuasion.
The danger with such an emotional term as patriotism is that anyone who is
defined as unpatriotic can find that they are persecuted for a crime that they
have not committed. The 500,000 Hong Kong Chinese who marched last July were not
unpatriotic. The students in Tianenmen Square were not unpatriotic. Many
patriots embrace and want change because it makes the country that they love a
better place.
Patriotism is not blind obedience to the government of a country. Patriotism
is about what is best for the people and for the country; not necessarily for
its government.
Is it patriotic to accept a government that suppresses critical information
on infectious diseases (SARS and avian flu), that does not allow religious
freedom; that seeks to control freedom of speech and association. True patriots
will look past this and should be applauded for doing so. Being patriotic is
about what is best for the people not for the ruling party. This is the message
that Hong Kong could help promote.
Another plea to free the Guantanamo 600
20 February 2004
I have argued before that the lock up of over 600 people in Guantanamo is
immoral and illegal. The US prides itself in its constitution and its human
rights. In its post September 11 trauma people have been locked up now for 2
years, without charges, without legal representation and without knowing the
evidence (if any) against them.
Two reports follow; one from Amnesty International and one from the Guardian
newspaper; both should raise serious concerns among fair minded people at the
conditions and well - being of the detainees.
This report from the Guardian is indicative of the conditions that the
hostages (that really is the only word for them) are kept in.
Action is needed; press charges; go to trial; or release these hostages
immediately.
Amnesty International: USA: "Double
jeopardy" for some Guantánamo detainees
Held in isolating conditions, the detainees held in Guantánamo Bay have not been
allowed to see lawyers or relatives, or to have access to any court. Now, even
if eventually released with no charge, some may face further injustice:
indefinite untried detention, torture or execution in their home country.
Many detainees in Guantánamo come from countries which the US government itself
has condemned for serious human rights violations. Labelled "terrorists" and
"killers" by senior US officials, what fate awaits released Guantánamo
detainees? For some, a return to their homes to attempt to rebuild their lives.
For others, perhaps further detention and violations at the hands of their own
governments.
A number of Saudi nationals have already been returned to their home country,
where they may face torture or grossly unfair trials. The US authorities may be
preparing to release more than 100 detainees from the base, including unknown
numbers of ethnic Uighurs facing possible return to China.
Guantánamo detainees must be released unless charged with recognizable criminal
offences and brought to fair trial. They must also be protected from further
human rights abuses. If you want to do something about it Amnesty International
has drafted the following letter that you can send to the US President.
Take Action!
http://www.amnesty.org/
Write to President George Bush today to seek justice for the Guantánamo
detainees. You may wish to use the letter below as a guide.
Appeals to
George W. Bush
The President
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
Washington DC 20500
USA
Fax: +1 202 456 2461
E-mail:
president@whitehouse.gov*
E-mail page:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/webmail
Salutation: Dear Mr President
* Please note that this address has been responding erratically and is
occasionally unavailable.
Dear Mr President,
It is now two years since the first prisoners were transferred to Guantánamo
Bay. This prolonged indefinite detention violates a fundamental legal principle
that anyone must be allowed to challenge the lawfulness of their detention. You
have repeatedly promised that the USA will stand firm for the "non-negotiable
demands of human dignity", including the rule of law. For many, these words have
rung hollow as the lack of legal process for the Guantánamo detainees continues.
I call on you to ensure that all those held in Guantánamo are released if they
are not to be charged and brought to fair trial. I do not believe that trials by
the military commissions envisaged in your Military Order would meet
international standards.
I am also concerned for the fate of those detainees who might, if returned to
their countries, risk serious human rights violations, including ethnic Uighurs
facing possible return to China. I fear this risk has been increased by public
statements by you and other senior US officials, labelling those held as
"terrorists" and "killers".
I urge you to ensure that no-one is forcibly returned to a country where they
would face serious human rights violations.
Yours sincerely,
No rights, no charges, no lawyers
... life in the Cuban camp beyond the law
Idyllic setting outside, suicide
attempts and fear inside
Vikram Dodd and Michael White
Friday February 20, 2004
The Guardian
Camp Delta prison camp in Guantanamo Bay, on the south-eastern tip of Cuba,
is surrounded by fine white sand and and a turquoise Caribbean sea. Despite
the natural beauty of its surroundings the camp has become a monument to the
US war on terror after the September 11 attacks, with up to 680 people
locked up without charge, without access to a lawyer, and not knowing the
evidence against them.
Among those detained were nine British nationals, captured in Afghanistan
or Pakistan by the US or its allies, who were wheeled in on trolleys,
blindfolded and manacled, wearing orange jumpsuits.
The Britons were sometimes locked up for 24 hours a day, seeing nothing
apart from the cramped cells in which they were kept, a small exercise yard
and the American interrogators who questioned them without any legal
restriction.
They were classed by the US authorities as illegal enemy combatants, and
Washington argued they were thus not entitled to the protection of
international law.
The US case was that they were hardened terrorists linked to violence.
But some in the US military admitted that the detainees were actually being
held for any information they might have about suspected terrorists.
Their families in Britain have feared for the mental health of the nine,
and without any hard news, have feared that they have been tortured. The
only contact they have is occasional letters which are censored by the US.
Outrage over Guantanamo Bay gradually became an embarrassing political
problem for Tony Blair, with MPs from all parties condemning the US for a
regime that broke international laws. Even some in the Bush administration
admitted that the issue was damaging America's standing abroad.
The British government was accused of being less vocal than other
countries in efforts to aid the detainees.
The pressure on the prime minister to secure the return of the nine
increased in July last year after President George Bush designated two
Britons to stand trial before military commissions, whose rules led critics
to brand them as kangaroo courts.
The two were Feroz Abbasi, 23, from Croydon, south London, the first
Briton known to have been incarcerated in Camp Delta, and Moazzam Begg, 35,
from Birmingham.
Judgment
Britain said it had "reservations" about the US commission, where
military officers would sit in judgment on charges brought by their
government. Conversations between the accused and their military-appointed
lawyers were to be monitored and the rules were so biased in favour of the
prosecution that some of the US military officers supposed to represent the
detainees protested.
The attorney general, Lord Goldsmith, flew back and forth between London
and Washington trying to broker a deal to end the deadlock over the British
detainees at Guantanamo Bay. Talks were also held between the US secretary
of state, Colin Powell, and the foreign secretary, Jack Straw.
Britain wanted either fair trials which met international standards for
the British detainees at Camp Delta, or a return home.
The US insisted that any returnees should face trial in Britain,
something Lord Goldsmith could not guarantee because there was no certainty
that any evidence the US might have could be used in a British court.
Yesterday US state department spokesman Richard Boucher stressed the five
Britons were to be "transferred" and not released.
The US courts have until now refused to intervene, arguing that
Guantanamo Bay, a 45-mile stretch of Cuba held by the US, is not American
soil and not covered by US laws.
Razor wire surrounds Camp Delta, which is floodlit at night. Inside the
compound are the huts, which each contain 48 individual cells. Electric
blowers battle to cool temperatures which can reach over 43C (110F).
Each cell, 8ft by 6ft 8in, is surrounded by mesh, to ensure that the
detainees can be seen at all times. Lights burn into the cells through the
night. On the floor, a painted white arrow points to Mecca.
Whenever they leave their cells the Britons are manacled, such as when
they are escorted to a 25ft by 35ft exercise area.
Rebellion
In Camp Delta the prisoners can exercise two at a time, for half an hour,
between three and seven times a week, depending on how well they comply with
orders. Some, however, prefer the small acts of rebellion available to them,
and one in 10 inmates is deemed "non-compliant". Offences have included
throwing water at the guards and stuffing cereal bar wrappers down the
toilets.
Some of the Britons due to be released have been held in Camp Four, where
they are allowed outside for up to 10 hours a day and wear white jumpsuits
instead of the notorious orange in Camp Delta.
A place in Camp Four is a reward for those the US considers have
cooperated with it. But the conditions have taken a toll on at least one of
the Britons.
After examining Mr Abbasi, a Pentagon-selected psychologist concluded
that he "had exhibited withdrawn behaviour suggestive of recurrent
depression". He was also reported to have not said a word to British
officials during welfare visits, taken by his family as a sign that his
mental condition was deteriorating.
Mr Begg is believed by his family to have cracked after repeated
questioning and confessed to a plot to attack the Houses of Parliament with
planes laden with anthrax. His supporters say this is a sign that he will
say anything in the hope of getting out.
There have been at least 28 suicide attempts among the 680 detainees. The
International Committee for the Red Cross, which has limited visits to the
detainees, condemned the regime at Camp Delta, saying detainees suffered
"extreme stress and anxiety.
"The uncertainty these internees face as regards their legal status and
their future does have a very adverse impact on their physical and mental
wellbeing," said an ICRC spokeswoman, Antonella Notari. "A lot of them are
pushed to despair."
Officially, the US has given no information about the British detainees.
But some guards gave details to the Guardian about the lives the Britons
lead. Sergeant David Keefer said: "I'd say they fare better in this
environment because the connection is easier for us with them [because of
the shared language], and for us to facilitate their needs."
He added that they were "helpful, if they are in a good mood", acting as
unofficial interpreters. The guards speak no Arabic or Urdu and many inmates
speak no English.
"They want to talk about football, they want to know the scores, what
club is strong or about the Cup."
Another guard, Private Jennifer Bartlett, said the Britons were
suffering. "Some get angry and do not want anything to do with anyone. Some
sit there and talk about their family, tell you about their kids - it helps
them cope with it."
Their apparently endless detention depresses them, she admits.
"It's just the duration of the time they have spent here, not knowing
what's going to happen, when they are going home.
"They will sit and read a letter from their family, and they are
frustrated, sometimes they get down. Sometimes they cry after reading their
letters."
When they receive them, that is.
"Toxinomics" - how conflicts of
interest can be damaging
18 February 2004
The latest edition of the Far East Economic
Review contains an article that should trouble the Thai voters and that
should be an alarm bell for the government.
The message may not be heard, the Thai
government is not entirely comfortable with criticism; indeed it was not
easy to find a copy of this edition of the FEER in Thailand.
The FEER highlights the conflict of interest
between the government's economic strategy and the interests of the
Shinawatra family businesses, the huge business empire that operates mainly
in the sales and services for mobile telephony, as well as in property,
media, satellites and consumer finance. The family businesses are mainly in
the consumer sector and benefit from government policies of cheap credit,
low interest rates, a strong baht, pushing consumption and a strong stock
market. Including the holding company the group has listed six companies
with more expected to follow. A strong stock market is key to Shin's
ambitious listings strategy,
Thailand's key industries are in exports,
manufacturing, agriculture and inbound tourism; these are not Shinawatra
businesses. These industries are not helped by the strong baht. Export
growth has slowed; household debt has risen too quickly; the stock market is
being driven by excessive speculation.
No one wants a repeat of the market crisis of
1997 but that is the direction that we may be heading in. These trends
should be brought under control. But to do so would take away some of the
momentum enjoyed by the Shinawatra companies. There is a clear conflict of
interest that needs disinterested economic management.
Intimate Interns
15 February 2004
The feathers are starting to fly. The US
presidential election is not until November but the gloves are off and the
mud slinging has started. It will be a messy nine months. The War President
is already trying to explain how come he was not in Vietnam.
Interesting how things change. Clinton went to
Canada to avoid the draft so the Democrats could hardly play the Vietnam
card eight and twelve years ago. Now the Democrats have a genuine battle
hardened and decorated hero as their front runner. John Kerry looks and
sounds the part.
But - does he have a Monica. The story is
bigger in Europe than it is in the USA. But it seems a two year relationship
was ended last year as Kerry started on the campaign trail. Out of site and
out of mind his intern appears to have been banished to Africa, presumably
well looked after financially. Her name is Alex Polier; she is 24 and
apparently has fled to Kenya to escape the media.
Kerry had better come clean quickly on this. If
there is dirt to be found the Republicans will find it. They cannot find WMD
but they are adept at finding WCD - Weapons of Character Destruction.
Bangkok: Asia's Not So Much Fun
Anymore City
15 February 2004
There will soon be a national bedtime. We
should all be in bed by 10.30pm. There should be no TV after this time;
there should be no electricity so that we are not disturbed by VCDs/DVDs or
Karaoke. The streets should be policed (they already are judging by the
number you see on almost every street corner) to ensure that there are no
lights on and close circuit tv should be in all homes so that we can be seen
to be in bed on time!
It is not quite that bad yet. Although a
proposed curfew on teenagers is being rethought. Someone appears to have
rather belatedly asked - what about the constitution? It really is not the
role of the state to do what any decent parent is supposed to be doing !
The new rules separate the city into approved
entertainment zones and the rest. But the entertainment zones are few and
far between. There are 3 areas in Bangkok - Patpong, RCA and Ratchadapiseck.
It is not clear how far Patpong extends.
In the entertainment zones a disco or nightclub
has to close by 1am. A hostess bar or pub has to close by 2am. I believe
they can all open at 6pm.
If you are not in an entertaiment zone; ie the
other 95% of Bangkok you may only open between 9pm and midnight.
It is not clear what this means for popular
hotel nightclubs such as Spasso at the Hyatt or CM2 at the Novotel.
It is not clear how this effects hotel lounges?
Can they serve drinks after midnight?
It is clear that farang friendly places like
Nana Plaza will take a big hit.
I don't really have too much of a problem with
midnight closing. My problem is that this takes away the freedom of choice.
Many people work late; they get stuck in BKK's still horrible traffic; they
may have a late dinner; they want to go out later and talk, drink or dance
or all three at the same time. Either they will have to go to one of the
three zones; which presumably will get over crowded and (more) expensive as
a result or they will have to buy a bottle and make their own entertainment.
And yes sometimes people do want to go out and celebrate and party until
late.
The government's reasoning is that there has
been a marked increase in youth crime and in underage drinking. Closing the
bars earlier does not solve this. Enforcing age limits in bars and clubs;
proper id checks; not selling drinks to under age kids. That is the
solution.
And for all the complaints from farangs,
tousists and the nightlife industry most Thais that I have asked support the
government's measures. For the women they seem to think that their husbands
may be home two hours earlier. And for the guys, well they will find away
around the new restrictions.
Close the bars early and yes some I am
convinced will go out of business. There will be people out of work and
there will be more bar girls on the streets.
Meanwhile SIngapore, previously Asia's dullest
city, is now party central with bars and clubs open until 6am.
Chicken Flew
11 February 2004
Only in Thailand ! Thai Airlines new low cost
carrier was initially announced as SkyAsia. The airline was announced in
today's media as "NokAir."
In a Message from the CEO on their new web site he says that:
We chose the name “Nok Air” for our new airline because first of all we
wanted a name that was short, precise, and of course easy to remember and
something like Thai can related to! Also, “Nok” or bird, is a friendly, fun,
energetic and active animal – and when you hear the word “Nok”, the very
next thing you will think of is flying !!!
Pity he missed the obvious puns;
like Nok Down Fares!
The logo is shown here. Either
they missed the whole bird flu scare that continues across South East Asia
or they think that they may just get some extra publicity as a result of
using this rather crass name and promotional material.
Most entertaining of all is their
recruitment page for "air hostress" (sic - I guess it is a tough job) which
asks for people who want to:
"Spread your wings with Nok Air.
If you are energetic, living, friendly, service-minded and most importantly
, wish to work with us, please click on your interested position and fill
out the application form. Be prepared to join the fleet and grow with us –Nok
Air , the only airline that makes a journey an incredible experience."
I guess it is hard to apply if you
are dead!!
Maybe the airline slogan could be
"Chicken Flew" !!!!
Why Colin Powell and Justin
Timberlake both feel a right tit !
9 February 2004
In his very telling commentary on the
deceptions of the US and UK governments (published below) Gary Younge writes
in today's Guardian that "it is true that nobody knew for sure before
the war if Saddam had WMD. But it is even truer that anyone who claimed to
know for sure that Iraq did have them was lying".
Frankly that is how people feel. Certain
politicians previously widely respected, have clearly lied. They have
presented facts and evidence which they must have known were not facts or
were not first hand verifiable evidence. Or they simply got too lazy and
accepted that what they were told was true was in fact true. But as the
headline says, ignorance is no excuse.
I would love to know what Colin Powell really
thinks. Is he ashamed or angry about his presentation to the UN where
"Jabbing the air and slapping the table, he offered "not assertions, but
facts" and "evidence, not conjecture"". He must at the very least feel a
right tit ! And there is the link to Justin Timberlake!
If I say something is a fact then you should
reasonably expect that I have verified that fact. You should not expect me
to simply report something verbatim. The issues were huge. The import of the
decisions that had to be made were huge. And people who should no better
were either too lazy or too self serving.
It is of course no surprise the the US can
investigate Janet Jackson's televised bare breast quicker that they can
investigate how it was that poor information took the nation to war. At
least Janet Jackson made a clean breast of the issues; more than can be said
for the politicians who are covering up more than Ms Jackson !
It is time for people to say enough is enough.
The US and UK forced regime change in Iraq. Now the people will have to
force regime change in the US and UK. Bush and his henchman should not be
re-elected. That will be a strong message that people will not tolerate
being misled.
Similarly since Blair cannot be trusted again,
and since he was either lazy or duplicitous, he cannot be re-elected. The
Tories may not be any better; but in a democracy this is the only way for
the people to say that they have been mis-governed and that they deserve
better.
This issue is not going to go away. Not until
there are changes and resignations. And that cannot be the civil servants
and a few people who did what they were told to do. The buck stops at the
top. That's where the pressure came from.
It is a shame that this issue will end a number
of outstanding careers. But end them it must. Saddam's greatest victor may
come after his capture. Tony Blair will resign by the summer. And there will
be other casualties. Colin Powell should do the decent thing and retire as
well. His political aspirations are history.
Bush will survive until the November elections.
But John Kerry looks electable and the American people need the courage to
make change happen.
Ignorance is no excuse
The premise for this war was
not security but politics - and it is our politicians who should be in
the dock
Gary Younge
Monday February 9, 2004
The Guardian
Colin Powell, the US secretary of state, could learn a great deal from
how his son has handled Janet Jackson's right breast. The singer bared
her bosom during a raunchy dance with Justin Timberlake in the Super
Bowl half-time show last weekend.
Jackson apologised, saying that she did plan a "reveal", but
Timberlake was supposed only to rip off her rubber black bustier to show
a red lace bra (so that's all right then). Timberlake blamed it on a
"wardrobe malfunction". The National Football League, which staged the
match, blamed CBS, the television network which screened it. CBS blamed
MTV, to which it had contracted out the half-time entertainment. MTV
blamed Janet Jackson. And the media conglomerate Viacom, which owns both
CBS and MTV, insists that it has nothing to do with them.
So it was left to Michael Powell, the chairman of the Federal
Communications Commission, to declare his "outrage" and order a "swift
and thorough" investigation, which could result in fines worth millions
of dollars if CBS and its affiliates are shown to have breached
indecency guidelines.
Let's leave aside for a moment the value system of a government that
can order an immediate inquiry into a bare breast and take a year to
launch one into a bare-faced lie presented as a pretext for war. For
there is a far more important principle at hand than the US government's
calibration of indecency.
At best somewhere along the way on Super Bowl night there was an
unfortunate mistake, either individual or systemic. At worst, and more
likely, this was a cynical, tasteless publicity stunt. Either way it was
wrong, and Michael Powell is going to make sure that whoever is
responsible will pay the price.
Hold that thought. Now cast your mind back to the United Nation's
security council chamber a year ago last Friday. With the help of tapes,
aerial photographs and a PowerPoint presentation, Michael Powell's
father, Colin, illustrates the US government's case that Iraq has
weapons of mass destruction. Jabbing the air and slapping the table, he
offers "not assertions, but facts" and "evidence, not conjecture".
Colin Powell's "evidence" and "facts" have been proven to be not only
"assertions" and "conjecture", but erroneous ones at that. But one year,
one war, no UN resolution and thousands of deaths later, we are still
waiting for someone to pay the price for a conflict that never needed to
start and sparked a resistance that shows no sign of ending.
Fatal blunders like these, it seems, are priceless. The politicians
who authorised the war, at a time when to stand against it posed a
political risk, say they were tricked. The intelligence agencies who
provided the material to justify it say they were pressured or
misinterpreted. The leaders who used that material to make their case
for it say they were misinformed or misunderstood. And the military, of
course, just follows orders. No one takes responsibility, no one has yet
been held accountable.
Sooner or later a hopeless minister or hapless civil servant,
possibly even the head of the CIA, might be sacked. This would be the
equivalent of Jackson firing her dressmaker. It will satisfy not those
who want to solve the problem, but those who want it to go away.
Sadly the inquiries to be launched in Britain and the US have been
limited to intelligence. The premise for this war was not security but
politics - it's the politicians who should be in the dock.
The fact that they will not be reflects badly not just on the
governments concerned but on all of us. If a country can be led to war
on false pretexts and there are no substantive consequences as a result,
there is something seriously wrong with both politicians and the
political culture that produces them. In a democracy worthy of the name,
if the machinery of government cannot call those responsible to account,
civil society and the ballot box must.
This war is not just killing Iraqi civilians, resistance fighters and
coalition soldiers. It's murdering any pretence that we live in
countries that value, let alone practice, the principle of democratic
accountability. It calls into question our ability to rein in political
excess and to root out state-sponsored incompetence.
"We had no choice," Bush said yesterday. But the case for war was
always weak and unpopular on its own terms. Iraq posed no immediate
threat and had no connection with September 11, and the action did not
have the support of the UN. Even if the invasion had uncovered WMD, it
would have been wrong. That it didn't makes its failure, by the
miserably low standards the US and Britain set themselves, abject and
absolute.
The most compelling defence of both governments is ignorance. They
thought Saddam Hussein had WMD and it turns out he didn't, but it was
impossible to know because he ran a dictatorship and had a record of
lying. Donald Rumsfeld, the US defence secretary, took this to absurd
extremes this weekend, claiming that Saddam tricked the US into war with
his "deception and defiance". "It was his choice," says Rumsfeld. None
the less, it is true that nobody knew for sure before the war if Saddam
had WMD. But it is even truer that anyone who claimed to know for sure
that Iraq did have them was lying.
Two different US panels concluded in 1998 that there was no hard
evidence of secret weapons programmes. The first, the arms control and
non-proliferation advisory board, consisted of eminent scientists. It
found the CIA's intelligence mostly speculative. "There were suspicions,
hints, but nothing hard," one member told Newsweek. The second was led
by none other than Rumsfeld and reached similar conclusions.
That was precisely why the UN sent in inspectors - to ascertain if
there was any substance to these suspicions. For most of the world -
including most US citizens - ignorance was a reason to wait and see.
Left to his own devices, Hans Blix would have told us through peaceful
means what we now know as a result of war and occupation - that there
are no WMD.
But for the US and Britain, ignorance was used as an excuse to
attack. The Bush administration's policies of regime change and
pre-emptive strike required no proof before prosecution - it's Britain's
disgraced shoot-to-kill policy in Northern Ireland gone global.
Now ignorance seems to be their only defence. George Tenet says the
CIA "never said there was an imminent threat". Well, somebody did. Tony
Blair says he did not know that Saddam was incapable of firing
long-range chemical and biological weapons. Well, somebody did.
President Bush now says he wants "to know all the facts". What did he
want to know before? "The absence of a stockpile changes the political
calculus," says Powell Sr. "It changes the answer you get." Wrong again.
If the question is "Should we have gone to war?" then the answer is
still no. What is changed is that with each dissembling statement, the
public is listening just that little bit more closely. |
America's best friend may be her
worst nightmare
February 6 2004
One of my friends complains that I do not write
enough about events in South Asia. To be honest I am reticent about writing
about a region and issues that I know so little about.
However, the revelations of the last few days
from Pakistan should scare us all. They should also serve as a significant
warning to the US and her allies that Iraq was really not the issue and that
terrorist access to nuclear technology is the real threat to global sanity.
When the UN's top nuclear official describes
the trade in nuclear technology as a dangerous supermarket then action is
needed. But where there is a demand for arms, and a need for cash, there
will always be a supply.
Addul Qadeer Khan, is a hero to Pakistanis. He
masterminded Pakistan's nuclear programme. He also for years traded nuclear
information and equipment to Iran, Libya and North Korea. Mr. Khan after a
somber televised confession was pardoned by the Pakistan President, Pervez
Musharraf.
America's supposed best friend in the war on
terror, Pakistan, may prove to be the source of a global nightmare.
Lets be frank here. Pakistan has knowingly sold
or bartered nuclear weapons-related technology over some 20 years for
financial gain in defiance of law, common sense and morality.
Mr. Khan did not act alone. It would be
impossible to do so. There have been blanket denials of knowledge or
complicity form Pakistan's military and civilian leaders. Pardoning Mr. Khan
has presumably bought his silence. President Musharraf claims that Mr.
Khan's activities were unofficial. Khan now insists that he acted alone
reversing earlier claims that he had made. If these comments are true then
the incompetence of the authorities in safeguarding Pakistan's nuclear
assets is just mind boggling.
In the meantime, while Libya and Iran were
developing their nuclear weapons programme the US, Britain and Europe turned
an apparently blind eye, focused as they were, solely on Iraq.
Let the people decide
February 5 2004
Finding the scapegoat will be much easier than
finding Iraq's weapons of mass destruction.
The problem is here we go with another navel
gazing enquiry. And once more the terms of reference are narrowly stated and
once more people who do not get the answer that they want will protest
loudly after the event.
All this drags on. And frankly it is getting
dull.
One option for Tony Blair, call a snap
election. Let the people decide. Do they want a New Labour government and
another five years of Tony Blair? Or do they want a change? And is that
change an acceptable alternative.
Tony Blair' has now set up a wide ranging
inquiry into intelligence on weapons of mass destruction in Iraq but
debarred the inquiry from examining the political and diplomatic decision to
wage war, and the legal basis for doing so. The terms of reference permit
the inquiry to examine the accuracy of the intelligence but not whether the
threat was sufficiently big or imminent to justify war.
The inquiry will meet in private. Some of the
evidence may be published. This is hardly a frank open and transparent
review. But it is in part justifiable. The workings of the intelligence
gathering community should not be open to public scrutiny; other wise they
are just a service not a secret service. But they should be accountable to
the elected Parliament who used that information to support a vote calling
for war.
The Iraq war was a milestone constitutional
event, in that the House of Commons was explicitly given, for the first time
in British history, the power to decide between war and peace. If parliament
now has the power to commit our troops in battle, then it should also have
the power to examine the lessons and wisdom of its own decision.
Truly it is all a bit of shambles. There is a
similar inquiry in the USA. What are the odds that the US and UK will find
fault with each other's intelligence. Or on the other hand that both
inquiries will contrive to report very similar findings!
Tony Blair must pray that someone will stumble
across an Iraqi cave stuffed full of anthrax and nuclear warheads.
But that is not going to happen. Saddam was a
gruesome dictator. We and the people of Iraq are will rid of him. But Tony
Blair has lost the people; and he has lost the moral authority to govern. No
one will trust him again.
Why does he carry on? Because he does not want
Iraq to be his downfall. But I think it is time for the people to decide if
he is fit to govern. And the Labour Party will have to decide whether he is
an electoral asset or a liability.
Pattaya Today
February 4, 2004
One of the more entertaining sources of
information in Thailand is the Pattaya press. There is a large foreign
community in Pattaya enjoying the wide range of entertainment available
there together with the cheap lifestyle!
The local news is inevitably full of crime and
injury. And there is a family sadness and tragedy behind each story. For the
outsider what makes it entertaining is the lively manner of the reporting.
Some examples for you from the latest edition: the captions are mine; the
stories are as written.
I guess this one was from Starbucks (think
about it !)
"A 37 year old Thai man departed this daily
grind prematurely after he collided on his motorbike with several vehicles
coming in the opposite direction."
Mathematically challenged
The evils of drink were sadly illustrated in
front of the Malee apartment house, soi Bhukaow, where an unprovoked
stabbing, or two to be precise, took place.
Easy to identify ???
Khun Samor, a 48 year old from Nongprue sub
district, reported to police major Tawatchai Krobgratoke that she was riding
her bike in Soi Khaothalow, en route to meeting her friend, when four men
accosted her. She was told to stop and the despicable villains helped
themselves to her purse containing 2,000 baht in cash, a credit card and a
fifteen gram weight gold necklace. The group then sped off on their own
machines. Unfortunately, the victim was not able to identify helpfully any
of the criminals because they took care to hide their visual features behind
several hats. However, they were probably in their early twenties and of
average build for Thai males.
Smart criminals
Pattaya Today reported in its last issue
(January 16) that Best Inn on soi Bhukaow had suffered the ransacking of 46
out of 66 safety boxes with a loss of more than one million baht in cash and
valuables. The reason why the other 20 boxes were left alone is that they
were empty.
Very definitely dead on arrival !
Witnesses said that the victim was Khun Tong
Tew, a 42 year old baht bus driver.
Any hopes that he might survive the attack were dashed when he was
discovered to be stone dead on arrival at hospital.
Why journalists should report the
news and should not be the news
February 4 2004
Much has been written about the Hutton enquiry.
What has been written shows the difference between good and dubious
journalism. When it comes to reporting the news few do it better than the
British. The coverage of the Hutton reports conclusions and reactions to the
report was suitably thorough,
But journalists rally around each other.
Criticise one, and the whole profession is criticised.
Some of the press comment and editorialising
has been in fantasy land. The media are supposed to report the news. The
trouble is they increassingly want to be the news and that is not good
enough.
Lets see a little praise and some thanks.
Hutton did a good job, He conducted his inquiry quickly and with complete
transparency. His report is overwhelmingly consistent with the evidence
presented to him.
The media had already reached its own
conclusions and since Hutton did not give them what they wanted they tuned
on Hutton calling his report a whitewash!
One truism; journalists are not purveyors of
truth; whatever they think of themselves. Much of their commentary and
reporting is simply prejudice unsupported by facts.
Worse still in Britain their appear to be a
journalistic contempt towards politicians (and to democracy) and to judges
(and the law). The British revel is being cynical. They love to be on the
outside throwing bricks at the establishment. That is fashionable. Being
part of the establishment is not fashionable. But the establishment has
processes, dignity and integrity that the media could learn from.
The Economist is not great fan of Blair's
government. And although it supported the Iraq war it has consistently
called for a review of the evidence of WMD, their editorial last week was
spot on. Gilligan's report it said was "typical of much of modern British
journalism, twisting or falsifying the supposed news to fit a journalist's
opinion about where the truth really lies. Some in the British media have
described such journalism as 'brave'. Sloppy or biased would be better
words".
In a signed article by the Financial Times
editor Andrew Gowers, he described this "dreadful misadventure" as a wake-up
call for British journalism, and said it "should prompt us to resist the
easy, superficial certainties of parti pris opinion and rediscover the
virtues of accuracy, context and verification".
The threat to modern journalism arises from the
media's disrespect for facts, the avoidable failure to be fair, the want of
explanation and the persistent desire for melodrama. Time to report the
news not to be the news. Time to be accurate and not smug. Time to show a
little respect. If you want to be in opposition get elected
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Q&A: Ryanair's airport
subsidies
The EC has ruled that Ryanair
must return incentive payments it received from a Belgian airport - a
decision the carrier says threatens the entire budget airline industry.
Mark Tran explains
Tuesday February 3, 2004
What was this case about?
At the centre of the controversy was a deal under which Ryanair received
subsidies to use Charleroi, an airport 25 miles south of Brussels, plus
help with training and staff accommodation, incentives to set up
additional routes, free offices and cut-price landing charges. The
Walloonian government justified the package as a way of attracting
visitors and investment to an area of high unemployment and deprivation.
But Brussels' main city airport, Zaventem, complained to the European
commission, claiming Charleroi's use of public funds amounted to unfair
competition.
What did the European commission decide?
Ryanair was ordered to pay back some, but not all, of the subsidies it
received. The commission said discounts on landing fees and
ground-handling services at the publicly owned Charleroi airport were
illegal under EU antitrust rules and must be repaid. However, subsidies
to help marketing and opening an office at the airport were permissible
if limited in time and justified by a business plan that foresaw profit
within three years.
How much will Ryanair have to pay?
About €4.3m (£3m), which means that Ryanair has escaped relatively
lightly. Since it struck its deal with Charleroi in 2001, Ryanair has
received at least €12m in all manner of subsidies at the airport.
How badly will the ruling hurt Ryanair?
Michael O'Leary, Ryanair's chief executive, said the ruling undermined
his competitive edge and will force up fares. Before the verdict, the
outspoken Ryanair boss had warned that the decision could be devastating
for budget carriers, forcing them to rip up dozens of deals with
publicly owned airports. Anticipating an adverse ruling, Mr O'Leary said
the decision was a "a complete cock-up by bureaucrats in Brussels
designed to overturn 20 years of deregulation".
What did other discount carriers say?
They accused Ryanair of hyping up the threat to low-cost airlines in the
hope of getting the proposals watered down. Ryanair's rivals, such as
EasyJet, are not as dependent as the Irish company on favourable deals
struck with airports. EasyJet has only one such arrangement - in Berlin.
How extensive are Ryanair's deals with airports?
Ryanair has deals with 19 state-owned French regional airports, beloved
by British second-home owners, so the ruling will mean higher prices
"for all the chateau-owners in the shires", as Mr O'Leary put it. As far
as Ryanair is concerned, 20% of its traffic goes through publicly owned
airports. If these deals unravel, there will be an increase in airport
costs, which form about one-fifth of total costs.
What else ails Ryanair?
Ryanair last month disclosed its first fall in profits since 1989 and
admitted it had been forced to slash its fares by up to 30% to fill its
aircraft. Ryanair admitted it was suffering from price cuts by
traditional carriers such as British Airways and Air France. The airline
is considering a pay freeze for its 2,000 employees and is delaying the
delivery of five new aircraft.
Did Ryanair expand too fast?
Yes. Ryanair developed faster than any other airline in Europe, becoming
its biggest low-cost carrier. It aggressively marketed low fares to
increase the numbers of passengers, and numbers quadrupled from 4
million in 1998 to 16 million in 2003. It kept costs low by using only
one type of aircraft, flying to outlying airports where landing fees are
low and taking 90% of bookings on the internet. But BA and Air France
have hit back with their own discounts and demand has not kept up with
Ryanair's breakneck expansion.
Is Ryanair still growing?
Mr O'Leary has told everyone who wanted to hear that he wants Ryanair to
be Europe's biggest airline. Ryanair has orders with Boeing to at least
double its fleet to 120 aircraft by 2009. Yet the airline is halving its
proposed capacity growth this year to 22%.
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