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Archive - Feb 2007

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Iran: brinkmanship or a real threat?

26 February 2006

Sitting just over the other side of the Persian gulf from Dubai is the mighty and historic nation of Iran. The growing tensions between Iran and the USA are by far the biggest threat to stability in the region and to the success of Dubai as a global geopolitical and trading centre.

A diplomatic solution to the profound differences between Teheran and Washington may still be possible but looks increasingly less likely. As major differences and difficulties intensify the possibility of a military strike by either Israel or the USA increases.

Such an attack would be designed to set back Iran's nuclear capability by at least 5 years. The US attack would be by air; they do not have the resources for a ground attack given their other Middle East commitments. An air attack would be aimed at destroying as much if the Iranian air defense capability as possible while at the same time destroying research, development and training facilities for nuclear and missile technology

The attack would also be aimed at Iran's navy in order to eliminate as far as possible retaliatory attacks on Gulf shipping.

It would be foolish  to see this as anything other than the beginning of a long complex confrontation with no clear ending. It would also increase rather than eliminate Iran's desire for nuclear technology.

How did it come to this:

The US under the Bush regime has a clear intent to reverse the rise in Iranian power that has been an unintended consequence of the war in Iraq. Indeed the US appears willing to accet the risk of open confrontation and possibly igniting a regional sectarian war between Shia and Sunni Muslims.

Elements of the tough new approach towards Tehran outlined by Hersh include:

The New Yorker magazine this week argues that the US is already undertaking clandestine operations against Iran and Syria, as well as the Hizbullah movement in Lebanon, even to the extent of bolstering Sunni extremist groups that are sympathetic to al-Qaida; there's an irony.

The magazine states that US special forces have been sent into Iranian territory in pursuit of Iranian operatives, as well as to gather intelligence. Further that these operations are being funded by or through Saudi Arabia to avoid scrutiny by Congress. 

Leading the fight is Vice President Cheney who is apparently advised by Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the Saudi national security adviser, who spent 22 years as ambassador to the US, and who has been offering his advice on foreign policy to Mr Bush since he first contemplated running for president.

Cheney has reaffirmed that war with Iran remained an option if it did not dismantle its nuclear programme. Yet the Iranian president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has said that there could be no stopping or rolling back of his country's nuclear programme. "The train of the Iranian nation is without brakes and a rear gear," Iranian radio reported Mr Ahmadinejad as saying.

The question is whether GW Bush will insist on doing something about Iran before he leaves office. In seeking to contain Iranian influence - and that of its most powerful protege, the Hizbullah leader, Hassan Nasrallah - the US has worked with the governments of Saudi Arabia and Israel. Both countries see a powerful Iran as an existential threat, and the Saudis suspect Tehran's hand behind rising sectarian tensions in its eastern province, as well as a spate of bombing attacks inside the kingdom.

But in Iran the people hold a self-perception of Iran as one of the world's historic powers. Nuclear technology is seen as an essential part of its place in the world. And if Pakistan and India have nuclear capability then why shouldn't Iran. Indeed if the USA lives of nuclear power why shouldn't Iran. It is a persuasive domestic argument.

The British meanwhile are taking the diplomatic lead in the UN and are seeking a tough new UN resolution capable of winning not only American and EU support but that of a more sceptical Russia and China as well. The International Atomic Energy Agency formally reported back to the UN last week that Iran had flouted the Security Council's 60-day deadline to freeze its enrichment programme and thus allay international concerns that it is developing a nuclear weapon. Instead, it had expanded the programme by setting up hundreds of centrifuges.

The likelihood is that Iran would ignore any new UN sanctions or deadlines.....and then what happens?

Ed: A map of the Middle East is here.

The end of Suan Lum night bazaar

24 February 2007

The Crown Property Bureau has awarded Central Pattana (CPN) a 30-year lease to develop a 6.4-hectare section of the former Bangkok Pre-Cadet School, near Lumpini Park, which is currently occupied by the Suan Lum Night Bazaar.

This is a tragedy for Bangkok. The night bazaar is a lovely place for both tourist and locals to eat and walk around in all the small shops that can only exist in this open space area under the night sky.

Suan Lum Night Bazaar, has the usual market outlets with carved frogs, coconut cutlery, copy cds and the usual knick-knacks, but it also has stalls run by Thai artists and designers selling ceramics, lanterns, clothing and furniture. Much of it is very contemporary and represents the great creativity and artistic talents of so many young Thais. Better still you can put it all in a shipping container to send it all home.

But Suan Lum is more than just a market; there is a huge open air food court surrounded by many food and drink stalls. On the stage at the front performers sing and dance; there is even the ferris wheel from Paris' Millennium celebrations.

There are coffee shops, restaurants and the Joe Louis puppet theatre.

So just what Bangkok needs, another shopping mall. The Central group already have World Trade, Central, Big C and loads of other shopping malls in this area.

For market lovers there will (for the moment) still be Jatuchak (JJ) but it is only on weekends and only during the daytime. In the hot season it is not pleasant.

According to the statement released by the bureau yesterday, CPN's proposal for developing the site met its design and concept criteria for creating a landmark and a true centerpiece attraction for Bangkok. The plan maps out a complex, including world-class shopping facilities, offices and a hotel.

The former lease agreement between the Crown Property Bureau and P Con Development (Thai) for the entire Pre-Cadet School site of 20.3 hectares expired in March last year.

At that time, the Crown Property Bureau gave a grace period of one year to allow small retailers in the Suan Lum Night Bazaar to find new locations. That grace period expires on April 30 this year. Presumably by that date the market will be closed.

Please sir, may I have my satellites back....

19 February 2007

Investor beware; Gen.Sonthi Boonyaratglin, the Commander-in-Chief of the Royal Thai Army and Chairman of the Council for National Security (CNS), delivered a special lecture under the topic of “Patriotic Ideologies” last Friday, saying that he will bring back national assets, especially the Thaicom Satellite, from Singapore.

The Thaicom Satellite concession was sold by Shin Corp, the satellite’s concessionaire, to Singapore’s Temasek Corporation.

Few acquisitions have gone as spectacularly wrong for the purchaser. Singapore is nursing a $900m paper loss and, far from cementing relations between the two countries, the deal was one of the sparks that led to the coup against the Thai government.

Following the General's breast beating speech the military-appointed government vowed on Monday to reclaim satellites and possibly other assets sold by ousted Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra's family to Singapore, but said it was unsure how to do it. I suspect Singapore would take cash at par.  Not much chance of that !

“Getting them back, that is definitely what we want to do. But the question is how?,” Communications Minister Sitthichai Pookaiyaudom told a Bangkok radio station. "I want the nation's belongings back," said Sonthi Boonyaratkalin, army chief.

Bangkok has zeroed in on five satellites controlled by Shin Corp subsidiary Shin Satellite Pcl and the General has accused Singapore of using Shin assets, including Thailand's biggest mobile phone operator AIS, to monitor military phone calls. AIS and Shin Satellite have denied eavesdropping.

The uncertainty drove Shin Corp shares down more than 7 percent on Monday, while Shin Satellite ended up 0.71 percent.

There is no indication Temasek is willing to sell any Shin assets, even though the paper value of its investment has dropped by nearly half. It is hard to marry the General's wishes with those of Temasek, which will want to avoid the loss of face and taxpayers' dollars that that would entail. Selling Shin Corp's operating assets to Bangkok – the sale of Thai Satellite in particular would please Gen Sonthi – would put Temasek in a poor negotiating position. And it would not actually address the foreign ownership issue at the holding company level.

But that may not be necessary if a Thai investigation conveniently finds that the Singaporean firm violated foreign ownership laws. Shin Satellite's operating licence could then be revoked if investigators conclude it is a foreign controlled company. The fact that the deal structure mirrors that used as custom and practice by hundreds of foreign firms operating in Thailand has been conveniently forgotten.  According to Thai stock exchange data, Shin Corp (controlled by Temasek) holds 41.3 percent of Shin Satellite with the remaining shares controlled by Thai and foreign investors.

Most Thais support the government position and believe the government should reclaim Thai assets from Singapore. Where does this stop. Should everything Thai be 100% Thai owned. Should every company be nationalised? Is Thailand a part of the global economy? Should Thai's overseas assets be returned to their host countries. And who was it that was recently bidding for Liverpool football club?

But there is little understanding of big business and little information to show that Thais satellite assets are far from unique in being foreign controlled. Temasek also owns Australian satellites. Many telecoms companies the world over have foreign owners, and in many cases they also operate satellites. DTAC's majority ownership in Thailand is held by Telenor controlled by the Norwegan government. Go to the UK: the only satellite broadcaster (Sky) is owned by News Corp of the USA and major cellphone providers are owned as follows O2 (Spain), Orange (France), 3 (Hong Kong), Vodafone (UK).

The Temasek purchase was a valid and legal transaction. Advisors to Temasek on the deal were Siam Commercial Bank; there was no suggestion from them that the deal might in any way not be legal or that the sale of technology assets might be somehow inappropriate.

Yet the backlash against the Shin Corp takeover has also prompted a re-drafting of foreign ownership rules to ban multiple holding companies, historically used by foreigners to secure majority control. A combination of changes to the FBA and "patriotic ideologies" should make any potential investor into Thailand very wary indeed.

 

The dress that is the news in Bangkok

18 February 2007

Chotiros ''Amy'' Suriyawong got her front page headlines after she appeared in this rather revealing frock for the Subhannahongse (Thailand's version of the Academy Awards) presentation.

She wanted media attention and picked the outfit accordingly. What she got was criticism at the highest levels, the loss of a small movie contract and an instruction to undertake community service.

Ah the hypocrisy of it all; she probably got a large number of attractive mia noi offers and a few more interesting movie offers as well; although probably not as a demure heroine!

The dress and the 22-year-old actress have become a hot topic for debate in newspaper opinion pages and online chat rooms.

And it was too much for Suraphol Nitikraipot, rector of Bangkok's Thammasat University, where Ms Suriyawong is a student in the Liberal Arts faculty. "Society feels this is a disgrace and that her actions have affected the reputation of this university," he said. Ms Suriyawong was reportedly forced to demonstrate to the university that the dress had specially sewn-in underwear. She said that although the dress was revealing, she was wearing underwear. This is rather hard to see! And the "nom yaai" look suitably enhanced.

The university  ordered her to make a public apology and carry out community service for 15 days - she has been asked to read to the blind. They decided that suspension might just be a little too much punishment.

The university was not acting in isolation. It was prodded by the military junta. Thailand's Ministry of Culture called Chotiros' choice of dress 'very inappropriate' and the wrong message for a public role model to send to young Thais.

The offending black dress that Chotiros wore is held together by thin strips of fabric and is said to have been inspired by Elizabeth Hurley's infamous Versace safety-pin dress, which launched the British beauty's career when she wore it to a London film premiere in 1994.

In her press conference last week she apologised and said  'I feel very guilty about what happened. I want to apologise', said Chotiros, in a white button-down shirt and cardigan, her hair pulled back demurely into a loose bun. 'I didn't know it was going to be such a big deal.'  The naiveté of youth!! She attended the news conference with deans from Thammasat University.

Commentators in Thai newspapers felt the whole episode smacked of hypocrisy. The only crime Ms. Chotiros appears to have committed is a lack of style and taste. No one arrested her. She does not appear to have caused offence; just made a few heads turn! The idea that she should somehow be punished for this is a bit of a nonsense.

Visa madness

17 February 2007

As a cabin crew member at Emirates Airline my fiance can enter more or less any country in the world (except the USA) without requiring a visa. As long, that is, as she is working; in uniform and in the responsibility if Emirates.

But she is Thai; and when she wants to travel for pleasure; on her (our !!) own account she can basically only travel in SE Asia and some parts of Africa and the Middle East without a visa. Everywhere that she and I want to travel will require her to obtain a visa. The UK, France, Greece, Canada, Australia, will all insist that she has a visa; and they are not that easy to obtain in Dubai, where some countries do not have consular representation.

This makes so little sense. She is employed (I am not !); she has a job that she loves. She will always have a return ticket back to Dubai. There is no one less likely to be seeking a long term stay in any of these countries that insist on visas for Thai citizens. Meanwhile Brits, Canadians and Aussies etc can enter Thailand for 30 days without a visa.

It is annoyingly racist and rather offensive. It is also time consuming and not practical. She travels for work; and has to take her passport with her. So opportunities to obtain a visa hard to find, given that embassies are not the most customer focused of places and like to take their time.

Fact and fiction from Sofitel

17 February 2007

The trouble with Sofitel's latest press release for their summer opening of a new hotel in Dubai is that none of this yet exists: Burj Dubai is unlikely to be completed until late 2008 or 2009; there is no lake; there are no white sandy beaches and no sign of a golf course. And the 1,200 shop Dubai Mall is still a very large building site. Stil, like most of Dubai; it will be great when it is finished. For the summer the Sofitel's guests will be admiring the building site from their hotel rooms!

The press release follows:

Paris (PRWeb) February 17, 2007 -- Sofitel, the prestige brand of the Accor hotels, continues its expansion in the Middle East, with the opening in July 2007, of a second hotel in Dubai, Sofitel The Palace.

The latest addition to Dubai's famed-hospitality sector is situated at the heart of one of the latest and most spectacular projects, The Old Town Island, which is part of the Downtown Burj Dubai development by Emaar Properties. A harmonious blend of the past and present, The Old Town Island is being conceived as a traditional village, faced with a striking symbol of modernity. It provides unobstructed views of Burj Dubai, on its course to becoming the tallest building in the world.

Sofitel The Palace fits perfectly into the unusual setting. A real palace reminiscent of the ambience of the "1001 Nights," the project has vaulted ceilings and oriental sculptures encircling a huge swimming pool. Located on the banks of a lake, in front of the Burj Dubai, the hotel has 242 rooms and suites with balconies overlooking the lake or The Old Town, a residential project.

At 550 square feet, the rooms are spacious and tastefully decorated in warm colors, which marry style and oriental tradition in perfect harmony. The 74 suites have apartments ranging from 700 square feet to just over 1000 square feet, while the Imperial Suite (over 5,000 square feet) boasts four apartments on two floors. All rooms feature Mybed, the Sofitel bedding concept, which guarantees rejuvenating sleep.

The Palace offers its guests the refinement of top-notch service with the latest technology. These include Guest Relation service on every floor, a Butler attached to each room, limousine service to the airport or main shopping areas and wireless internet access in all rooms. Guests can also enjoy a ride on the traditional abra (ferry) service to Downtown Burj Dubai, relax on the white sandy beaches located within close proximity or tee-off at a nearby golf course.

The three hotel restaurants offer a world tour of gastronomy: the Thiptara, with its refined setting overlooking the lake, offers guests an excellent seafood menu with a distinctive Thai flavour. The Asado, an Argentinean restaurant where the meat is cooked "asador criollo" on an open grill in the middle of the restaurant for musical dinners, and the Ewaan offers a collection of Mediterranean tastes. For quieter moments, the Lounge Bar offers a selection of teas, coffees and cocktails along with French and oriental pastries. The Shisha area, on the other hand, offers more than a change of scenery; a moment of complete rest to smoke on the terrace whilst admiring the horizon.

For business trips and seminars the Sofitel Palace offers its guests a business centre, secretarial and computer facilities, conference rooms for groups ranging from 12 to 300 people, and a 'Board Meeting Room' which ensures confidentiality and efficiency for up to 16 people.

LeSpa at Sofitel
Inspired by its Oriental heritage, the 10,000 square feet of LeSpa is completely dedicated to the well-being and relaxation of its guests in a luxurious setting. With hammams, Jacuzzis, massages under a Vichy shower, Monsoon showers, five suites devoted entirely to massage, four spa rooms, a gym, a relaxation area, a beauty salon and a hairdresser, LeSpa at Sofitel not only helps ease away stresses and worries, but also ensures clients look and feel good.

A village in the heart of the city

The Old Town Island is a successful example of sensitive urbanization; a harmonious blend of oriental traditions and modernity, with its alleys and pedestrian walkways bursting with shops and restaurants. Just a few yards from the hotel, the Dubai Mall, the biggest shopping center in the world, with its 1200 shops, its amazing "souk de l'or", and huge walkway flanked by an aquarium and an Olympic size ice rink, presents an unique center of attraction. The central location of Old Town Island allows for easy access to all the attractions of Dubai; whether it's the beaches of Jumeirah, the various shopping malls, or the imposing World Trade Center, perfect for business conferences.

Sofitel: 200 premium hotels around the world
Because no one country or city is the same, Sofitel has made each of its 200 hotels around the world a truly unique establishment. Combining the spirit of each place with the values of modernity, refinement and absolute comfort, they are all imbued in their inimitable way with the French "art de vivre".
Whether their setting is a great business metropolis like Paris, New York or Bangkok, or nestling in the landscape in Indonesia, Polynesia or Brazil, each Sofitel hotel offers travelers a genuine haven of peace. So that each guest, for an overnight stay or longer, during a business trip or for a holiday, can enjoy the rich variety of these unique places in comfort and tranquility.


 

Making their minds up at Don Muang - domestic only (today!)

17 February 2007

Thailand's wonderfully indecisive military government has now determined that Don Muang airport will re-open in two to three weeks but will only serve only non-connecting domestic flights.

General Surayud, the current non-elected Prime Minister, made the announcement  yesterday in his capacity as chair of the committee on operating policies for Suvarnabhumi and Don Muang airports.

The go-ahead for the initial reopening of domestic services followed opposition from the Board of Airline Representatives which disagrees that its members should have to split services between Don Muang and Suvarnabhumi. The board represents over 60 international airlines.

Part of Bangkok's air traffic would return to Don Muang to allow repairs at Suvarnabhumi airport, Gen Surayud said.

Transport Minister Theera Haocharoen will propose Don Muang's service for non-connecting domestic flights for cabinet approval next Tuesday.

Adm Theera said the return would reduce traffic at Suvarnabhumi by 17%, or 71 flights a day. Nok Air and One-To-Go airlines will move back completely while Thai Airways International will deploy part of its domestic routes to Don Muang.

The new arrangement appears designed to hurt Thai Air Asia which is largely seen in Thailand as being controlled by Malaysian and Singaporean interests, through the sale of Shin Corp to Temasek.

In reality it is inevitable that some international flights will have to return to Don Muang eventually to help ease air traffic at Suvarnabhumi in the future due to likely delays in its expansion plan. It is alos still unclear how much damage there really is at the new showpiece airport and how much disruption will be caused by repairs.

Yesterday's decision was met with a protest by Thai AirAsia. Tassapon Bijleveld, the airline's chief executive officer, cannot split TAA's services between two airports. TAA's 737s fly both domestic and international routes with minimal turnarounds. He said Thai AirAsia would not return to Don Muang, even after Suvarnabhumi became heavily congested.

 

Sights that you wont see in Dubai

15 February 2007

 

Bangkok and Vancouver - opposites attract

15 February 2007

The Vancouver WestEnder last week published this travel feature comparing the joys of Bangkok to life back home in Vancouver. Ther eis nothig very new here but it is a fun comparions of two of my favourite cities.

It’s messy, archaic and sometimes lawless, but the Thai capital is uncommonly alive

On a pleasantly warm night, halfway down Sukhumvit Soi 11 Road, the glory of Bangkok is on full display. To the right is a glitzy, futuristic nightclub called Bed, with its huge oval-shaped façade that flashes like a dance-floor light show.

That’s not it, though. The real glory of Bangkok is on the other side of the street. It’s a little truck, parked at the curb. The back of the truck has been opened up to boast a full portable bar — a miniature mobile watering hole complete with wooden counters and stools, rows of bottles, and a little multicoloured light revolving defiantly in response to the hi-tech spectacle across the road. CCR’s “Proud Mary” pumps from a stereo system. A couple of tourists lean back on their stools, drinking in the near-full moon, the passing traffic, the calls of the massage-parlour girls, and the probably-watered-down liquor.

Fancy nightclubs are pretty much everywhere, but guerilla bars in foldout pickups that set up in an available parking spot and then disappear before the cops arrive? That, among many other things, is the glory of Bangkok.

In this town, merchants make opportunistic use of space, and they generally don’t ask permission. Fines or bribes will be paid and then it’s back to business. In ways good and bad, Bangkok is like the anti-Vancouver: chaos reigns; regulation is overwhelmed; the results are filth, danger, aggravation, and glorious, riotous life.

It’s easy to romanticize when you don’t live here — chaos can be fun to visit. But after taking a bus from the airport and experiencing the black fumes and incremental progress of Bangkok traffic, the downside is really the first thing you become aware of. Amenities are sometimes sketchy. This is a town held together with bandages and baling wire.

Daily tasks are no picnic either. You can walk on the sidewalk if you like — people here accept lots of odd behaviour. But a Bangkok sidewalk rarely seems designed for forward pedestrian progress. Bangkok sidewalks are for planting signs, digging holes, parking, driving over the curb, running sewage pipes up out of the ground, piling sand, and, most of all, selling. Stalls on Sukhumvit turn many blocks into bottlenecks, particularly in the cool of the evening. There’s cheap crap of nearly every description: knock-off jeans, glasses, bags, knick-knacks, porn, plus the latest pirated movies from Hollywood.

And there’s food. That’s the glory of Bangkok, too.

It’s hard to overcome natural Canadian squeamishness as you sit down on a dirty plastic stool at a spotty folding table on a filthy, crowded sidewalk to eat food cooked on a little cart from raw ingredients that sit in bowls drawing flies. But you really must. It’s such excellent food, and it usually costs the equivalent of about a buck and a half. And anyway, over the past few years I have had the dubious honour of contracting food poisoning the world over, from Vancouver to Hanoi to Hong Kong to Paris and beyond. Yet on four visits to Bangkok, eating very frequently at little street operations — last night, for example — I have yet to come down with so much as indigestion.

So, to sing the glory of Bangkok is not just to romanticize. It helps to explain why, despite the military coup and the deadly New Year’s Eve explosions (not to mention the 2004 tsunami), Thailand has recently seen an increase in tourism. Those who like it, with all its noise and stink, like it a lot. One woman who lost a leg in a New Year’s Eve explosion enthusiastically claimed she’d be returning soon. Now that would make one hell of a TV ad.

Locals need the help, too. People scramble to make a living here, and few know how to scramble like the Thais (the little mobile bar in the pick-up truck, for example). It’s frustrating for legitimate operators like Andrew Clark, the Vancouver Island native who runs Q Bar, often described as Bangkok’s premier nightspot. “We get inspectors in here nailing us on every little thing,” he says. “So we say, ‘What about those little bars on Sukhumvit that don’t even have licences?’ And the inspectors say, ‘Right, they don’t have licences, so we can’t regulate them. If we shut them down, they pay a little fine and open up again. Since they aren’t licensed, we can’t inspect them.’

“That’s the local logic,” Clark says ruefully. “As a Canadian, you say, ‘What? They don’t get licences so they’re above the law?’ But Thais think that’s normal.

“We said to the inspectors, ‘We ought to just open up another place right across the street with no licence,” Clark recalls. “And the inspectors said, ‘Yeah — you should!’”

Sam Sullivan likely isn’t taking notes on this. Just as well — the good matrons of Kerrisdale might quibble about zigzagging around the fried-squid vendors, the tuk-tuk drivers, and the whispering guys who want to show you their little brochures.

Besides, if we did have all that stuff, there wouldn’t be any reason to visit Bangkok, and that would never do.

EK announces Houston from Dec 2007

8 February 2007

Emirates has announced the December 3rd launch of its new Boeing 777-200LR non-stop service between Houston and Dubai which will initially operate three times a week, increasing to a daily service starting February 1, 2008.

Flight EK212 departs Houston (IAH) at 6:25 p.m. on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays and arrives in Dubai (DXB) at 7:35 p.m. the next day.

The return flight EK211 departs Dubai at 9:05 a.m. on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays, and arrives in Houston at 4:10 p.m. the same day.

Currently, Emirates has three daily flights to Dubai from JFK.

Emirates' new non-stop service from Houston further expands its North American presence, adding a key component to its rapidly growing global route network by making service to Dubai easily accessible from the Southwest, West Coast and Midwest regions of the U.S.

In announcing the new service, HH Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al-Maktoum, Chairman and Chief Executive, Emirates Airline and Group said, "We believe there is a strong and growing demand for convenient air travel connections between the U.S. and cities in the Middle East and Indian Subcontinent, as illustrated by the success of Emirates' services from New York's JFK.

"It has been our intention to expand our presence in North America and the delivery of our new 777-200LRs aircraft later this year will enable us to operate these ultra long-haul routes efficiently, while providing our passengers with the latest comforts and amenities onboard. We very much look forward to starting services from Houston, our second gateway in the U.S."

On the Houston-Dubai route, Emirates' technologically-advanced 777-200LR aircraft will offer the latest in-flight amenities, featuring 266 seats in a three-class configuration with up to 18 tons of cargo capacity. Designed for optimum comfort on ultra long-haul travel, it will be fitted with eight luxurious private suites in First class, 42 of its latest lie-flat seats in Business class, and generous space for 216 passengers in Economy class. Emirates will also operate the flight with two crews onboard, to ensure passengers receive the highest levels of service and care throughout the journey.

When launched, the Houston-Dubai non-stop service will also be one of Emirates' longest flights -- at just over 15 hours flying time to Dubai, while the longer return journey will be at 17 hours flying time.

Passengers in all classes will enjoy the award-winning service from Emirates' international cabin crew recruited from over 100 countries around the world, meals prepared by gourmet chefs, as well as the airline's cutting-edge 'ice' (information, communication, entertainment) system, which offers a selection of over 600 channels of entertainment on-demand and the ability to send and receive email and text messages from their personal in-seat entertainments systems.

In addition to Houston, Emirates has already unveiled plans to start services in 2007 to Venice in July, Newcastle in September, and Sao Paulo in October.

Setting the record straight on Thaksin

7 February 2007

The Thai Journalists Association and the Thai Broadcasters Association yesterday sent a letter to the management of Time magazine to present the truth regarding deposed Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra's allegation against the Thai media.

The letter read as follows:

Dear Editor,

Shame on your interview with Thaksin Shinawatra (Time Asia edition Feb 13).

Time magazine allowed Thaksin to tell lies. Thaksin has the audacity to say that the Thai press printed "groundless information" about him and that he never "intervened" in Thai media activities or closed them down. Let the truth be told.

Before he came to power, the Thai press was considered one of the freest in the world, ranking 29th in the survey done by Freedom House in 2000. During his reign until September 19, the Thai press fell to a depressing 107th position last year.

Similar conclusions can be found on indexes and reported by the Committee to Protect Journalists and Reporters Without Frontiers. Thaksin constantly interfered with the Thai print and broadcast media using advertising revenues and stock acquisitions as key strategies. He shut down community radios, websites and TV programmes critical of him.

Political power was used to intimidate the media, particularly the broadcast media, which are largely owned by the state. The management of these outlets came under tremendous government pressure to put him in a positive light, while those who failed to conform or attempted to expose corruption faced the risk of being intimidated through various means, including the threat of staggering lawsuits.

The legal battles between Shin Corp, which is owned by the Shinawatra family, and the Thai Post and media rights activist Supinya Klangnarong, are some of the cases in point. English language daily, the Bangkok Post, also faced the wrath of Thaksin after reporting about cracks on the runway at the Suvarnabhumi International Airport.

We are opposed to all kinds of media interference, intervention or intimidation, and have protested strongly against signs of such actions by the leaders of the September 19 coup. But the truth is, so far, no Thai leaders have messed up the Thai media more than Thaksin.

Thai Journalists Association & the Thai Broadcasters Association

The rebirth of Don Muang

6 February 2007

It was inevitable. Don Muang is to be re- born. The Thai government has approved a plan for two international airports in Bangkok, giving second life to the 93-year-old airport at Don Muang which was closed last year, supposedly forever.

The $3.7 billion new airport needs massive repairs to taxiways and runways. It has a leaking roof, unattractive terminal, lack of signboards and toilets, poor lighting and faulty air-conditioning. And no one has even bothered to take down the Christmas decorations!The picture was taken yesterday at the new airport! Very festive! Perhaps they just put them up early for next year!

Above all else the new airport is simply too small to serve Bangkok on its own.

The government had first suggested that domestic flights without international connections operate from Don Muang, but many airlines feared that lack of a transport link between the two airports could cause inconvenience for overseas-bound passengers flying in from the provinces.

Transport Minister Thira Haocharoen said the airport could be used within 45 days after a final decision was made, adding that renovation works were going on to re-open the Don Muang Airport which used to be an airfield for the Royal Thai Army and opened in 1914. He said the government would let airlines decide if they want to return to the Don Muang, operate from both airports or maintain their current base at Suvarnabhumi.

So much for Thailand as the undisputed aviation hub of Asia. Details of how this will work; and how passengers will be informed and confusion avoided are still to be worked out. There have been so many changes of mind - expect more !

Desert Golf

3 February 2007

The golf world has descended this week on Dubai for the Dubai Desert Masters. The Majalis Course at the Emirates Golf club is far from looking like a desert; more like a beautifully manicured piece of Phoenix or Palm Springs. The pro golfers are truly spoiled; the have lovely fairways; carpet like greens, great practice facilities, ball spotters and passive crowds.

The crowds are so well behaved at golf; no one dares say a word or cough of blow a large raspberry, But truly watching live golf is simply not exciting. At least on TV they can switch cameras to where the action is. But following a group around a course is an insomniac's delight. The golfers themselves show the personalities of funeral attendants. The crowd are clearly there to be tolerated and no more than that. Certainly there is no thought of engaging in friendly chat as they spend 5 hours walking the golf course. And some golfers can hear a pin drop over one hundred yards away. They must see ear specialists. Or it is just an excuse to frown more.

In Dubai golf is played against a background of building noises, jack hammers and the call to prayer. The players seem OK with this; but a rustle of paper or the opening of a can they can hear from miles away !

It is time to make golf fun. Have golfers where team colours; allow the fans to cheer or jeer and applaud or abuse the players; then tell them that unless they are standing on someone's line they have to put out. Marking puts that are less than a foot is simply time consuming.

Anyway a few pics of the course; sadly not of the golf; the no camera rules were being strictly enforced; presumably because Tiger had a moan after the first day.

 

Thaksin does Time

3 February 2007

No - not that sort of Time - no one has locked Thaksin up; in fact no one has been able to find anything to charge him with; and since the coupd to outs him was over four months ago; and was meant to be an assault on the corruption of the previous regime that is quite alarming.

But Thaksin is still giving interviews and people are still listening and reading. This is his interview with Time Magazine, from 1 February 2007.

"Since he was toppled from power last September, Thaksin Shinawatra has been crisscrossing the globe. TIME's Southeast Asia Bureau Chief Hannah Beech caught up with Thailand's former Prime Minister on Jan. 25 in Tokyo, where they spoke about the military coup against him, the new regime in Bangkok, and what he intends to do with his life. Excerpts:

TIME: You've asserted that you and your old political party, Thai Rak Thai, were highly popular. Yet there was hardly any public outcry against the coup.
THAKSIN: It was the same with Thailand's 17 other coups. First, the people are shocked. Then they start to voice their concerns. And then they start to accept it, especially after it's endorsed by His Majesty the King. They're very disciplined. They obey. But they are watching what [the new rulers] are doing, and when they will return democracy to the people. People's tolerance is limited.

The new government has been responsible for controversial policies—the capital controls in December, and the proposed changes to the Foreign Business Act that could limit overseas ownership of companies in Thailand. What do you think of such moves?
No one can adopt protectionism anymore. Thailand has to be ready for globalization—you cannot turn your back on it. Anything that reverses what is already very open will cause confusion and uncertainty. This is when investors pull out.

You've met with business leaders in Japan, which is traditionally the biggest foreign investor in Thailand. What did you tell them?
I said this is a hiccup for Thailand, to not lose confidence in the country, that democracy will prevail and that their investments will bear fruit.

The junta has claimed that forces loyal to you were responsible for the New Year's Eve bombings in Bangkok. How do you respond?
I absolutely deny any connection. [Those responsible] must be brought to justice. Pointing a finger at somebody else, without evidence and investigation, is not right.

The junta also accuses you and your government of corruption.
The allegations are baseless. I asked very detailed questions about projects that went to the Cabinet for approval, and I shot down many of them. In all the previous 17 coups, corruption was one of the excuses. But some juntas ended up being more corrupt. At any rate, corruption will not go away in Thailand—it's in the system.

You have criticized the junta for muzzling the media, but you were accused of doing the same during your time in office.
The press printed groundless information about me. The press should not print unless it has all the facts because this can hurt the reputations of others. So I criticized them; sometimes I used strong words.

You did more than just express strong words. You slapped lawsuits on newspapers that printed things you didn't like.
That was the only way I could seek justice. But I never intervened in their activities or closed them down.

How mature is Thailand's democracy?
Without democracy it's not possible for Thailand to prosper, because without democracy, we will not get the trust and confidence [of investors] to develop the country. If you look at the development of civilizations, the first curve of civilization is military, or the prestige game. The second curve is industrialization, or the wealth game. The current curve is the wisdom game—information technology. We have to compete in the wisdom game; we should not be competing in the prestige game. But [the junta] wants to bring the country backward. That is not good. You should take the country forward.

Will you return to politics?
Right after I was ousted by the coup, I had mixed feelings. The negative feeling was that this was unfortunate for Thailand and its democracy, that the confidence I tried very hard to restore after the 1997 financial crisis would be lost. The positive part was, oh, I can retire now, I can have time for myself, for my family, I can meet friends and relax. Life is not that long, so if you can bring some happiness to yourself and your family, that's good ... I'm quite confident that if I ran [for election] today, I would win, [but] I have no political ambitions. I am calling it quits. "

Thailand's Titanic struggle

3 February 2007 - The Irrawaddy

By Thitnan Pongsudhirak

Thaksin lost political power but not his potency to trigger another military coup


BANGKOK: -- After more than a year of prolonged political crisis and confrontation, capped by last September’s military coup, Thailand’s murky political environment appears headed towards even greater uncertainty and instability. The coup restored the “holy trinity” of the military, the bureaucracy and the monarchy to the apex of Thailand’s socio-political hierarchy, and put down, at least for the time being, the upstart new order represented by deposed Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra and his crew. However, the putsch did not put away Thaksin politically for the myriad corruption accusations and alleged abuses of power that hounded his five-year rule.

By New Year’s Eve, when multiple and coordinated bomb blasts convulsed central Bangkok, it became clear that what has transpired since September 19 is a coup gone wrong. Insinuating that remnants of Thaksin’s ousted regime were culpable for the lethal bomb attacks, the military junta, the self-styled Council for National Security, still looked inept because of its inability to maintain security in the capital.

Already reeling from a series of setbacks ranging from the failed liberalization of the underground lottery and slow progress in prosecuting the Shinawatra family’s shady land purchase and tax evasion to policy flip-flops on capital controls, the government of caretaker Prime Minister Surayud Chulanont, an erstwhile privy councillor and former army commander-in-chief, consequently became more reliant on the CNS as security priorities surged to the forefront of its policy agenda against the backdrop of its apparent technocratic incompetence.

As both the CNS and the Surayud government have lost their way in the aftermath of the coup, what is likely to take place from here onwards is the continuation of a titanic struggle between the forces of the Establishment and those of Thaksin. At stake will be no less than Thailand’s very heart and soul. Three concurrent trends portend why and how this grand battle will run its course.

First, Thaksin still represents a potent and unrivalled political phenomenon previously unseen in Thailand. He commands deep pockets, thanks to a telecommunications and media empire built on state concessions and government connections. The sale of his family’s flagship company, Shin Corp, to Temasek Holdings early last year netted Thaksin a 73.3 billion baht (US $2 billion) windfall.

Moreover, Thaksin is a unique, consummate personality, who can count on a vast network of contacts, informants, sympathizers, and loyalists in many echelons of the police, the military, the bureaucracy, the private sector, not to mention the rural masses and urban poor who voted his Thai Rak Thai party into office in January 2001 with two successful re-elections in February 2005 and April 2006 (the latter result subsequently nullified).

Most important, Thaksin believes in the righteousness of his cause. Although his opponents have justifiably denounced him for corruption and abuses of power, Thaksin sees his pro-poor, populist platform as a clutch of innovative ideas to remake Thailand into a more egalitarian society, upending its neo-feudal underpinnings. The Thaksin phenomenon, his denials in media outlets such as CNN notwithstanding, is thus unstoppable because of the sheer force of Thaksin’s personality, belief and resources.

Second, the CNS generals have unwittingly facilitated Thaksin’s political longevity.

After failing to take Thaksin to task aggressively in the fortnight after the coup, the CNS set up a lackluster cabinet full of elderly and mostly retired hands from the bureaucracy, and followed up with the appointment of a national assembly with substantial military representation.

The ruling generals also failed to press their coup justifications of Thaksin’s corruption, constitutional usurpation, societal polarization, and disrespect of the king. Their post-coup management had been so dismal that the New Year’s Eve bomb blasts led to rumors of another coup to tighten the military’s grip and get rid of Thaksin’s agents provocateurs and other agitators for good. Indeed, if its security maintenance slips further and Thaksin continues to gain ground on the generals, a harsher, incumbency coup may be in the offing. It would be a coup staged in the same direction with similar objectives, but with a new leadership and tougher methods and means. Another coup in 2007 would almost certainly delay the already contentious and problematic constitution-drafting and election timetables, and could become a source of street protests, with enabling conditions for Thaksin to make his political comeback.

Finally, the September 19 coup was unlike previous putsches in contemporary Thailand for its critical timing. Its tumultuous aftermath is panning out as Thais enter the twilight of their monarch’s glorious 60-year-old reign in a 21st century kingdom characterized by unresolved polarization and an ongoing tussle for the country’s future after the royal succession. Thailand as it is known today has modernized from an Asian backwater to a middle-income nation with a gleaming metropolitan capital, weighed down by social and income disparities between the rich and middle classes on the one hand and the poor on the other, between Bangkok and the countryside.

Unless the Establishment makes greater efforts in bridging this yawning gap, Thaksin may well get another turn. Whichever side comes out on top in this grand struggle, Thailand as we know it is coming to an end. A new Thailand will emerge in an arduous and contested process during which its denizens and foreign friends from near and far should lend a helping hand as much as they can for as smooth a transition as possible.

 

Football fireworks expected on Sunday

3 February 2007

Football fireworks are expected on Sunday as two of South East Asia's most sensitive nations meet on the football pitch for the second leg of teh South East Asian cup final.

 

Budget airlines taking off in the Middle East

2 February 2007 - The International Herald Tribune

Gulf Arab countries, shedding their traditional reputation for opulence, are the latest to join the phenomenon of no-frills budget airlines that have transformed air travel in Europe and America.

The three chief Middle East budget airlines — Air Arabia, Jazeera Airways and Atlas Blue — have already grabbed 5 percent of the region's air travel market, and analysts say that portion is set to increase in coming years as booming Gulf economies attract more fliers.

Despite the Gulf's luxury-obsessed reputation, there is a healthy market for low-cost flights, said Habib Fekih, president of Airbus Middle East, a unit of the European aircraft manufacturer.

"Many people have this perception of the Gulf as being dedicated to anything first class, but this is not true," Fekih said. "A big part of the population in this part of the world need low fares. They are either Asian laborers or Western expatriates whose number is increasing because of the region's booming economies."

Like Europe's easyJet and Ryanair, and America's Southwest Airlines, budget carriers in the Middle East are connecting mid-sized cities that may otherwise have no direct links.

Common destinations include Egypt's central city of Assiut and coastal city of Sharm el-Sheik, Almaty in Kazakhstan, Iran's holy city of Mashhad, Syria's ancient cities of Aleppo and Damascus, Yerevan in Armenia, and small Indian cities such as Kochi and Nagpur.

Mideast budget airlines offer services similar to their U.S. counterparts, from guaranteed seats and meals for purchase on board to free checked luggage up to 44 pounds. Jazeera offers a "Jazeera Plus" business-class equivalent. That's considerably less luxurious than carriers like Emirates, which fly global routes and are known for first-class service.

On shared destinations, budget airlines are far cheaper than full service airlines. Emirates airlines charges US$540 (€415) for a round-trip from Dubai to Thiruvananthapuram, India. The same trip from Sharjah on Air Arabia costs US$266 (€200). A round trip ticket from Kuwait City to Mumbai, India, costs US$800 (€610) on Kuwait Airways and US$240 (€180) on Jazeera.

Aviation experts say budget carriers' success stems from the easing of government restrictions on competition. Deregulation that has sparked competition in the Gulf still has a long way to go in some markets. Budget airlines are still banned from operating to Cairo, said Abdul Wahab Teffaha, secretary-general of the Arab Air Carriers Organization, a Lebanon-based industry advocacy group.

"In the Arab world, liberalization is a gradual move toward easing restrictions. We are heading in that direction, but I cannot say we are totally there yet," Teffaha saius$540 (€414.75)d.

Sharjah-based Air Arabia, the oldest and largest of the Arab world's three budget airlines, saw its passenger numbers increase from 500,000 in 2004 to 1.8 million passengers last year, said Adel Ali, Air Arabia's chief executive. The fast-growing airline has transformed Sharjah's once bucolic airport, ferrying passengers to 31 destinations, including faraway cities in Turkey, Kazakhstan, Nepal and Sudan.

The company began operating in late 2003 with two aircraft and a US$13 million (€10 million) grant from the government of Sharjah, a conservative emirate overshadowed by its freewheeling neighbor, Dubai.

Air Arabia now owns nine aircraft and plans to go public, selling 55 percent of its shares this year, Ali said. The Sharjah government will retain 45 percent ownership.

The airline expects to report 2006 profits significantly higher than the US$8.8 million (€6.8 million) it made in 2005, Ali said.

Air Arabia is not the only budget player plying busy routes in the Middle East.

Kuwait-based Jazeera Airways, the only private airline in the Middle East, grew from two planes and five destinations in October 2005 to four aircraft flying to 12 destinations last year, said Marwan Boodai, Jazeera's chief executive. Jazeera carried about 500,000 passengers last year, he said.

A third budget carrier, Marrakech, Morocco-based Atlas Blue, established in 2004, caters to European tourists linking 15 European cities with Marrakech.

Low-cost carriers from outside are also breaking into the market. In 2005, Air India launched Air India Express, a no-frills operation connecting India to the Mideast. Air India Express started with 14 flights a week from India to Abu Dhabi, the Emirates' capital, and has since expanded to 50 a week, said Dubai-based regional director F.J. Vaz. In addition to the Emirates, the Indian carrier connects Bahrain and two cities in Oman to several cities in India.

Saudi Arabia is in the process of granting traffic rights to two budget airlines, Sama and National Air Services.

Despite the flurry of activity, JP Morgan's Peter Negline said the Mideast budget air travel market is still in its infancy.

"They're in a position to stimulate a lot of traffic," said Negline, a Hong Kong-based airline analyst.

Budget airlines are hampered by their reliance on Internet sales and credit cards, said Danvir Khawaja, managing director of Arabian Travels agency in Dubai.

"Budget airlines still make their best offers online but most people in this part of the world still prefer to deal with another human being," he said. "People are also less comfortable using their credit cards." But he expects people in time will become more comfortable dealing with budget airlines.

On the Net:

http://www.airarabia.com

http://wwww.jazeeraairways.com

http://www.atlas-blue.com

Every City should have one

1 February 2007

An Irish pub and a Chinatown ! And this is the Irish Village in Dubai.

At the Aviation Club next to the Emirates Crew Training facilities the Irish Village is a part of the Aviation Club, which is also home to the Dubai Tennis Stadium and Century Village, with twelve restaurants. The Aviation Club also has a spa, fitness facilities, pool and its own restaurant.

The Irish Village includes a traditional Irish pub, shop fronts and a large courtyard, with trees, ponds and fountains. www.irishvillage.ae. It is home to resident musicians and visiting bands, for instance the Pretenders will be there on 9 February.

As you can see the ribs were popular; the salmon was good; avoid the pasta. Bottles of wine at Dirhams 125 (US$34) are very reasonable.