Why the Auckland airport bid?
26 July 2007
Some or the rationale behind
Dubai Aerospace Enterprise's (DAE) bid for Auckland International Airport (AIA)
involves the opportunity to establish a secondary hub for airline Emirates.
Merger documents show DAE has
pledged to use "reasonable endeavours" to create new routes and services to
Auckland for Emirates.
DAE doesn't have a shareholding
in Dubai-based Emirates but it is chaired by Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed al
Maktoum, who is also the chairman of Emirates.
The long term plan likely
involves Emirates establishing Auckland as a secondary hub, from where it
can fly to the west coast of North America and possibly Central and South
America. It might also look to complete a round-the-world link between
Dubai, South Africa and Auckland.
Emirates could also compete on
non stop flights from the far east to New Zealand, instead of flying to New
Zealand via the USA.
DAE sees Auckland as the first in
a portfolio of airports the company plans to own and build up around the
world, but particular in emerging markets in China, India and the Middle
East.
Auckland will be the South
Pacific hub because of Australian laws forbidding foreign control of major
airports.
Our new road to nowhere
24 July 2007
Emaar properties,
a leading real estate developer in Dubai has announced the opening of a new
access road to its Downtown Burj Dubai development.
The
new access road from Shaikh Zayed Road, near the Millennium Tower,
complements the existing access road to Downtown Burj Dubai via Doha Road.
The new road will
add to the convenience of residents and guests visiting the newly opened
retail outlets (there are none yet) and the two hotels within the 500 acre
mega project. Unfortunately the new exit does not give access to either
Falcon Tower or Millennium Tower.
The Burj Dubai
Development will eventually comprise The Dubai Mall, the world's largest
shopping and entertainment complex; The Residences, an exclusive upscale
series of high-rise apartment towers; an Office Park; Burj Dubai Lake Hotel,
Burj Views, The Old Town, a low-rise traditional residences community
inspired by the stylist antiquity of Arabian architecture; and The Burj
Dubai Boulevard, a 3.5 km stretch that binds the entire district besides
man-made lakes and landscaped parks.
Dubai seeks control of
Auckland Airport
23 July 2007
Dubai's government is proposing
to buy a controlling stake in Auckland International Airport Ltd., New
Zealand's busiest airport, for as much as US$2.1 billion.
Auckland Airport directors
recommended the offer from state- controlled Dubai Aerospace Enterprises,
worth up to NZ$3.80 a share, 15 percent more than before the offer was
announced. The offer values Auckland Airport at NZ$5.6 billion including
stock, cash and debt, the company said in a statement.
The airport handles 70 percent of
arrivals to New Zealand.
It is not clear what real new
value the Dubai bid can bring to remote Auckland unless the airport can
serve as a regional hub for Emirates Airline. Perhaps it may be a gateway
for Emirates to the West Coast of the USA. There is no doubt that EK has the
ambition.
Existing management will remain
in place, according to the airport's statement. Shareholders will be asked
to vote on the proposal in November and the deal is also subject to approval
by New Zealand's Overseas Investment Office, which may take until March next
year to make a ruling.
In the meantime if you have cash
to spare then Auckland Airport is not restricted from considering competing
proposals and making a recommendation to shareholders if another proposal is
better, it said.
The Auckland deal may face some
political opposition in New Zealand. Lawmaker Winston Peters, who is foreign
minister and head of the New Zealand First Party, today said the company's
shareholders should oppose ``the unnecessary sell out and sell off of yet
another New Zealand plum to a foreign-owned company.''
Dubai Aerospace's shareholders
include Emaar Properties PJSC, Istithmar PJSC, Dubai Airport Free Zone
Authority, Dubai International Capital LLC, DIFC Investments LLC, the
government of Dubai and Amlak Finance PJSC.
Dubai - 800 new residents every day!
20 July 2007
The local newspapers report that
house rents in Dubai, the single largest worry among the majority of the
emirate's 1.3 million residents, will continue to appreciate in the coming
years due to the influx of a staggering 292,000 new entrants - employees and
residents every year.
More than 800 work and residence
visas are issued every day.
At this rate, the population of
Dubai is to grow at 22.46 per cent, doubling in about four years. The 44,000
new housing supplies in the UAE this year would be inadequate compared to
the requirements.
While this might be a good news
for investors, developers and landlords, it may not go down well with
tenants who are struggling to make both ends meet, making life in Dubai
dearer. Buying our apartment still looks like a good decision.
There is increasing interest in
Dubai as a business location. Inflation remains high and interests rates
remain low for the foreseeable future. All this indicates a solid outlook
for postive growth in rent costs in the medium and long-term.
Conversely this will also put
pressures on companies' bottomlines as demand for salary hike is going to
intensify in the coming months.
Time to rethink airplane safety
19 July 2007
After today's
accident at Sao Paulo this is not the best day to write about airline safety
but with over 70% of accidents considered to be survivable it is right to
consider what else needs to be done to improve safety.
The airline
industry makes a big issue of selling airplanes that offer enhanced comfort,
a wider cabin, better air filtering, quieter engine noise.
Crew training is
focused equally upon safety factors and upon service. But few passengers
really know what to do in an emergency. Are the people sitting by the
emergency exit really capable of opening the doors, assessing the situation
and aiding an evacuation?
Are all the
passengers sober enough to ensure a safe and rapid evacuation of an
airplane?
There are
unfortunately many instances of flights being disrupted by passengers who
have consumed to much alcohol, either before the flight at the airport or on
board. There should be a serious industry wide push to reduce occurrences of
inflight disruption and violence toward crewmembers and passengers. Safety
is the key issue.
If a crewmember is distracted, or incapacitated due to inflight violence or
disruption, the safety of the entire aircraft is compromised.
Sadly enforcement is not consistent; all complaints should to be addressed
by law enforcement authorities. Questions of prosecution should no longer be
left to the discretion of the air carriers or civil aviation inspectors.
All charges
leveled against a suspected disruptive passenger should be taken seriously,
and investigated thoroughly. And whistleblower protection should be granted
for crewmembers that report such occurrences. Many cases likely go
unreported due to a perceived employee fear of retribution from employers.
One big concern is
whether there should be a total ban of alcohol aboard aircraft is necessary.
The answer is probably and sadly yes. But it would need to be done on the
same day and on a global basis by all airlines.
It is not so many
years ago that smoking was banned on all flights. It was both a fire hazard
and dangerous to the health of non smoking passengers. The ban did not
reduce the number of flights being taken. A similar ban on alcohol would be
easy to implement - and with global standards now on the liquids that can be
brought onto a plane it should be easy to stop anyone taking their own
supplies onboard. Duty free purchases could be stored for collection at the
end of the flight.
The good news for
the airlines is a significant reduction in weight through not carrying
alcohol and the fuel savings that come with that.
Airports are
encouraging earlier check in times; which also means more drinking time for
many. It may be a great source of revenue for the airports but the time has
come to close airport bars; and yes also to take alcohol out of the airport
lounges.
Cabin crewmembers
and boarding agents should be granted the authority to deny boarding of any
passenger who exhibits intoxicated or unruly behavior, without fear of
repercussions from their employer. Gate personnel should be trained to
recognize this type behavior and should be instructed to inform law
enforcement personnel so that they may ascertain the passenger's state of
sobriety, before the boarding process has begun.
Intoxicated
passengers who are denied boarding must be held responsible for their own
behavior. The airline, it's employees, airport, and airport personnel must
be held blameless in such instances.
In cases of passenger or crewmember injury, there should be a first response
team at every airport. This team should be independent of any airline. The
team would arrive on the scene to assist the victim with seeking medical
attention, filing of proper forms and their distribution, coordination of
information, act as contact point for family members, and liaison between
the victim and official entities including the airport and the airline.
Preparing flight crewmembers, management, gate and ticket agents, and ground
support personnel to effectively deal with unruly passengers is an important
aspect that should not be overlooked. Many airlines factor this into their
training. But too often, the problem is solved by offering to move people
who are upset by unruly behaviour to another part of the airplane rather
than dealing with the problem itself.
But we need to go
further than simply dealing with unruly or drunk passengers and the
availability of alcohol.
Why are the
emergency exits painted the same colour as the rest of the cabin. Sure they
have a nearby sign saying exit but why aren't they painted in a bright
flourescent orange?
Why do the
airlines serve hot coffee and tea? The potential for accidents as these
heavy pots of hot drinks are carried down the aisles is huge, both to the
crew member and the passenger.
Why are the meal
carts made of heavy duty metal. Have you ever tried to push one of those?
Planes are made out of lightweight composite materials. Why not the meal
carts as well. Indeed, maybe we should go further; the idea that there
should be heating ovens at 35,000 feet makes little sense?
Take out anything
that could be a potential cause of fire. Serve cold meals only. A few of
today's modern passengers look like they would benefit from a good salad.
Handing out drinks
or hot towels while the airplane is taxi-ing should be discontinued. Crew
should be at their stations at the taxi phase and all critical times of the
flight. The possibility of an accident on the ground is significantly higher
than of an accident while in the air. For all airlines safety is a priority
but sometimes they endanger passengers and crew by putting creature comforts
first.
Firefighting
equipment should be clearly identified on board the plane and able bodied
passengers should be seated near to such equipment and briefed on its use.
Similarly the emergency exit rows should only be occupied by able bodies
frequent flyers. Maybe they should only be given to frequent flyers who have
taken a one day training program in airline safety and are certified for
those seats.
Some of these
suggestions may appear a little over the top. Since compromise is inevitable
and legislation unlikely it is better to keep proposing too much rather than
too little.
18 July 2007
The following
letter was printed in Dubai's 7 Days newspaper and sums up the joys of
summer here rather well: it was not written by me!
"This is my first
summer here and someone please, please help me. What is there to do between
7am and 7pm at the weekends which doesn't involve being fried alive.
I cannot get in the car without roasting, I cannot walk without melting, I
cannot sit outside without drowning in my own sweat, I cannot swim in the
sea without boiling, in fact I can do nothing except sit at home and read,
and read and read. Does anything happen here in the summer or is everyone
locked away in air-con. I am beginning to look forward to going back to work
after the weekend in a way I never knew I could.
Are there are clubs or meetings? Anything to get out of my claustrophobic
cell of my flat. Please help I'm dying of boredom And how long does this
last???
Summer Sweater
Dubai"
That is summer in
Dubai. It is not that bad. No rain; the humidity is not as high as in
Bangkok. But it is hot. The construction sites all close down by law in the
middle of the day; an excuse for them to work through the night instead.
A visit to the
beach is not really an option. Even a walk out of the office to the local
sandwich shop is an endurance test. You can feel the heat burning off the
pavement.
Strangely the
official temperatures miraculously never rise beyond 49C, but I am sure it
gets hotter than that.
The malls do great
business with the six week long Dubai Summer Surprises (effectively one
large summer sale) and being one place where families can eat, shop and
entertain themselves out of the heat.
Life on Mars
13 July 2007
It is Friday - the
weekend - and yes they are still building on the three sites at the back of
my apartment. One day of rest would be nice; one morning when I can lie in
after 7am without having to listen to the hammering or drilling!
There is a new
tower and car park being built on either side of falcon tower and some sort
of generating station at the back of the building between Falcon and the
Executive Towers complex that you can see in the pictures. Tower B, where
Tai and I have bought at apartment is at the very left of the first picture.





And
looking out to the left of Falcon you can see the new tower at the side
followed by Millennium Tower and the Burj Dubai in the background !
It will all be
quite exciting when it gets finished. In the meantime sleep is a luxury. The
building rules allow 24.7 construction. There are no roads; a few dirt
tracks overrun by construction buses and cement mixers!
Life on Mars - in
the dust and sand it really does look like another world! I want to see a
green field and to feel the rain !
Flushed with success in China
12 July 2007
Not content with building the great wall the Chinese now have
the great urinal!
Officials in Chongqing, that huge city in southwest China are
flushed with success after the recent opening of a porcelain palace that
features an Egyptian facade, soothing music and more than 1,000 toilets
spread out over 32,290 square feet.
Officials in Chongqing are preparing to submit an application
to Guinness World Records to have the free four-story public bathroom listed
as the world's largest public loo.
Apparently "guests" may listen to gentle music and watch TV
while having a good dump with 999 other users. If you need to go, the
washroom is at Yangrenjie, or "Foreigners Street," a tourist area. Quite why
anyone would think that tourists will be attracted to a giant loo is a
mystery.
On a hot day there are is also a cluster of stalls without a
roof.
For a little Disney-esque pee there are some uniquely shaped
urinals, including ones inside open crocodile mouths and several that are
topped by the bust of a woman resembling the Virgin Mary.
There are also plans to build a supermarket nearby, which
will sell toilet-related items according to CCTV.
Bangkok
commuters to take to their bikes
10 July 2007
The Bangkok
Metropolitan Administration is proposing to build more bicycle trails to
promote riding bikes and other environment-friendly vehicles as part of a
campaign to help fight global warming, Bangkok governor Apirak Kosayodhin
has said.
The Bangkok governor and a procession of celebrities rode their bicycles
through busy traffic as part of a campaign to urge people to use bicycles to
reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) and greenhouse gas emissions.
They travelled from scenic Narathiwatratnakarin Road along Sathorn Road to
Wireless Road and Lumpini Park. The governor said that City Hall will build
and map more bicycle routes to promote saving energy, the habit of healthful
exercise, and visits to tourist sites along the bike trails.
Now all he needs
to do is reduce the temperature to miid 20s celcius and stop the rain.
The BMA also plans to boost the number of bicycle parking lots at elevated
train stations and subway stations to encourage the public to use the subway
and BTS. Maybe they should install showers and changing rooms at the
stations as well.
Bangkok's climate really is not bicycle friendly. And cycle lanes will
likely just be somewhere else that the motorcycle taxis can use to by-pass
the traffic jams. Noble idea. But very hard to do successfully.
Iran and China
- opportunistic bedmates
9 July 2007
I was struck by a
comment that Tai made after her flight to Tehran today - that the flight had
many Chinese passengers traveling for business. The West has largely
withdrawn from Iran with sanctions imposed to encourage Iran to halt
its nuclear programme. But that wont stop the Chinese from building closer
ties to Iran; does that include nuclear know-how?
Conveniently
China's UN envoy has recently urged the international community to boost
diplomatic efforts to end the nuclear standoff with Iran, saying the time
was not yet right for new sanctions.
China is one of
the five permanent, veto-wielding members of the 15-nation UN Security
Council alongside Russia, Britain, France and the United States.
The Security Council already has imposed two sets of sanctions against Iran
for its refusal to suspend uranium enrichment, a process that can be used to
make nuclear fuel as well as atom bombs.
What drives
Chinese interests - natural resources, mainly oil. Same as the US really; it
was interesting to note the Australian foreign minister saying that oil
supply was one of the key justifications of the Iraq invasion. We all knew
that. No elected official had ever said it quite so openly.
Why the need.
China's own oil and gas resources are scarce. Overall, the typical Chinese
citizen still only consumes a fraction of the energy an American consumes.
But they will catching up quickly. The number of privately owned automobiles
in China is some 25 million, more than double the figure three years ago,
and is expected to jump to 130 million by 2030. The Chinese are willing to
make friends where the West is not - and indeed where the West is not
welcome. No oil-rich country is too dangerous or remote for exploration, and
no regime too corrupt or unsavory for a contract.
Iran is now China's leading supplier
of crude oil.
One of its most
ambitious investment proposals targets Iran, which has the third largest
proven oil reserves in the world. In 2005, China bought about 11 percent of
its crude oil imports from Iran. But what China really seeks is to tap into
Iran's vast reserves directly, through investments in exploration and
production. China has also made goodwill investments in other projects, such
as Tehran's subway system.
What is clear is that Beijing's will take advantage of
opportunities in countries where its would-be competitors are barred from
doing business, as U.S. companies are in Iran under sanctions imposed by
Washington. It also has demonstrated that it will use its permanent position
in the U.N. Security Council to oppose multilateral sanctions that would
prevent its own companies from doing the same.
Although Beijing has joined the chorus calling for Iran to
fully account for its nuclear program, amid suspicions that Tehran is
developing nuclear weapons, China has also indicated that it would veto
sanctions to force Iran's full disclosure. Interesting bedmates.
Save the earth
-have a concert!
7 July 2007
It is easy to be a
little cynical about Al Gore's save the earth concerts taking place around
the world today. There was not much evidence of environmental action in
Dubai this morning.
The empty Emirates
minibuses still had their engines and AC running. Old 727s were taking off
from the airport. There is no evidence of public transport. The Hummers and
SUVs were already out on the road. Why anyone other than a frustrated tank
driver would want a Hummer is one of life's great mysteries. The building
sites are already working flat out. And the aircon was on full in teh car;
maybe something to do with the fact that it was close to 40C at 8.00am.
The trouble with
these concerts is that it is so easy to be sceptical or the motives of pop
stars promising to change the world. LIve television to over 2 million
viewers is a great incentive to get you name and music to people's
attention.
Yet there is no
denying the sheer scale and intensity of Live Earth, even if none of the
Dubai TV networks appear to be broadcasting the show.
Live Earth runs
for 24-hours across seven-continents. The organisers, led by Al Gore, hope
it will reach 2 billion people via 120 television networks, internet and
radio, making it the biggest media event in history.
At Wembley later
today, 80,000 people are expected to watch Madonna, Genesis, the Red Hot
Chili Peppers, Snow Patrol, the Beastie Boys, Duran Duran, and Blunt,
although last night rumours of an appearance by Paul McCartney remained just
rumours
The shows
themselves create a huge carbon footprint. Some performers will arrive and
leave by private jet. Anestimate calculated for the Guardian suggests that
spectators traveling to the London and New Jersey concerts alone will
generate approximately 5,600 tonnes of greenhouse gases between them - the
equivalent of 7,270 people crossing the Atlantic by plane.
Even those
watching online will find Live Earth's website is sponsored by the Chevrolet
company, which manufactures SUVs.
But the objectives
of the shows are real. To pressure politicians to sign an international
treaty pledging massively reduced emissions within two years and to persuade
individuals to make lifestyle changes, such as installing energy-efficient
light bulbs, or taking public transport to work. Oops - yes I drive to work.
But it is not far and there is no other way to get there.
Is it necessary to
raise awareness of an issue that is in the newspapers and news broadcasts
almost daily. Probably. Newspapers are for my generation. Internet,
television, music is the means of accessing the generation that may have to
save the planet.
One more moment of
cynicism. Is this really a platform for Al Gore to announce a presidential
bid. Live Earth's message is that we each should do whatever we can for the
climate. Would Mr. Gore continue his environmental campaign into the White
House and would he truly make a difference?
Emirates aims
to redraw world aviation map
6 July 2007 -
International Herald Tribune
PARIS: The chairman of
Emirates Airlines - Sheikh Ahmed Bin Saeed Al-Maktoum of the ruling family
of Dubai - has grand ambitions, and a bankroll to match.
He has a huge pot of money to spend, $82
billion from his government, the airline and other financiers. He loves
large planes and has ordered 55 super-jumbo A380s to create the biggest
fleet of these double-decker planes in the world. And he wants to make
Dubai, a sheikhdom by the sea, the busiest airline hub in the world,
overtaking London, New York and Singapore.
Some may consider Maktoum's goals
overreaching, but he has delivered so far on all his promises. He built
Emirates Airlines from a two-plane operation, started with $10 million in
1985, into one of the world's largest international carriers, with 105
planes. Emirates is the world's fastest-growing airline - it will take
delivery of one new Boeing or Airbus plane a month for the next five years -
and Maktoum said he would like to see it become, some day, the world's
biggest.
"We've never seen anything like it
before," said Robert Cullemore, a consultant at Aviation Economics, a
London-based aerospace advisory firm. "We've never seen growth at this
rate."
Of course, success for Maktoum is not
just a simple matter of buying airplanes. He must still compete with
well-established carriers plying many of the same routes as Emirates,
attract enough passengers to fill his vast fleet profitably and hope that
the economies of the Middle East, including Dubai, and emerging markets in
Asia and the Indian subcontinent continue to grow at their current pace to
justify the Emirates' massive investment.
But at the recent Paris Air Show, Maktoum
seemed unfazed by those concerns. He met with the Louis Gallois, the Airbus
chief executive, to sign a deal that added eight more A380s, with a list
price of $2.6 billion, to his fleet.
He held a news conference to tout Dubai's
plan to spend $82 billion over the next decade on aviation, including
building a new $33 billion Dubai World Central International Airport, which
is to have six runways and to become the world's largest airport.
"What we are witnessing today," Maktoum
said at the time, "is the rewriting of the world's aviation history and the
beginning of a new era of global aviation."
Being oil-rich helps. Emirates Airlines,
said Howard Rubel, an aerospace analyst with Jefferies and Company, "has got
cash, clout and cache."
"What's surprising is the rapid emergence
of the Emirates as a player," Rubel added. "The economies of the Middle East
are the fastest growing in the world. So what do they do? They buy planes.
But five years ago it was like, 'Who are these guys?' "
Aviation has helped transform Dubai,
which was a desert trading post with hardly a paved road just 50 years ago,
from being fly-over country to a place where people are flying in. About
25.6 million passengers landed there last year.
The plan to develop Dubai was created by
Maktoum's late older brother and is now overseen by the current ruler,
Maktoum's nephew, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al-Maktoum.
Once a pearl-diving outpost that grew
rich with oil revenues in the 1970s and 1980s, modern Dubai seems built on
hyperbole.
Oil revenues have been declining as a
percentage of Dubai's economy prepares for the day that its reserves
dwindle. Today, oil represents only 5 percent of Dubai's economy, which
increasingly relies on revenue from superluxurious hotels, a growing
financial center and on serving as the regional headquarters for global
brands.
For instance, Halliburton, the oil
services company, is moving its headquarters from Houston to Dubai, and such
American companies as Universal Studios, Nickelodeon, Microsoft and Cisco
are also setting up offices.
Dubai is on a $365 billion building
spree, and more development means more flights for the carrier. Construction
projects include the Burj Dubai, the world's tallest building, and the Mall
of Arabia, the world's largest shopping mall.
The 1,500-square-mile, or almost
4000-square-kilometer, emirate is also building "Dubailand" - a leisure park
bigger than Monaco - and the Dubai Waterfront, a development of condos and
stores that will be the size of Barbados.
At the center of this development spree
is the Maktoum family and Maktoum, 49, who exudes a quiet confidence. In an
interview at the luxurious Bristol Hotel here, where he was about to host a
reception, Maktoum said that "when we started talking about expanding our
airline, people thought we were bluffing or that it would take twenty to
thirty years."
"But we've proven them wrong," he added,
while puffing on an ever-present cigarette. "I do believe we are rewriting
history and we believe that we can do it in a short time."
Emirates currently accounts for about
one-third of all the orders for Airbus A380s. The next closest customer is
Qantas, with 20 A380s on order.
Moreover, since the ruling family is also
the government, there is a minimum of red tape and an ease of
decision-making. Maktoum, for instance, pointed out that if there are
insufficient customs agents to process incoming passengers, he can just get
more.
The airline also benefits from an
enviable location - Emirates bases its strategy on the fact that its planes
can reach any point on the globe nonstop from Dubai and can connect any two
city pairs with just one stop in the Middle East. It also is further along
developing a hub than other airlines in the region.
"Sheikh Ahmed is making a huge bet and
we'll see how it works out," said Edmund Greenslet, publisher of the Airline
Monitor, a trade publication. "We won't know for another decade. His concept
is to make Dubai the hub for travel between Asia and the West. But new
planes are being designed to go from city-to-city nonstop and to make that
paradigm obsolete. He may be making a huge bet on a system that may not be
as valid in the future as it has been in the past."
Cullemore of Aviation Economics
disagrees. While planes might fly nonstop from London to Beijing or Tokyo,
there are a lot of other European, Asian and African cities that cannot
offer nonstop flights.
The Emirates is one of the prime
customers for both Boeing and Airbus, not only for the size of its orders,
but also because it buys the high-margin interiors that please passengers
and are extremely profitable for the aircraft makers.
Its first-class seats feature flat-beds
with in-seat massage and personal mini-bars, while its in-flight
entertainment includes 600 channels, e-mail connections and seat-to-seat
telephones for in-flight chats.
"One of the issues becoming obvious in
the aviation industry is that it is not about the United States anymore,"
said Jon Kutler, head of Admiralty Partners, a Los Angeles aerospace private
equity firm. "It's an extraordinary shift in power. Airlines like the
Emirates are pushing for the latest and greatest. They are making an obvious
distinction with American carriers that are nickel-and-diming the
passengers."
It is not only big planes and a new
airport that Maktoum is spending his $82 billion on.
The rest is going to Dubai Aerospace
Enterprises, which includes aircraft leasing, an aircraft maintenance
program, aviation information technology and a new aviation university. In
addition, $4.5 billion is going to expand the existing Dubai airport to
accommodate A380s.
One remaining market - still somewhat
untapped - is the United States. Emirates has daily flights from New York
and just recently added Houston. It would like to start flights to San
Francisco, Chicago and Los Angeles.
Maktoum doubts that many American
tourists would fly all the way to Dubai for vacation, but he sees a growing
business market, led by Halliburton's relocation to Dubai.
"Once you have one, others will follow,"
Maktoum said. "It's like getting an anchor tenant. It's the pull and the
others will come."
Trying
to make sense of the Thai economy
5 July 2007
Thailand remains
under military rule. An elected Prime Minister was removed in a coup. There
have been bombs in Bangkok. The planned 2007 election now looks like 2008.
The sectarian murders and bombings continue in Thailand's south. Yet the
Baht is trading at a 10 year high and the SET is at a 10 year peak. Does
this make any sense.
Thailand's
economic outlook is mixed. Thailand's exports of cars, electronics and
agricultural products continue to surge. This helps the continued
appreciation of the baht. But the banking system now has one of the highest
levels of non-performing loans in Asia, 8.7 percent, according to Neruda at
UBS. By contrast, bad loans account for 2.9 percent of lending in Singapore
and 0.6 percent in Hong Kong. Sounds like 1997 re-visited.
With domestic
consumption low, the government hopes to prime the pump with a larger budget
deficit planned for next year. Yet much of the increase is in military
spending, which may not trickle down into the general economy.
Despite these
doubts, foreigners continue to show considerable confidence in Thailand.
From January to
May this year, Thailand's Board of Investment received applications for 123
billion baht, or $3.9 billion, worth of foreign investment, up 35 percent
from the same period last year.
Thailand's main
stock market index, largely driven by foreign buying, has risen about 21
percent since the beginning of the year. Foreign investors have bought $3
billion more than they have sold on the Thai stock exchange since January.
Thai investors have been net sellers of the same amount.
Foreign tourists
continue to arrive in record numbers despite the New Year bombings in
Bangkok that killed three bystanders and the Muslim insurgency in southern
Thailand. From January to April, 5 percent more foreign tourists arrived at
Bangkok's international airport than in the same period last year. In Phuket,
the increase was 21 percent and in Chiang Mai, 9 percent. Overall, about 14
million tourists visited Thailand in 2006.
Foreigners
continue to buy property in Thailand, despite the prospect that the
government will tighten foreign ownership laws.
Prices remained
relatively stable after the coup, but some developers have added better
furnishings to keep sales going. And interest seems to have heightened in
recent weeks.
It is foreign
money that is driving Thailand; domestically, as a friend has reported there
is a fair share of doom and gloom. Foreign money is not very loyal. A change
in the market; new restrictions on foreign ownership, enhanced political
risk can all send that money to a new home.
Gulf expats
feel the financial pinch!
4 July 2007
Expatriates
working in the Gulf are feeling the pinch as the euro and UK pound reach
near all-time highs against the depreciating US dollar.
The issue is that all but one of the GCC currencies is pegged to the US
dollar. And the US dollar has hit a 26-year low against UK sterling. So for
many people now is the time to save money locally rather than send it home.
Yesterday the pound sterling stood at $2.0151 after hitting a 26-year peak
of $2.0197 against the dollar in early trading hours. And the euro was
trading at $1.3611, nearing its all time record high in April. Today, the
European currencies soared even higher.
Standard Chartered Bank suggest that the dollar will continue
to weaken in the near term applying further pressure on the regional
currencies.
All of the GCC countries peg their currencies to the dollar except for
Kuwait, which dropped its peg in favour of a basket of currencies in May to
counter the weakening dollar and soaring inflation.
The UAE central bank has repeatedly said it is committed to maintaining its
peg to the dollar, in accordance with a decision by Gulf leaders to prepare
for monetary union in 2010.
Meanwhile increases in the value of foreign currencies like the pound
sterling mean rising import costs, hitting the region's residents and its
expat communities.
EK confirms
India expansion
4 July 2007
In a major
strengthening of its India operations, Emirates will introduce a third-daily
service to Mumbai and a double-daily operation to Chennai starting 28th
October 2007. The airline will also add three additional flights each to
Cochin and Hyderabad over the summer and winter seasons.
In all, the Dubai-based airline will ramp up its India capacity from the
current 71 to 85 passenger flights per week to eight Indian gateways.
Mumbai - Emirates will introduce the larger-capacity Boeing 777 aircraft on
its existing 19-flights-per-week Mumbai service, and will add two additional
frequencies, bringing the total number of flights to 21-per-week or
triple-daily.
Chennai - Emirates' Dubai-Chennai service will be progressively stepped up
from eight to 11 flights per week by 1st August; and propelled further to a
double-daily service with the induction of three additional frequencies on
28th October. At the start of the winter season, the airline's operations to
Chennai will total 14 flights per week
NAS Air -
covering all the Saudi markets
3 July 2007
By way of a follow
up to my private jet outing to Jeddah this is a press briefing from Saudi
Arabia-based National Air Services (NAS) who have invested more than SAR
15.5 billion ($4.13 billion) in the purchase of 98 additional aircraft.
The order means that NAS' mixed fleet of private and commercial aircraft,
will reach 142 by 2012.
NAS comprises several separate businesses, including Al Khayala Airlines, a
scheduled all-business class carrier that operates flights between Riyadh
and Jeddah as well as regional flights to Dubai, and the recently launched
NASair, Saudi Arabia's first domestic budget carrier.
The LCC booking
site is at www.flynas.com
The company is
also the regional representative of NetJets, offering fractional ownership
and leasing options, as well as a full portfolio of aircraft management
services solutions.
NAS currently operates the largest and fastest growing fleet of private
aircraft in the Middle East, comprising 44 aircraft from companies including
Airbus, Boeing, Gulfstream, Dassault and Raytheon.
NAS recently signed a SAR9 billion ($2.4 billion) agreement with Airbus for
the purchase of 38 A320 aircraft at the Paris Air Show, and another deal
with Dassault Falcon, to buy 20 of its new large cabin business jet, the
Falcon 2000LX, for more than SAR1.9 billion ($500 million).
The Airbus order
will constitute the core fleet of NASair and allow the new budget carrier to
operate new domestic and international destinations in the near future. This
may well include Dubai.
NAS also announced a deal with Gulfstream Aerospace Company to buy 20
long-range Gulfstream G450 business-jet at a cost of SAR2.6 billion ($690
million), just four months after the company purchased 20 new Hawker 750
aircrafts from Raytheon at a cost of SAR1 billion ($267 million).
The company, in which Dubai based Abraaj Capital is a significant
shareholder, plans to grow its strategic business units and service new
markets for its private and commercial sectors in the region.
NAS is expecting to sell a portion of the company via IPO in 2008 to share
its success with Saudi investors in the capital market.
The dangers of
cheap Chinese exports
3 July 2007
Beware the hotel
toothpaste or the cheap tubes of toothpaste used by the airlines. The
Chinese have just added to the list of problems faced by today's travelers.
In Canada 21
Chinese toothpaste products to date have been found to contain unacceptable
levels of diethylene glycol (DEG). DEG is a poisonous chemical used in
antifreeze and as a solvent that may cause nausea, abdominal pain,
dizziness, urinary problems, kidney failure, breathing problems, lethargy,
convulsions, coma and even death when ingested. While toothpaste is not
meant to be swallowed, it is often swallowed by young children.
A second toothpaste-related warning has now been issued today by Health
Canada on counterfeit Colgate products with high bacteria levels, which is
unrelated to the previous warning but only adds to the concern. The
toothpaste is labeled as 100 ml Colgate Fluoride Toothpaste Herbal, Colgate
Fluoride Toothpaste Gel, and Colgate Fluoride Toothpaste Maximum Cavity
Protection, possibly contain very high levels of harmful bacteria. This
toothpaste has also been sold in the USA, Japan and other nations.
There is a bigger
issue. The world's largest exporter of consumer goods does not have first
world standards of safety and the risk of contaminated goods is clearly
higher in Chinese goods.
There have been a
series of recent concerns including poisonous toothpaste, contaminated food,
and unsafe toys, including contaminated Thomas the Tank Engine toys. There
have even been press reports of fake bottled water. All this is bad news for
China.
Consumers are
increasingly concerned that items they buy on the cheap may be of
questionable quality.
In recent months, the number of
unsafe products imported to the United States from China, ranging from
seafood and pet food to toys and toothpaste, has grown steadily.
Chinese-made
products have accounted for 60 percent of recalls this year, according to
the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission. For the most part, the
businesses responsible for the faulty products and bad food have denied the
problems, saying their products are safe.
Chinese officials
hope to downplay the safety and health problems before the 2008 summer
Olympics, to be held in Beijing. Earlier this week, inspectors announced
they had closed 180 food factories in China in the first half of this year,
and that they seized tons of candy, pickles, crackers and seafood tainted
with formaldehyde, illegal dyes and industrial wax. That merely scratches
the surface of a deeper problem.
Salik is here
to stay
1 July 2007
Dubai's Salik road toll system
started today. The experiment, introduced by the Roads and Transport
Authority (RTA), is designed to reduce the number of vehicles using the
busiest highway into Dubai, the Shaikh Zayed Road.
The RTA believes the traffic will
reduce by as much as 20 per cent, thereby reducing congestion and traffic
jams on that road. But the figures are speculation.
The road was quieter today but
that may have nothing to do with Salik. All the Dubai schools are now on
vacation. No school buses and cars are on the road; and many families have
already left Dubai for extended annual leave and to escape the heat.
The radio reports did indicate
greater congestion on Emirates Road, Al Wasl Road and Jumairah Beach Road.
Already these so-called
alternative roads suffer daily from over-crowding, causing frustration in
the extreme to commuters. The prospect of having 20 per cent or more of the
Shaikh Zayed traffic diverted to these alternative roads looks very bleak
indeed.
I still dont have a Salik tag for
my Thrifty rent a car. Thrifty will be picking up the fines until they get
their act together.