|
Welcome to rascott.com
This is a
personal site that reflects my interests in news,
current affairs, aviation and travel.
email me at
robert@rascott.com
Home Up
Now In Dubai:
Scott
Consulting
Photo Albums
My photographs have been moved off this site and are now stored on Picasa. They
were simply taking up too much space on my web host.
Please use
this link to see my list of photo albums.
Some
Useful links:
Information:
Met Office Volcano watch
World Time
Clock
Exchange Rates
Journalism:
ForeignPolicy
Nationsonline.org
Project Syndicate
Amnesty International
Reporters w/o borders
The Guardian
BBC World News
CNN Asia
Bangkok Post
Daylife.com - news
Gulf News
Arabian Business
Good causes:
Sister
Joan - Bangkok
Regional Info:
BKK Magazine
HK Magazine
In
Singapore Magazine
TimeOut Dubai
Travel:
Circle of Asia
Tales of Asia
Smart Travel Asia
Aviation:
Amadeus (airline
schedules)
Airliners
- aviation forum
Flight Aware
Back in the UK:
Newton Ferrers
And for fun:
Lin Ping live panda tv
EarthCam
History
BBC Archive
National Media
Museum
The British Library
Imperial War Museum
There are many other links on my
AOB blog page.
| |
|
BK stars in
MI-4
31 December 2011
There are
two things missing in Mission Impossible 4 - Ghost Protocol. A plausible
script and some decent tension.
The
trouble is that you know that the good guys will be ok. That Cruise will be
bruised but not beaten.
And the
plot has holes in it that make a swiss cheese look solid.
But it is
entertainment; and you can only be gob-smacked at Mr. Cruise's stunts. The
Burj Khalifa is high. It is bad enough looking down from the viewing
gallery; but to do so while dangling from a harness. Now that takes nerve.
And
watching it is Imax. Now that is impressive.
The Moscow
scenes are OK. But are mainly a fight and a decent explosion. The India
scenes appear to revolve around a posh party and a weird multi story car
park. So it really is the Burj Khalifa that steals the show.
The Burj
Khalifa is the tallest manmade structure in the world at some 2,716 feet
(that’s almost two Empire State Buildings).
And we see
Cruise casually climb, Spider-Man–like, up about 65 meters, or 213 feet, and
then abseil down again, before swinging from one side to another and falling
some 10 floors before crashing back inside.
Ghost
Protocol is already past $250 million in box office receipts. Who needs a
script.
And its
value to Dubai is incalculable. The Burj Khalifa was designed to put the
city on the map and draw global recognition. And now, thanks to a few
minutes of daredevil antics on big screens around the world, it is doing so.
Work on the project, which was originally to called Burj Dubai (“Dubai
Tower”), began rapidly in September 2004. At the peak of the building’s
development, some 12,000 workers—mostly low-waged migrant workers from the
Indian subcontinent—were thought to be on-site, with a new floor added every
three days.
Finally, on Jan. 4, 2010, after several delays a display of around 10,000
fireworks heralded the Burj Dubai’s opening. But amid the excitement came
the surprise announcement that the name was to change.
As Abu
Dhabi came to the financial rescue of Dubai its ruler, Sheikh Khalifa bin
Zayed Al Nahyan, was honored in the name Burj Khalifa.
The change came as a shock to almost everyone, not least the traffic
department, which quickly had to change the road signs, and those working in
the brand new souvenir shop selling Burj Dubai T-shirts.
But while it may have been an embarrassing moment for Dubai, two years later
nobody even remembers that the tower was meant to have another name.
The Burj Khalifa has instantly become a centerpiece, and a rather handy
landmark for directions.
The
five-star Armani Hotel and Armani Residences take up the first 39 floors of
the Burj Khalifa.
A room in the Armani hotel is available
for around $650 per night. The tower also has the world's highest (and most
over-priced?) restaurant, Atmosphere on the 122nd floor.
Taking
visitors to the world’s highest observation deck, on the 124th floor, is the
world’s fastest elevator, at 37 mph.
The success of Ghost Protocol and the Burj Khalifa’s impressive role in the
movie is a timely boost to Dubai’s tourism industry and to its potential as
a movie location. The sand storm should not put too many people off - but it
was a great piece of special effects.
Thailand's
false peace
30 December 2011 -
The Wall Street Journal
Thai political conflict over
the past few years has been characterized by class warfare between feudal
elites and the peasants. But this may now be changing as a new government
that rose with the support of the underclass reaches an accommodation with
the military and the palace.
The previous Democrat government, which ruled from 2008-11, whole-heartedly
aligned itself with the aristocracy, while the current ruling party, the
Puea Thai, styled itself a protector of the rural poor. Supporters of the
red-shirt protest movement based in the northeast tend to be die-hard fans
of former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, whose government was ousted in
a military coup in 2006, and they helped elect his sister, Prime Minister
Yingluck Shinawatra.
Five months after the July election, on the surface little seems to have
changed under the new regime. Thai politics remains fiercely polarized. Ms.
Yingluck continues to play the role of a reticent leader, refusing to
discuss key issues facing the country. Her usual statement has been, "Let
the minister in charge handle them."
But frustration is growing among the lower classes, especially Ms.
Yingluck's red-shirt supporters. The government has been unable to bring to
justice the civilian and military leaders who were responsible for the
killing of 91 protesters in May last year; most of the dead were members of
the red-shirt movement. The process of amending the 2007 constitution,
drafted by the military government in the aftermath of the coup, has been
slow.
Puea Thai supporters are also losing patience with the Yingluck government
because of its support for lese-majeste laws, which they want amended or
abolished. Cases accusing people of insulting the monarchy are
proliferating. Three recent prosecutions have put a spotlight on the flaws
of this law, which is often abused by royalist politicians. So far, Ms.
Yingluck has said, "I have no intention to push for the reform of the laws."
A court sentenced 61-year-old Thai-Chinese man known as Akong to 20 years in
prison for allegedly sending four text messages to the secretary to former
Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva. Joe Gordon, who was born Thai but holds
American citizenship, was also jailed for translating and posting online
part of the banned book about the life of King Bhumibol Adulyadej, "The King
Never Smiles" by Paul Handley. And finally, a Thai lecturer who left
comments on a local website about the role of the monarchy from an academic
perspective was also accused of violating the lese-majeste law.
Because the monarchy plays a huge role in Thai politics, misuse of the lese-majeste
law threatens to limit the space for free expression. The law has been used
as a weapon to undermine enemies as well as those with different political
ideas.
Instead of promoting an open society, Ms. Yingluck has allowed her ministers
to implement harsher measures against perceived anti-monarchy elements. The
government has spent millions of dollars installing spy software to monitor
antimonarchy websites. Chalerm Yubumrung, deputy prime minister and minister
of interior, even boasted, "My government has closed down more websites than
in the previous administration."
The military has joined the government's effort in hunting down those
believed to be a threat to the monarchy. Army Chief General Prayuth Chan-ocha
said earlier this month, "Anyone campaigning for the abolition of the lese-majeste
law should leave Thailand." While his statement reflects the army's loyalty
to the king, at a deeper level the military fears being stripped of
political power if the lese-majeste law were abolished.
In the meantime, the hyperroyalists, most belonging to the upper class,
depict the anti-lese-majeste campaigners as traitors bent on overthrowing
the monarchy. They are using the monarchy as a club with which to beat
anyone who discusses the role of the palace and its supporters in the
military.
Puea Thai supporters suspect that Ms. Yingluck may have struck a grand
bargain with the traditional elites: If she leaves the lese-majeste law
alone, they will not overturn her government by street protests, court cases
and military intervention, as they did previous pro-Thaksin governments. If
this is true, the class war is over and the Puea Thai has become an accepted
part of the Thai elitist world.
This might bring stability to Thailand for a time. But it is not
sustainable. In their frustration, Ms. Yingluck's supporters may turn to
more radical groups. The more the elites exploit the lese-majeste law for
their own purposes, the more they erode true support for the monarchy. By
stopping progress toward democracy, they are ensuring that when class war
resurfaces it will be even more divisive.
Mr. Pavin is a fellow at Singapore's Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.
Paranoia in Hong Kong
26 December 2012 Wall Street Journal
"Chinese government organs in
Hong Kong are stepping up attacks on America's representative to the
territory, Consul General Stephen Young. Last Friday, the Foreign Ministry's
Lu Xinhua called in reporters from the Chinese-language press to accuse Mr.
Young of interfering in local politics. Such a violation of the Vienna
Convention on Diplomatic Relations, Mr. Lu said, could lead to a diplomat
being declared persona non grata and expelled.
Pretty serious stuff, and from that demarche one might think Mr. Young had
exceeded his instructions, perhaps by endorsing an opposition party. Not the
case. His supposed offense was to hold a press conference on December 6 at
which he praised Hong Kong's fulfillment of Deng Xiaoping's promise of "one
country, two systems" and its progress toward democratization. That's the
kind of statement Beijing used to welcome.
Asked about a scandal involving vote-rigging in local elections last month,
Mr. Young went on to express confidence in law enforcement to get to the
bottom of it. He also echoed the message of Beijing's top official on Hong
Kong affairs, Wang Guangya, that an important qualification for the next
chief executive would be popularity with the public.
These anodyne remarks were interpreted by Beijing-owned newspapers as
"fanning the flames" of discontent. The Chinese government's apparent
objective is to discourage foreign diplomats in Hong Kong from consulting
with local politicians, both pro-government and opposition, and making any
comments on local affairs, even positive ones. There's a whiff here of the
old Soviet approach of blaming foreigners for anything that goes wrong. (ed-
this is popular in Thailand as well).
This intimidation gambit could make it impossible for diplomats to do their
jobs and end up harming Hong Kong's economy. One reason the U.S. and many
other countries maintain substantial consular staff in the city is its role
as a commercial hub for the region. That means cooperation on a wide range
of activities, from port security to disease prevention to combating money
laundering.
It would also hurt Hong Kong's autonomy. In 1984, China signed a treaty
promising to preserve Hong Kong's separate system for 50 years after the
1997 return to Chinese sovereignty. Local officials have signaled in the
past that they welcome the support of foreign governments to preserve that
status.
It is on this basis that the U.S. continues to give Hong Kong privileges
extended before the handover, but in return the U.S. Congress requires the
State Department to monitor compliance with the treaty. By harassing
diplomats, Beijing is putting Hong Kong's special status in the
international system in jeopardy.
The animus toward Mr. Young may derive from the Obama Administration's more
forthright criticisms in the last year of Beijing's human rights record. In
a May speech to the American Chamber of Commerce, the U.S. diplomat echoed
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's comments on the deteriorating rights in
China, including the disappearance of prominent dissidents such as Ai Weiwei
and Gao Zhisheng. "So long as brave people like [Nobel Peace Prize winner]
Liu Xiaobo remain imprisoned or detained for simply trying to exercise their
constitutionally protected words and actions, we will not remain silent," he
promised.
If that offended Chinese leaders (and it should be noted Beijing puts out an
annual report critical of U.S. human rights problems), they could continue
to defend their treatment of people they say violated laws. Instead they
fired a shot across the U.S. bow by harassing a diplomat posted in China's
freest and most democratic city. This only hurts Hong Kong and draws more
attention to Chinese efforts to bully the pro-democracy opposition and
dominate the territory's politics."
An out of touch pope
25 December 2011
Pope
Benedict XVI decried the increasing commercialisation of Christmas as he
celebrated Christmas Eve mass, urging the faithful to look beyond the
holiday's "superficial glitter" to discover its true meaning.
He stood
there in his gilded Vatican surrounded by ridiculous opulence preaching to
the rest of us about superficial glitter.
One day
the Catholic church may realise that its interests are best served by a Pope
that is vaguely in touch with the people and maybe eevn sub-60.
Already
the midnight mass is now a 10.00pm mass to spare the pope a late night. This
year Benedict was send down the basilica's central aisle on a moving
platform to spare him the long walk.
In his lecture, Benedict lamented that Christmas has become an increasingly
commercial celebration that obscures the simplicity of the message of
Christ's birth. I miss the point here. A child who no one had ever met was
brought gifts of golf frankincense and myrrh by three kings.....err
commercial; glitzy.
It was the second time in as many days that Benedict has pointed to the need
to rediscover faith to confront the problems facing the world today. In his
end-of-year meeting with Vatican officials on Thursday, Benedict said
Europe's financial crisis was largely "based on the ethical crisis looming
over the Old Continent".
But you know what; it is because of the
commercialisation of Christmas that you can hear "O Come All Ye Faithful" in
downtown Beijing or The First Noel in Abu Dhabi. Commercialization or not it
certainly spreads the message.
If the Pope wants to give his rant some
credibility, and if he wants us to connect with a Bethlehem birth then just
maybe he
should leave the Vatican and give mass in
the West Bank next year.
With population
milestone, is Dubai back in the high life again?
24 December 2011
The National
(I am not convinced by this - the point
really is that the visitor/tourism sector is doing well - in part because
there are other Arabic and North African countries that are off the tourist
radar. For longer term investment and other sectors such as finance and
investment the signs are not so good in line with the global market
downturn. There are still, and will be more redundancies in the investment
and banking sectors. Time for some restraint. Dubai is doing OK but lets
avoid the hype and over reaching ambition of of 2006-2008. Time to build for
the long term. Time to ensure that visitors who do come now will come back
again in the future.)
This is the National's article:
"It's 6pm on a Friday and Bing
Crosby, crooning out of a loudspeaker alongside a waiter who is dressed as
Santa and attempting to lure passersby into the waterside restaurant, is
dreaming of a white Christmas.
As this is December in Dubai, he is probably heading for disappointment. But
observing the crowds up and down the promenade and packing the thriving and
proliferating restaurants around the Marina, it's hard to shake the
impression that for Dubai, a city all but written off at the height of the
financial freeze, Christmas may have come at last.
According to Dubai Statistics Centre the emirate's population, creeping up
at the rate of about 4,000 newcomers a month, tipped over the two million
mark this week for the first time.
It's an arbitrary figure, of course, but along with a cluster of other clues
- such as busier roads, beaches and malls, scarcer taxis and suddenly
reanimated building sites - it points towards a tempting conclusion. Whisper
it, but after the very public pounding of the past two years, is it possible
that Dubai is off the ropes and back in the fight?
The Marina, a nexus of the two main drivers underpinning the growth of Dubai
- property and tourism - is not a bad place to take its pulse. And look out
of any window in this suddenly thriving dormitory suburb and it is clear
that the heart of "New Dubai" is beating strongly.
Where over a year ago there was silence, empty walkways and still waters,
today once-abandoned building sites ring with the sounds of renewed
construction, joggers and walkers compete with rental pedal karts,
baby-buggies and cyclists, and the waters churn with the passage of vessels
of all sizes, from kayaks and rowing boats to tourist-laden cruise dhows and
luxury yachts.
And there are more concrete clues, as well. Chief among the more obvious is
the revived building activity, symbolised by the imminent handover of some
of the most impressive buildings to rise on the shores of the Marina, where
a forest of striking skyscrapers is creating a stunning skyline that draws
camera-wielding tourists by the coachload.
Due for handover in the next few months, Tameer's Elite Residence and The
Princess Tower - at 414m the tallest exclusively residential block in the
world - will add a total of 1,460 apartments to the already bustling Marina
scene. Select Property, meanwhile, is close to delivering three other
neighbouring giants: the Torch - due for completion originally in 2008 -
Botanica and Bay Central, which together will add another 1,700 households
in a total of 3,160 about to come online.
Bad news perhaps for landlords, who may well see rents in the Marina fall
further, but good news for the shops, restaurants and other business that
are now flocking to the area.
"I'd agree that Dubai is on the road to recovery," says Craig Plumb, head of
research for the Mena region for real-estate company Jones Lang LaSalle, but
he takes his clues from outside the property sector.
"There are lots of signs that Dubai is bouncing back, but real estate tends
to lag the rest of the economy. So what you'd normally find is that the
trade and tourist levels will pick up, the schools will get busy and the
taxis will get busy, before the real-estate market comes back and that's
very much what's happening here."
Stroll out of the Marina and you will find that along the nearby Sheikh
Zayed Road work has started again on a key piece of government-funded
infrastructure - Al Sufouh Tramway. Work on the project, which was launched
in 2008, appeared to have ground to a halt some time last year. Now, says
Dubai's Roads & Transport Authority, the project is 30 per cent complete and
on track for completion in November 2014.
The tramway will run for 10km and call at a dozen stations, linking Jumeirah
Beach Residence in the south with Jumeirah Hills in the north, via stops
including the Marina, Mina Al Siahi, Media City and the Palm Jumeirah. An
added bonus, says the RTA, is that it "will provide a permanent solution to
the traffic congestion" along the chaotically bustling JBR, itself a
testament to the robust state of Dubai's economic health.
The sense that all Dubai's roads are getting busier is no illusion, says
Nasser Abu Saheb, director of strategic transport planning at the RTA. "The
urban and economic activity in the city has increased compared to 2009,
which has increased the need for commuting," he says.
"Driving on the major roads in Dubai [gives] a general sense of traffic in
Dubai. As business sentiments improve, vehicle registrations and travel
activities grow in general."
It is hard to be precise about the number of cars using the roads - Salik
tolls are taken only where there are alternative routes available to
motorists - but the increasing use of public transport, including the Metro,
strongly suggests a city getting back in the fast lane.
In the whole of 2010, 289.1 million passengers used public transport in
Dubai; by June this year there had been 159.4 million and, says Saheb, "we
expect this figure to reach 350 million by this year end", an increase of
more than 20 per cent.
Tarek Coury, an economist at Dubai School of Government, cautions against
reading too much into the population reaching the magic two million mark,
because it isn't magic, he says, it's par for the course.
"There's nothing surprising about the growth in population. Population
growth tends to mirror the growth in the GDP, in particular in the non-oil
sectors; and what we've observed for the past 30 years is that GDP growth in
the non-oil sector has been about 5 per cent per annum and during the same
time the population growth has also been about 5 per cent."
Coury doesn't buy into the apocalyptic picture that was painted of Dubai's
downfall. "They have been bad years but it's all relative," he says. And
now, as well as a tourism sector that has done "super-well, retail growth in
Dubai is just through the roof".
What's more, Dubai has "managed essentially not to default on debt and the
companies that still owe a lot are doing pretty well in the market and so
more likely than not they will be able to meet their debt obligations".
On the whole, he says, "I think things look pretty good. The whole world is
experiencing a recession so things have to be put in the international
context. Relative to other countries, we did OK."
The population hitting two million might not warrant a celebration, but
"tourism is a sensible thing to be happy about", he says, and largely
responsible for what has proved to be Dubai's ultimate resilience.
Various sources put the direct impact of tourism on Dubai's GDP at between
20 and 30 per cent, but there is also a big overlap with the wholesale and
retail trade sectors, which in 2010 accounted for about 30 per cent of the
emirate's GDP. Doubtless, he says, "tourism is one of the important drivers
of the economy, and I think this aspect of Dubai's economy is quite
sustainable".
Figures released last month by the Dubai government showed not only an 11
per cent increase in hotel guests, to 6.64 million visitors in the first
three quarters of the year, but also that they were staying longer: the
number of guest nights increased by 26 per cent.
This "stellar performance" of Dubai's tourism industry, as Khalid A bin
Sulayem, director-general of Dubai's Department of Tourism and Commerce
Marketing, characterised it when the figures were released, was "a testimony
to the aggressive promotional and marketing drive that the department has
been pursuing [and] the inspiring public-private sector partnership to tap
the tourism potential of Dubai".
Perhaps the best barometer of the city's prospects are its hotels, including
the fact that new ones seem to be sprouting up all the time.
This year, says Toufic Tamim, vice president of sales and marketing for
Mövenpick, which has operated in the city since 2004, "has seen an upturn in
both room occupancies and average rates in Dubai despite the injection of a
substantial amount of room supply".
While the Arab Spring doubtless "caused a shift of demand from some
countries in the Middle East", it wasn't only the prospect of safety that
lured travellers to Dubai. The crucial additional factor, rooted in the
infrastructure planning that took place in Dubai in the Eighties and before,
and which will outlive any temporary effects of the Arab Spring, was "the
multiple recreational activities that the city offers".
And those activities continue to multiply. Dubai's cultural scene is already
thickly textured; March, for example, will see the sixth staging of Art
Dubai, the largest contemporary art fair in the Middle East, while the Dubai
International Film Festival has attracted global attention since its
foundation in 2004.
In January, that scene will gain another layer when the institution that is
Beirut's Music Hall opens a branch on the Palm, in the new Jumeirah Zabeel
Saray Hotel. The hotel, which served as the setting for several scenes in
the new Tom Cruise film, Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol, is already a
showbiz veteran, but the real star of that show, however, was the Burj
Khalifa.
The Burj Al Arab, completed in 1999 and conceived by Sheikh Mohammed bin
Rashid, the Ruler, as a world-recognisable symbol of Dubai and its tourism,
has served successfully in that role for a decade. If anyone doubted Dubai's
wisdom in building a second global icon, in the shape of the world's tallest
building, they have only to watch the film, which opened last week to
international rave reviews and record box offices and serves as a 133-minute
promotional film for Dubai.
Small wonder that Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, the Ruler of Dubai, was
spotted chatting on the red carpet with Tom Cruise at the recent film
festival. "We Love Tom," read the posters being waved by fans, and well they
might: who knows how many tourist dollars the film will send to the city?
Such visionary marketing reinforces the confidence of hotel chains such as
Mövenpick which, like other groups, is putting its faith - and money - in
Dubai. It currently has four properties in the city, with four more under
construction.
Sami Nasser, vice president for Sofitel Middle East, Africa and Indian
Ocean, also says that his group has also seen "a significant increase" in
occupancy rates in Dubai this year, among both business and leisure
travellers.
"We need to be cautious," he says, "But for the past three months we have
noticed positive signs of improvement. More and more traffic on the roads,
the rents of apartments and housing are sensible, occupancy rates of the
hotels are better than last year and more and more passengers are flying
through Dubai with longer stop-overs. The signs are encouraging."
Sufficiently encouraging to persuade Sofitel, which currently operates one
432-room hotel in the city, on JBR's The Walk, to press ahead with plans to
open two more in the next two years.
Tourists, however, aren't the only visitors drawn to Dubai, which has
developed a healthy conference and exhibition sector that has weathered the
storm and is now showing signs of moving forward.
"I am cautiously optimistic," says Matthew Williams, managing director of
Terrapinn, an international company that has been running exhibitions and
conferences in the Middle East for 13 years and opened an office in Media
City in 2007. "I don't think we're getting carried away with the position we
find ourselves in, but we are seeing growth in terms of visitor numbers and
exhibitors and sponsors at our big shows, and quite considerable in some
cases."
Plus, he says, "the ability to launch new exhibitions is one of the best
barometers of how the economy is going, and we've launched a major new event
at the Madinat Jumeirah arena which is running next April. The Mobile Show
has been a big success for us already in terms of numbers. It just goes to
show that people are still allocating budget to this part of the world."
The Arab Spring, he believes, has been "a huge thing for Dubai, it actually
strengthens the value proposition in terms of being the safest place to do
business and the most stable place to live or work in the GCC and North
Africa".
According to government figures there was an astonishing boost in foreign
trade in the first quarter of 2011, up 34.2 per cent compared with the same
period in 2010, a jump in value from Dh136.6 billion to Dh183.3 billion.
Imports alone accounted for a growth rate of 28.2 per cent, and the main
items give some taste of a city not only back in the money, but also getting
down to business again: top of the shopping list were pearls, precious
stones and metals, followed by machinery, sound recorders and TV and
electrical equipment, and then vehicles, aircraft and vessels.
Another clue to growth can be found in data from the Dubai Statistics
Centre, showing the total number of operating licences, including
industrial, professional and tourism, issued by the Department of Economic
Development in the first half of this year. While only 2,385 licences were
cancelled, 7,256 new ones were issued and 53,075 were renewed.
Among the many new businesses that have opened around the Marina in the past
year is Naked Pizza, the first overseas branch of a company founded in New
Orleans in 2006 with the twin social missions of making healthier pizzas and
helping the revitalisation of the city's economy after Hurricane Katrina.
The man who brought the brand to Dubai was Ian Ohan, a Canadian who has
lived in the city for 11 years and, until 2009, had been working in
property-development investment and finance. He saw the founders being
interviewed on Bloomberg, liked the fact that the company "aligned purpose
and profit", and took the leap, despite the state of Dubai's economy back
then.
Asking him "Why?" in his office at the foot of Marina View Towers is now a
redundant question. Since he opened this first outlet on January 17 this
year, three others have followed around the city, with many more in the
pipeline in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Kuwait. In the US,
Naked Pizza now has 20 stores with more than 400 new franchises under
contract for development, and now the Dubai office has been made the
international headquarters for an operation receiving 20 inquiries a week,
with franchises already awarded in Lebanon, Australia and India and deals
under way in the UK.
Over the past year, Ohan has seen business pick up in the Marina and the
other locations in the delivery area, including JLT, JBR and the Palm. He
estimates the population has increased by 15 per cent over the course of the
year, to about 50,000 residential units and 6,500 businesses.
"We have felt a difference and we see it every day, in this location in
particular. In all of our locations we have felt an increase. The market has
increased in size."
Back in January, not long after a big international coffee chain quit the
very same building in which his operation is now thriving, Ohan's decision
to launch a business in the still ghostlike Marina might have seemed rash.
But not to him.
"When we first moved in here, everything was very quiet," he admits. But
over the past 13 years, he says, "I've seen Dubai go up and down - mostly
up, but there have been downs that other people haven't seen - and I have a
lot of faith in the Government.
"There is a vision in place and I felt they had the unique ability to turn
things around quickly; they had too much at stake."
The proof that his decision was correct is right outside the window: "Now it
is so active and vibrant. The Marina is actually becoming the community it
was meant to be."
Despite all the gloomy predictions, the vision that is Dubai is delivering
again. Mission not so impossible after all, perhaps.
Centre starts monitoring lese majeste
24 December 2011
A less than Merry Christmas from the
centre for monitoring lese majeste websites which is offering advice to
Thais on what to do and not to do when browsing the internet.
The Bangkok Post reports that
the centre, which will run 24 hours a day, has opened on the third floor of
the Royal Thai Police headquarters.
Bringing together the country's top police, it will be headed by the deputy
commander of the technology crime suppression division, Pol Col Siripong
Timula.
The first advice the centre gives the public is: Do not forward, send a link
or revisit websites - including Facebook, Twitter or YouTube - with lese
majeste content. Those who do so can be regarded as supporting such
websites.
"Never press 'Like' in Facebook or click 'Follow' on Twitter," said Pol Col
Siripong.
"If you Google certain key words such as 'King Thailand' and come across
indecent content, do not activate the link because browsing those websites
can upgrade the ranking of those lese majeste sites, eventually pushing them
to the top of the list."
He suggested the public check in to such websites as http://www.weloveking.com
and
http://www.welovekingonline.com.
What does
this reek of? McCarthyism. Defined in
Wikipedia as "the
practice of making accusations of disloyalty, subversion, or treason without
proper regard for evidence...The term is also now used more generally to
describe reckless, unsubstantiated accusations, as well as demagogic attacks
on the character or patriotism of political adversaries.
Of course; because the only thing that is not lese majeste is a declaration
of love and support. But surely debating the role of the monarchy in any
modern democracy should be acceptable. That is neither criticism or an
insult of the monarchy.
On Dec 7, Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra named an executive committee to
oversee "illegal information sharing" through communications technology. The
committee, headed by deputy prime minister Chalerm Yubamrung, comprises 22
high-ranking officers - the permanent secretaries of defence, foreign
affairs, justice, interior and ICT, secretary-generals of the National
Security Council and Drugs Control Commission, police chiefs and national
intelligence agency directors.
What were all these people doing before their
new 24 hour role....
Mr Chalerm asked committee members to send their ICT staff to man the
24-hour centre so they can trawl the internet and catch websites with lese
majeste content.
He said his committee has set up three sub-committees to accelerate
surveillance work; they will be chaired by senior police officers. One is
verifying lese majeste content, one is a panel on investigation. No idea
about the third.
Usually, it takes a week for the ICT and police to gather information and
for the ICT minister to file for a court order. Now the committee can do it
within one day, boasted Pol Gen Worapong who also serves as
secretary-general to the lese majeste web closure executive committee.
Worapong encouraged
people who come across inappropriate websites to alert authorities at
http://www.police.go.th or http://www.mict.go.th or file an anonymous
complaint at: http://123.242.139.201/main.php?filename= index - complaint.
Here is the problem - there is no definition
of what is LM content. Widely interpreted it appears to be anything other
than unadulterated fawning is acceptable. Anything that debates the status
quo is not acceptable. This too easily becomes a weapon that will allow
mischief.
In Thailand,
Support for King Grows Bellicose
24 December 2011
New York Times
“If you live in Thailand, you must be loyal,” reads a sign prominently
suspended over the road. “If you are not loyal, you are not Thai.”
Thailand has always stood out for the deference that many Thais openly show
toward their monarch. But in the twilight of the reign of King Bhumibol
Adulyadej, 84, now weakened and living in a specially outfitted suite in a
Bangkok hospital, dedicated loyalists are leading a feverish,
with-us-or-against-us campaign to defend him. At the same time, the
government has intensified a crackdown on criticism of the monarchy,
prosecuting a record number of people charged with royal insults.
Passions over the monarchy have escalated to the point where some Thais say
they fear the situation could turn violent.
“We have reached a stage where people would want to drive you out of the
country or even want to kill you for having different thoughts,” said Anon
Numpa, a lawyer who represents a dozen clients accused of royal insults.
The royalists say they feel under attack, most recently from outside the
country. On the Internet, thousands of Thais have posted angry comments on
the U.S. Embassy’s Facebook page since a Thai-born U.S. citizen was
convicted of insulting the king.
The Facebook page has become a focal point for denouncing the United States,
with commentators lashing out at it for, among other things, invading
foreign countries, producing junk food and discriminating against
African-Americans. The comments have been particularly striking because
Thailand has traditionally harbored relatively little anti-American
sentiment.
“Please leave Thailand alone and manage your huge debt,” said one visitor to
the Facebook page, who identified herself as Narong Srichada.
The outpouring of anger, which has continued for more than a week, is a
reaction to foreign criticism of the crackdown on royal insults.
Earlier this month, Joe Gordon, the U.S. citizen who was convicted, was
sentenced to two and a half years in prison, prompting the U.S. Embassy to
criticize the “severity” of the sentence. Last month, the European Union’s
office in Bangkok said it was “deeply concerned” about a separate case, a
20-year prison sentence given to a man convicted of sending text messages
that a court ruled were critical of the monarchy.
And a U.N. official, Frank La Rue, issued a statement last month calling for
a review of the laws that ban criticism of the monarchy, saying they put “in
jeopardy the right to freedom of opinion and expression.”
These comments have riled royalists, who say the outside world does not
understand the near godlike status that the king, who has reigned for more
than six decades, has in the country.
But royalists also see threats from inside the country.
Tul Sittisomwong, a physician who has led a series of pro-monarchy street
demonstrations, describes what he says is a plot to overthrow the monarchy
by Thaksin Shinawatra, the former prime minister ousted in a 2006 military
coup.
Mr. Thaksin is making a comeback in Thailand: His sister, Yingluck
Shinawatra, became prime minister in August, and longtime allies of Mr.
Thaksin are now running government ministries.
Dr. Tul and associates in the so-called yellow shirt royalist movement have
long accused Mr. Thaksin of harboring republican leanings. (Mr. Thaksin
remains in self-imposed exile overseas, but the government recently returned
his passport, which had been confiscated by the previous government.)
“If you want to be the most powerful person in Thailand, you have to get rid
of the royal family,” Dr. Tul said in an interview, summarizing what he
believes to be Mr. Thaksin’s strategy. “Otherwise you will always be No.2.”
This analysis is at odds with the government’s policies. Ms. Yingluck’s
government, perhaps to allay fears that it came to power with the support of
anti-monarchists, has ramped up policing criticism of the monarchy. Tens of
thousands of Web pages have been blocked by government censors.
The country’s deputy prime minister, Chalerm Ubamrung, has rejected calls to
amend lèse-majesté laws, saying that to do so would create “chaos.”
Mr. Chalerm recently derided those calling for reform of the law. “Don’t
they have any jobs to go to?” he said.
The passions surrounding the monarchy are coloring the workings of the legal
system. Government prosecutors this month used emotionally charged language
to charge a critic of the monarchy, straying from the previous norm of
measured legalese, according to Mr. Anon, the lawyer representing people
accused of royal insults.
Surapak Puchaisaeng, a 40-year-old freelance computer programmer, is accused
of creating a Facebook page that prosecutors say contained insulting content
about the king.
“His Majesty has contributed to the country and people benevolently and
immeasurably,” reads the charge against Mr. Surapak. “The defendant is not
only ungrateful for his royal grace that has been given to people
continually, but is also audacious, threatening and aiming to overthrow the
monarchy, which is enthroned in a position of revered worship for the entire
Thai people.”
Over the years, the Thai government and the palace have nurtured an image of
King Bhumibol as the heart and soul of the nation.
A government radio station regularly airs interviews with people on the
street professing their love for the king, who is commonly referred to in
Thailand as the “lord above our head.” A recently opened exhibition financed
by the Crown Property Bureau, an organization that handles the king’s vast
business interests, describes King Bhumibol as “bringing about peace,
happiness and good quality of life.”
Although the king has been forced to curtail his public outings because of
illness and age, the monarchy is still very present in the daily lives of
Thais.
The king’s portrait is ubiquitous around the country. Moviegoers stand for
the royal anthem before every screening at cinemas. And there is a nightly
“royal news” program broadcast on all public channels and detailing the
activities of the royal family.
Many Thais openly profess their fealty to the king. Last weekend, a dozen
pop stars held a concert “to show our deep loyalty to His Majesty the King.”
In the Bangkok garment district, Yuak Kadsuksai, a 61-year-old woman who
sells meatballs from a cart in the street, says residents have put up a
picture of the king for years. But this year, they made his portrait bigger.
“We have progressed in Thailand today because of the monarchy,” Ms. Yuak
said. “If we had had no kings, our country would have been even more
impoverished.”
But there are also many who feel that the latest waves of royal adulation
have gone too far.
Pitch Pongsawat, a lecturer at Chulalongkorn University in Bangkok, said the
country’s “royal worship system” was engendering fear. “People are keeping
track of who loves the royals and who doesn’t,” he said on a television
program this week.
Kong Rithdee, a columnist for The Bangkok Post newspaper, compares the
campaign to prosecute perceived criticism of the monarchy to the fatwa
placed on the author Salman Rushdie the author by Iranian clerics.
In their zeal to protect the king, ultraroyalists in Thailand may be
weakening the institution of the monarchy, he said.
“To protect God,” Mr. Kong wrote, “sometimes the self-appointed guardians
risk despoiling his name.”
Both the FT and Robert Amsterdam are wrong
24 December 2011
The FT carried the following
editorial on 18 December 2011. Robert Amsterdam’s responsed on behalf of
Thaksin Shinawatra.
The editorial first:
"Thaksin Shinawatra, the former Thai prime minister, has spent much of the
past two years in self- imposed exile dodging a prison sentence for
corruption. The last month, however, has been marked by growing speculation
that the newly elected government led by his sister, Yingluck Shinawatra, is
pushing for his return.
Last week the foreign ministry admitted that, two years after it was
rescinded, Mr Thaksin has been reissued with a Thai passport. On one level
this is little more than a symbolic gesture. Mr Thaksin already has
Montenegrin and Nicaraguan papers which enable him to travel as he pleases.
But coming after a spat in November over whether Mr Thaksin would be
included in the annual royal pardon of prisoners, it has raised suspicions
over the government’s intentions.
Ms Yingluck would be ill advised to engineer her brother’s return. Mr
Thaksin is an intensely polarising figure, loved by Thailand’s rural poor
but detested by the army and the conservative elite. Last month’s rumours of
a pardon were enough to catapult protesters from both camps on to the
streets. If Mr Thaksin were to return, there is a serious risk that the
bitter ideological divisions that have scarred Thai politics since his
ousting in a 2006 coup would be reactivated.
In truth, Ms Yingluck should have more important things to think about. Her
neophyte government faces a number of daunting challenges – not least the
pressing need to root out the deeply entrenched corruption that has long
plagued Thailand. Giving special treatment to the country’s most prominent
fugitive would not be a good way to start.
Ms Yingluck’s biggest concern, however, should be reviving the country’s
economy after it was swamped by the worst floods in 50 years. The October
inundation killed more than 600 people, hit thousands of factories and
knocked about 1 percentage point off economic growth in the third quarter.
Ms Yingluck’s government was widely criticised for failing to co-ordinate
adequately the response to the disaster. She cannot afford to bungle
management of the recovery as well.
Even before the floods, the economic problems facing Thailand were
significant: poverty is rife in rural areas; inflation is a threat; welfare
policy is a mess. The challenges now are greater still. Rising to them would
be a good way for Ms Yingluck to boost her government’s standing. Bringing
back Mr Thaksin would not."
Robert R. Amsterdam’s response:
"Sir, Your newspaper’s editorial “Thai trouble” (December 18) argues that
Thailand’s government “would be ill advised” to engineer the return of
former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra. The editorial surmises: “If Mr
Thaksin were to return, there is a serious risk that the bitter ideological
divisions that have scarred Thai politics since his ousting in a 2006 coup
would be reactivated.”
Those divisions have, in fact, never been deactivated. While the Thai people
now have a government of their own choosing, the root cause of such
divisions – the destruction of the rule of law – has yet to be addressed.
The generals who staged an illegal coup in 2006, interrupting 15 years of
democratic rule, remain beyond the reach of the law, as do the civilian and
military officials responsible for the deaths of more than 80 protesters in
2010. Dr Thaksin, however, remains in exile due to his refusal to serve an
absurd sentence handed down by a court perceived as being in the pocket of
his sworn enemies.
Contrary to the statement made in your editorial, Dr Thaksin was not
convicted of “corruption”. Rather, his sentence was based on the court’s
finding that he should not have allowed his wife to participate in an
auction of public land while he served as prime minister. No foreign
government has ever considered the sentence as anything other than
politically motivated, hence Interpol’s decision never to issue a “Red
Notice” for Dr Thaksin.
As stated in your paper’s editorial, Dr Thaksin is indeed “detested by the
army and the conservative elite”. The editorial, however, did not explain
why it should be up to “the army and the conservative elite” to decide on
matters of policy and national reconciliation, considering that the Thai
electorate overwhelmingly endorsed Dr Thaksin’s return in the July 2011
elections.
The international community’s willingness to accept the legitimacy of
actions taken by the Thai establishment over the electorate’s wishes is a
crucial reason why the country finds itself in the midst of a political
crisis of this magnitude. Your paper’s exclusion of a democratically elected
leader from his country demonstrates the utter failure to comprehend the
fact that Thailand’s return to stability and peace is predicated on the
restoration of democracy and the rule of law. “The army and the conservative
elite” should no longer be permitted to treat a country of 70m people as
their own fiefdom."
The trouble is that they are both wrong.
Bringing Thaksin back would be a disaster. But it is just one of the actions
that are necessary in Thailand. Thaksin is far from being the only problem.
The FT conveniently omits the fact that the government needs to conclude its
investigations of the deaths of protestors, journalists and bystanders as
protestors were cleared from Siam in 2010.
Mr Amsterdam meanwhile must be very confused.
He used to portray himself as legal advisor to the UDD, the red shirt
movement. But the red shirt movement has been substantially betrayed by
Yingluck's Puea Thai government who look worse than the Democrats that they
replaced. Mr.Amsterdam promoted the virtues of democracy, compliance with
human rights and even decried the Dems for creating an ongoing atmosphere of
intimidation - the very thing that the PT government is now doing with its
use of lese majeste laws.
But Mr.Thaksin pays Amsterdam's bills so the
lawyers allegiance appears no longer to be to the fine virtues that he
promoted while the Dems were in government. Hypocrite, turncoat, opportunist
or genuinely disappointed. You decide.
Melbourne and
Tokyo to get EK's A380
21 December 2011
Emirates
will become the third airline to operate the Airbus A380 into Melbourne,
revealing today the super jumbo will be introduced on its direct route to
Dubai next year.
Emirates will fly the A380 into Melbourne from next October; passenger to
New Zealand will also have the opportunity to fly on it as it will continue
through to Auckland.
Emirates has 20 of the Superjumbos in its fleet, and with orders for another
70 is the world's biggest operator of the A380.
Melbourne is on a list of cities to benefit from the next 11 Airbus A380s to
be delivered to Emirates in 2012.
Emirates is not anticipating any fare increases for passengers flying the
A380, though fares on the direct route to Dubai are usually slightly higher
than on its other two daily flights from Melbourne via Kuala Lumpur and
Singapore, which will continue to be served by Boeing 777 aircraft.
Emirates will also fly the A380 from
Dubai to Tokyo Narita from 1 July 2012 replacing the daily 777.
The
Emirates aircraft has 399 or 427 economy seats on the lower level, with the
upper deck of the aircraft set aside for 76 business and 14 first-class
passengers.
First class includes private cabins, showers and a spa bath, while business
class has flat-bed seats and its own bar.
Etihad takes major stake in Air Berlin
19 December 2011
UAE
carrier Etihad Airways said it has agreed to increase its stake in Air
Berlin, Europe’s sixth largest airline, to 29.21 per cent, becoming Air
Berlin’s largest single shareholder.
The strategic move, announced on Monday in Berlin by Etihad Airways Chief
Executive Officer James Hogan and Air Berlin CEO Hartmut Mehdorn, connects
the airlines’ extensive networks and frequent flyer programs to offer
travellers 239 destinations across 77 countries.
But there
is a catch; Air Berlin is not profitable and has not been profitable since
2007. It has been restructuring and cost saving. This gives the airline more
time.
Etihad
Airways will spend about 73 million euros, giving a life line to the
debt-laden German airline. Etihad will buy about 31.5 million new shares in
Germany's second-biggest carrier and will lend up to $255 million to the
airline. A codeshare agreement between the two airlines will give Etihad
access to Air Berlin's strong European short-haul network.
"Air Berlin has a strong position in Germany, but we are also interested in
its position in Austria and Switzerland," Etihad Chief Executive James Hogan
told Reuters in an interview after the deal was announced.
Hogan said Air Berlin's existing major shareholders, which include Turkish
group ESAS Holding, owned by the Sabanci family, and TUI Travel (TT.L), have
endorsed the deal.
Air Berlin has had a rocky ride this year, with founder and Chief Executive
Joachim Hunold stepping down in August after failing for several years to
bring about a turnaround, and Air Berlin has been trying to shrink its way
back to profit.
It has cut unprofitable routes, pushed back aircraft orders and issued a
bond with an 11.5 percent coupon to shore up its finances, while its debt
pile grew to 644 million euros at end-September from 489 million at the end
of 2010.
The company's shares had dropped to less than 2.50 euros from a high of more
than 20 euros in 2007, giving Air Berlin a market value of just over 200
million euros.
The new
shares will be issued at a price of 2.31 euros.
Etihad
agreed to keep its shares for at least two years and will not increase its
stake during that time. As a non-European airline it can’t take a
controlling position.
Etihad's CEO seeking a silver lining said "as a business, Air Berlin is a
good business. The issues were in regard to financing and their fleet
requirements." He added that
the deal was one of the most important in Etihad Airways’ history. “This new
partnership expands our network reach, gives us access to 33 million new
passengers, and provides us with a real opportunity for global growth.
Through airberlin, we gain immediate access to a broad and complementary
European market, with outstanding connectivity options for customers of both
airlines.”
Air Berlin
still plans to join the Oneworld alliance of airlines, which includes
British Airways, American Airlines and Hong Kong-based Cathay Pacific, by
the spring.
Air Berlin
will switch its Middle East base from Dubai to Abu Dhabi with four flights a
week from Berlin connecting to Etihad's network from 15 January 2012.
The airlines will implement an extensive codeshare agreement, with Etihad
Airways codesharing on 36 of airberlin’s 171 destinations and airberlin
codesharing on 24 of Etihad Airways’ 82 passenger destinations, and plan
further expansion of the pool of codeshare routes; Etihad Airways will sign
codeshare agreements with the airberlin group for all European activities
including NIKI, the Austrian airline, and Belair, the very small Swiss
airline; Etihad Guest and topbonus, the airlines’ frequent flyer programs,
will be integrated, enabling passengers of both airlines to ‘earn and burn’
on each other’s flights and offering reciprocal benefits - including status
earning - to top tier members.
Under the agreement, Etihad Airways will have two seats on the Board of
Directors of the Air Berlin PLC.
Airberlin and Etihad Airways are committed to creating a joint procurement
taskforce to look for cost efficiencies across the two companies, including
areas such as fleet procurement and deployment, maintenance, repair and
overhaul (MRO) and general procurement.
A tough year for the bad guys
19 December 2011
It has not been a good year
for the bad guys - Gadaffi. Gone. Bin Laden. Gone. Kim Jong Il. The latest
to go.
North Korean leader Kim Jong-il, died on
Saturday at the age of 69. Revered in North Korea as a demi-god he
was vilified in the West, in
particular the USA as a temperamental tyrant with a
nuclear arsenal.
Kim, who was 69, died at 8:30 a.m. Saturday, according to state media. A
tearful broadcaster reported that Kim died due to "overwork" after
"dedicating his life to the people."
More specifically, the agency reported that Kim suffered a heart attack and
couldn't be saved despite the use of "every possible first-aid measure." He
had been treated for "cardiac and cerebrovascular diseases for a long
period," KCNA noted.
His funeral will be held December 28 and
the national mourning period extends until December 29, said the news
agency.
Kim was the unchallenged head of North Korea. But the economy fell deeper
into poverty during his years in power as he vexed the world by developing a
nuclear arms programme and an arsenal of missiles aimed to hit neighbours
Japan and South Korea.
Kim had been portrayed as a criminal mastermind behind deadly bombings, a
jovial dinner host, a comic buffoon in Hollywood movies and by the
administration of former U.S. President George W. Bush as the ruler of "an
outpost of tyranny".
He was thought to have suffered a stroke in August 2008.
Known at home as "the Dear Leader", Kim took over North Korea in 1994 when
his father and founder of the reclusive state Kim Il-sung, known as "the
Great Leader", died.
Kim Jong-il, famed for his bouffant hair-do, platform shoes and jump suits,
slowly emerged from his father's shadows to become one of the world's most
enigmatic leaders who put North Korea on the path of becoming a nuclear
power.
Despite being on the world stage longer than most world leaders, little was
known about Kim. He rarely spoke in public and almost never traveled abroad,
other than by train to China.
Kim had a host of titles in North Korea, but president was not one of them.
Kim Il-sung was given the posthumous title of president for life, while his
son's most powerful posts included the chairman of the National Defence
Commission, the real centre of power in North Korea, and Supreme Commander
of the Korea People's Army.
North Korean propaganda said Kim Jong-il was born on February 16, 1942, at a
secret camp for rebel fighters led by his father near Korea's famed Mount
Paektu. But analysts say he was likely born in the Soviet Union when his
father was with other Korean communist exiles receiving military and other
training.
North Korea analysts said however, Kim lived a life of privilege in the
capital, Pyongyang, when his family returned to the divided peninsula in
1945.
The Soviets later installed Kim Il-sung as the new leader of North Korea and
the family lived in a Pyongyang mansion formerly occupied by a Japanese
officer.
Kim Jong-il's younger brother mysteriously drowned in a pool at the
residence in 1947.
Kim likely spent many of his younger years in China to receive an education
and to keep him safe during the 1950-1953 Korean War, analysts said.
After graduating from college, Kim joined the ruling Worker's Party of Korea
in 1964 and quickly rose through its ranks. By 1973, he was the party's
secretary of organisation and propaganda, and in 1974 his father anointed
him as his successor.
Kim gradually increased his power in domestic affairs over the following
years and his control within the ruling party greatly increased when the
younger Kim was given senior posts in the Politburo and Military Commission
in 1980.
Intelligence experts say Kim ordered a 1983 bombing in Myanmar that killed
17 senior South Korean officials and the destruction of a Korean Air
jetliner in 1987 that killed 115.
He is also suspected of devising plans to raise cash by kidnapping Japanese,
dealing drugs through North Korean embassies and turning the country into a
major producer of counterfeit currency.
Kim was known as a womaniser, a drinker and a movie buff, according to those
people who had been in close contact with him and later left the country. He
enjoyed ogling Russian dancing girls, amassing a wine cellar with more than
10,000 bottles and downing massive amounts of lobster and cognac.
North Korea's propaganda machine painted a much different picture.
It said Kim piloted jet fighters -- even though he travelled by land for his
infrequent trips abroad. He penned operas, had a photographic memory,
produced movies and accomplished a feat unmatched in the annals of
professional golf, shooting 11 holes-in-one on the first round he ever
played....finishing 38 under par on the capital's only golf course.
Kim took power in 1994. Despite the tenuous position from which he started,
Kim managed to stay in power. He also installed economic reforms that were
designed to bring a small and controlled amount of free-market economics
into the state-planned economy.
His greatest moment may have come on June 15, 2000, when he hosted the first
summit of the leaders of the two Koreas when then South Korean Kim Dae-jung
visited Pyongyang.
Kim's image was transformed from a feared and mysterious leader to a
kind-hearted host who had the world knocking on his door. A landmark summit
with then U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and Russian President
Vladimir Putin soon followed the visit by South Korea's president.
But in 2002, tension rose after Washington said Pyongyang had admitted to
pursuing a nuclear arms programme in violation of a 1994 agreement that was
to have frozen its atomic ambitions.
North Korea expelled International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors in
December 2002 and said in January 2003 it was quitting the nuclear
Non-Proliferation Treaty.
In February 2005, North Korea said it had nuclear weapons and in October
2006, it rattled the region by exploding a nuclear device. North Korea
conducted a second nuclear test in May 2009.
Kim Jong-il reportedly told visitors that it was the dying wish of his
father to see the Korean peninsula free of nuclear weapons and he wanted to
work toward that end, but he first wanted to see the United States treat his
state with respect.
Tensions heightened to their highest levels in years in 2010 with the
torpedoing of a South Korean warship, killing 46 sailors. The South blamed
the attack on Pyongyang, but North Korea denied responsibility. Later that
year, the North bombarded a South Korean island, the first such attack
against civilian target since the 1950-53 Korean War.
This year, Kim's health appeared to have improved and he visibly gained
weight. He visited China twice and travelled to Russia for the first time in
nearly a decade.
Kim has three known sons. The youngest, Kim Jong-un, will succeed him and
has already been annointed as the Great Successor.
North Korea has urged its 24 million people to rally behind 20-something Kim
Jong-un as the nation mourns the death of Kim.
The North's official Korean Central News Agency said the country, people and
military "must faithfully revere respectable comrade Kim Jong-un".
"At the leadership of comrade Kim Jong-un, we have to change sadness to
strength and courage and overcome today's difficulties," it said.
CNN's commentary on Kim stated simply that "he
was the diminutive dictator with a reputation for indulging in fine wine,
cognac, and foreign prostitutes" - CNN
Links:
The Iconography of Kim Jong-Il
Inside North Korea
North Korean leadership watch
The best job in golf....
17 December 2011
I am sure
I have said it before but the comment i still valid - caddying for Michelle
Wie may just be the best job in golf - not the best paid....
The road home?
16 December 2011
The return
of Thaksin to Thailand has moved a step closer. And it will create turmoil
back home. He is loved or hated. There is little in between.
Foreign Minister Surapong Towichukchaikul Friday confirmed that former prime
minister Thaksin Shinawatra has been removed from the blacklist of the
Foreign Ministry as the ministry has
canceled former foreign minister Kasit's order to revoke Thaksin's passport.
Mr Shinawatra was ousted in a coup in 2006 and has been living in
self-imposed exile in Dubai to avoid jail for what he says is a questionable
conflict-of-interest conviction.
He was banned from holding a Thai passport in 2009 and became a citizen of
Montenegro in order to continue travelling.
The foreign ministry says Thaksin poses no security risk.
"This normal passport has nothing to do with extradition or whether he's
innocent, but only his nationality," foreign ministry spokesman Thani
Thongphakdi said.
"No government agency, including the police - judiciary and interior
ministry - opposed the re-issue of Thaksin's passport."
He still cannot return to Thailand unless he receives a pardon or is given
an amnesty, both vehemently opposed by his critics.
Yingluck Shinawatra won a resounding election victory earlier this year in
the wake of mass opposition protests in 2010 by his "Red Shirt" supporters
which ended with a bloody army crackdown.
But political tension remains in the capital where a number of small
explosive devices have recently been found and defused by police.
The airline with a little bit extra
15 December 2011
Thai airline PC Air carried
out its first proving flight from Bangkok to Surat Thani province today with
four transsexual flight attendants on board.
PC is not
an acronym for politically correct - it is the initials of Peter Chan - the
airline's president.

The picture has Mr Chan with
his four ladyboy crew members - not the guy in the middle. I am a bit
confused why one of the crew appears to have a sock on one foot and a
stocking on the other. Very strange.
PC Air president Peter Chan said the airline set out to hire only male and
female flight attendants but they had a change of heart when they received
more than 100 applications from transvestites, transsexuals, as well as men
who had changed their gender.
The carrier ended up recruiting four transsexuals, as well as 19 women and
seven men, as their cabin crew. PC Air said the qualifications were the same
as that required of female flight attendants, which include femininity and
attractiveness.
The airline has just one airplane at present,
pictured above in its dreadful colour scheme.
PC Air's four transsexual flight attendants are 24-year-olds Ms Chayathisa
Nakmai, Ms Dissanai Chitpraphachin and Ms Phuntakarn Sringern, and Ms
Nathatai Sukkaset, 26. They are believed to be the world's first transgender
flight attendants
The
airline invited about 100 Civil Aviation officials and journalists on its
inaugural flight from Bangkok to Surat Thani, 530 kilometres south, and back
again.
"Today, we are ready to embark on the new journey and we would like to
introduce our four transsexual angels," PC Air president Peter Can told the
passengers before take off.
The cynic in me thinks that this is all a publicity stunt to get some much
needed publicity for a shoe-string airline.
The
optimist in me says that Chan is doing this for all the right reasons and
creating real and well intentioned employment opportunities.
Thailand has a relatively high rate and social acceptance of male-to-female
transsexuals, but rights campaigners have pointed to discrimination and
intolerance from institutions and employers.
The UK's
Daily Mail particularly enjoyed the story with the great headline -
Come fly with he/she! There are also lots of pictures - which sadly
suggest an old airplane and miserable food!
PC Air is
to specialize in charter flights. The airplane is Airbus A310-222 c/n 419
which first flew in Aprli1986. It was previously registered as B-2303,
LZ-JXB, B-2303, XY-AGD (Air Bagan) and RDPL-34181. It was registered on
12-Oct-11 to PC Air Co. Ltd. - the airplane has been registered in China,
Bulgaria, Burma and Laos.
The
airline website is here.
A window on China
What an offshore gambling mecca reveals about business in China
15 December
2011
The Economist
"Not far from
China’s coast, Macau’s casinos buzz with the energy and abandon of the
wildly wealthy. Marble columns, gold decor and money are everywhere. But
behind the glittering facades there are signs of something darker.
Macau’s success is not built purely on the Chinese love of gambling. It is
also fuelled by a stampede of nervous money fleeing the mainland. A look
behind the scenes at Macau reveals a lot about Chinese corruption, and also
about how scared many Chinese businessfolk are about the political climate
back home.
Since 2004 when American casino operators first opened there, Macau has
grown faster than a dealer sorts chips. Gaming revenues in the first 11
months of the year were 44% higher than in 2010; Macau is now four times
bigger than Las Vegas. The former Portuguese colony, a “special
administrative region” of China since 1999, is now the world’s gambling
capital.
High-flyers who gamble with borrowed money in private rooms, known as VIPs,
contributed around 72% of Macau’s $23.5 billion in revenues last year (see
chart). Because gambling is illegal in mainland China, Macau is their
destination of choice. The island’s idiosyncratic “junket” system helps to
bring rich Chinese to Macau. Junkets are middlemen who lend high-rollers
money, arrange accommodation and are paid around 40% of the casinos’ take in
return. (In Las Vegas casinos carry out background checks on gamblers and
lend to them directly.)
But it is not just a passion for cards that brought more than 13.2m
mainlanders to Macau in the first ten months of this year. Many come to
elude China’s strict limits on the amount of yuan people can take out of the
country. A government official who has embezzled state funds, for example,
may arrange to gamble in Macau through a junket. When he arrives, his chips
are waiting for him. When he cashes out, his winnings are paid in Hong Kong
dollars, which he can stash in a bank in Hong Kong or take farther afield.
“There are many ways to launder money, more than we can think of,” says
Davis Fong, an associate business professor at the University of Macau. Some
bypass junkets and instead use pawnshops and other stores, where they buy an
item with yuan and promptly sell it back for Macanese pataca or Hong Kong
dollars—less, of course, a generous cut for the shopkeeper. No one can
quantify how much money is laundered in Macau, but it’s “such an obscene
amount of money you would die”, one resident avows.
Mainland China offers scant legal protection for private property. The rich,
many of whom cut corners to get that way, know they could lose it all
suddenly. Many also fear losing their political patrons next autumn, when
China’s Communist Party will anoint a new generation of leaders. Small
wonder they are seeking havens for their money and their families.
According to the Hurun Report, a wealth researcher, some 14% of rich Chinese
say they have already left the country or are filling out paperwork to
obtain a foreign passport. Another 46% are considering one of these steps. A
recent report by Bank of America Merrill Lynch warned about the
destabilising effects of “hot money” speeding out of China this year.
The flow of money through Macau has caught the eye of the government in
Beijing and may explain a temporary crackdown in 2008 on the number of Macau
visas given to mainland Chinese. According to cables made public by
WikiLeaks, an online troublemaker, others are also watching. A memo sent in
December 2009 from the American consulate in Hong Kong to the secretary of
state said that “[Macau’s] phenomenal success is based on a formula that
facilitates if not encourages money laundering.” In a cable in 2008 Joseph
Donovan, then the American consul-general in Hong Kong, wrote that “some of
these mainlanders are betting with embezzled state money or proceeds from
official corruption, and substantial portions of these funds are flowing on
to organised crime groups in mainland China, if not Macau itself.”
Many have also started to worry about the junkets’ health, partly out of
concern about the stability of China’s “shadow lending” system. If rich
Chinese saw their businesses collapse or property investments plunge, as
some fret could happen if the mainland’s economy slows, the 200 or so
junkets that operate in Macau could have trouble getting their money back
from gamblers. At best there would be less money to lend. But junkets that
could not collect debts might implode, leaving the casinos that had extended
credit to them with big losses. Many casino executives do not seem to know
how much money they have lent to junkets, which makes it hard to assess the
possible extent of defaults.
Casino operators, like their customers, remain sanguine about future
winnings. According to analysts, no big junket has reported any issues with
bad loans so far. A casino executive said recently that he worried less
about a junket going under than he did about the implication of a Macanese
official in a corruption scandal or a murder at a casino. Any big crime
would probably encourage China to intervene more heavily in Macau’s affairs
and specifically in the gaming industry.
You can bet that the casinos want to avoid that. They are trying to attract
more “mass-market” customers, who actually want to gamble for fun. Such
people do not need loans to play and offer better margins, because casinos
do not need to pay junkets a cut. A high-speed railway being built from
Guangzhou to Macau will make it easier to lure them. Some casinos are also
building venues with less floor space for blackjack and more for shops,
theatres and restaurants.
This may help placate the government in Beijing, which would rather see its
citizens shop for jewellery than for a different currency. But as long as
money feels nervous in China, it will seek a way out, and Macau is awfully
convenient."
Misguided
lawyers
15 December 2011
The Bangkok Post
reports today that the Lawyers Council of Thailand has asked Deputy Prime
Minister Chalerm Yubamrung to strengthen the crackdown on websites with
content deemed offensive to the monarchy.
Oh dear. There is
a battle in Thailand for who can make the most outrageous statements in
support of the already well protected royals. Any statement that is not in
fulsome praise of the Thai royal family is not seen to be a threat to the
nation.
It would be nice
to think that Thai lawyers would encourage justice and fairness. That they
would call for transparency. That they would encourage debate and
discussion. T
In statement to handed to Mr Chalerm by council chairman Sak Korsaengruang
on Wednesday, the lawyers suggested the police and the Information and
Communication Technology Ministry (ICT) jointly form a “special agency” to
better trace and tackle on-line information with content insulting to the
royal family.
Aren't there
enough special agencies and committees already. Chalerm already chairs a
committee set up to deal with allegedly unlawful information, including
websites with lese majeste content.
Mr Sak said more inappropriate websites were being found, partly because
police and ICT officials “do not step up action” against offenders.
Now the lawyers
have made their statement expect something similar from other professional
groups - dentists drilling against lese majeste; chiropractors breaking the
bacl of LM; opticians saying the LM is short sighted; plumbers that want to
wash away LM. This will not stop now.
The fact that it
is Chalerm who has become the spokesperson and it would appear the de facto
leader of this government speaks is perhaps the saddest outcome of the
country#s 2011 elections and the biggest failing of the Thaksin family
government.
EK announces double daily to Venice
13 December
2011
The Italian
recession cannot be hitting so hard. People still want to travel there. And
Emirates' flights to all of its Italian destinations are always full. Rome
and Milan already get two flights a day. Now Venice gets a second flight:
Emirates’ flights to Venice will go double daily from 25th March next year.
The airline started flying to Venice in July 2007.
The second daily flight, EK 137, will leave Dubai at 1545hrs and arrive in
Venice at 2000hrs. The return flight, EK 138, will leave Venice Marco Polo
Airport at 2150hrs, landing in Dubai at 0535hrs the next day. This fits
nicely into the less crowded afternoon departure bank. See EK's European
network planning - below.
A 267-seat Airbus 340-300 will operate the route in a three class
configuration; first, business and economy.
“Since launching our third gateway into Italy four years ago, Venice has
gone from strength, both on the passenger and cargo side,” said Salem
Obaidalla, Emirates’ senior vice president, Europe and Russian Federation.
“There is clearly a need for another daily service and we will help to
satisfy that demand.”
News of the extra daily flight comes just two weeks after Emirates made a
major commitment to Italy by placing a 489-seat A380 on one of its twice
daily Rome flights. This enables passengers on the Rome route to travel all
the way from Italy to Australia on the popular A380, as well as other key
markets served by the double decker, such as China and Thailand.
After starting flights to Italy in 1992, Emirates now operates 35 flights
per week to Venice, Rome and Milan, contributing to a US$4.6 billion trade
relationship between Italy and the UAE
Cameron and
Europe: the English outpatient
Instead of putting
Britain first, the prime minister prioritised the Conservative party
11 December
2011 The Guardian
"To stand alone against the world can sometimes be an act of heroic
defiance. At other times, however, it can merely be proof of tragic
foolishness. David Cameron spent much of yesterday basking in the approval
of the previously hostile rightwing press and his party's Eurosceptics after
he vetoed an EU-wide treaty to rescue the single currency. But the prime
minister's action in Brussels marks a moment of profound and long-gestating
British failure. Mr Cameron has left an empty chair that could define
Britain's place in the world for years to come.
None of this is to pretend that Mr Cameron missed the chance to get aboard a
voyage to the stars this week. For Europe as a whole, the latest Brussels
summit marked a moment when the partners finally recognised one of the
things they failed to see at Maastricht 20 years ago, that monetary union
requires constraints of fiscal co-ordination that some nations might not
welcome. That recognition is still too little and too late, and has been
reached in the most adverse of circumstances. It comes at a moment of
extreme inequality between the eurozone members of the north and the south,
while the actions now foisted on the eurozone 17 by Germany and France are
insufficient and too cautious to stop the bond markets – as initial market
reaction yesterday seemed to indicate. There is no guarantee that the plans
which Mr Cameron vetoed for the Europe of 27 will work for the Europe of 17
either.
What exactly has Mr Cameron's veto prevented? Not much. The City of London
may not be most people's idea of an ecology in need of special protection –
quite the opposite. Yet even if it were, the City is not actually better
protected by Mr Cameron's empty chair than it would be if he sat up at the
table as he should. Nor are British interests in the European single market
more strongly safeguarded by his absence than his presence. If the latest
Brussels summit fails to stem the disintegration of the eurozone, Britain
will not be better able to help manage the crisis through an isolation that
is shortsighted, not splendid. Not even Margaret Thatcher made that mistake.
She may have been destructively wrong about Europe, but she always believed
in sitting at the top table.
Mr Cameron's veto was an act of domestic politics, not an act of
international statesmanship. It was a pseudo-Churchillian, pseudo-Thatcherite
gesture to appease his anti-European backbenchers. It prevented a shock to
the Conservative party, not a shock to the British economy. It followed
irresistibly from his decision to take the Tory party out of the mainstream
of European centre-right politics back at the start of his leadership rather
than to concentrate on building up alliances. But instead of putting Britain
first, Mr Cameron prioritised the Tory party and bounced the once so
admirably pro-European Liberal Democrats into allowing him to do it.
Rear-view mirror driver hits wall shock.
Yet this is ultimately not the failure of one politician but of a culture
and a system. Britain's true national interest has become the prisoner of
three inexorable forces. The first is the failure of the misconceived euro
project, which put the politics of European Union ahead of the economics,
and which might perhaps have been better constructed if Britain had had the
instinct to engage. The second is the dominance of the financial sector
within the British polity, and the destruction of so much manufacturing,
which have resulted in the obscenity of a prime minister being compelled to
represent the finance interest as the national interest. And the third is
the destructive Europhobia of the past 35 years, which – fed by the
rightwing press, the financial sector and political parties that were
terrified of offending either of them – has fanned a mood of contempt
towards everything about a European project with which Britain should be
fully engaged rather than sneering uselessly on the sidelines."
Thai laws on
insulting royals having chilling effect on freedom of expression
9 December 2011
United
Nations news centre
"The United Nations human rights office today called on Thai authorities to
reform laws that jail people convicted of insulting senior members of the
country’s royal family, saying they were having a chilling effect on freedom
of expression.
A spokesperson for Navi Pillay, the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights,
told journalists in Geneva that the UN human rights office (OHCHR) was
concerned about Thailand’s laws of lèse majesté – where anyone deemed to
have defamed, insulted or threatened the King and several other senior
royals can be jailed for up to 15 years.
“Such harsh criminal sanctions are neither necessary nor proportionate and
violate the country’s international human rights obligations,” said Ravina
Shamdasani, the spokesperson.In addition to the disproportionate prison
sentences being handed down by the courts, we are also concerned about the
extended periods that accused persons are being held in pre-trial detention.
She said that in the meantime, Thai authorities should issue
guidelines to police and prosecutors to stop arresting and charging people
“under these vaguely worded laws. In addition to the disproportionate prison
sentences being handed down by the courts, we are also concerned about the
extended periods that accused persons are being held in pre-trial
detention.”
In October, Frank La Rue, the UN Special Rapporteur on the right to freedom
of opinion and expression, also spoke out over the lèse majesté laws, saying
their vagueness breached international treaties.
Earlier this month, according to media reports, a man was sentenced to 20
years in prison for sending four text messages to a government aide that
were deemed to be insulting to the Thai queen."
It
really is time for the Thai authorities to take notice of the international
community.
Europe's great divorce
9 December 2011
-
The Economist
"We journalists
are probably too bleary-eyed after a sleepless night to understand the full
significance of what has just happened in Brussels. What is clear is that
after a long, hard and rancorous negotiation, at about 5am this morning the
European Union split in a fundamental way.
In an effort to stabilise the euro zone, France, Germany and 21 other
countries have decided to draft their own treaty to impose more central
control over national budgets. Britain and three others have decided to stay
out. In the coming weeks, Britain may find itself even more isolated.
Sweden, the Czech Republic and Hungary want time to consult their
parliaments and political parties before deciding on whether to join the new
union-within-the-union.
So two decades to the day after the Maastricht Treaty was concluded,
launching the process towards the single European currency, the EU's
tectonic plates have slipped momentously along same the fault line that has
always divided it—the English Channel.
Confronted by the financial crisis, the euro zone is having to integrate
more deeply, with a consequent loss of national sovereignty to the EU (or
some other central co-ordinating body); Britain, which had secured a formal
opt-out from the euro, has decided to let them go their way.
Whether the agreement does anything to stabilise the euro is moot. The
agreement is heavily tilted towards budget discipline and austerity. It does
little to generate money in the short term to arrest the run on sovereigns,
nor does it provide a longer-term perspective of jointly-issued bonds. Much
will depend on how the European Central Bank responds in the coming days and
weeks.
Some doubt remains over whether and how the "euro-plus" zone will have
access to EU institutions—such as the European Commission, which conducts
economic assessments and recommends action, and the European Court of
Justice, which Germany hopes will ensure countries adopt proper
balanced-budget rules—over Britain's objections.
But especially for France, on the brink of losing its AAA credit rating and
now the junior partner to Germany, this is a famous political victory.
President Nicolas Sarkozy had long favoured the creation of a smaller,
"core" euro zone, without the awkward British, Scandinavians and eastern
Europeans that generally pursue more liberal, market-oriented policies. And
he has wanted the core run on an inter-governmental basis, ie by leaders
rather than by supranational European institutions. This would allow France,
and Mr Sarkozy in particular, to maximise its impact.
Mr Sarkozy made substantial progress on both fronts. The president tried not
to gloat when he emerged at 5am to explain that an agreement endorsed by all
27 members of the EU had proved impossible because of British obstruction.
“You cannot have an opt-out and then ask to participate in all the
discussion about the euro that you did not want to have, and which you also
criticised,” declared the French president.
With the entry next year of Croatia, which will sign its accession treaty
today, the EU is still growing, said Mr Sarkozy. “The bigger Europe is, the
less integrated it can be. That is an obvious truth.”
For Britain the benefit of the bargain in Brussels is far from clear. It
took a good half-hour after the end of Mr Sarkozy's appearance for Mr
Cameron to emerge and explain his action. The prime minister claimed he had
taken a “tough decision but the right one” for British
interests—particularly for its financial-services industry. In return for
his agreement to change the EU treaties, Mr Cameron had wanted a number of
safeguards for Britain. When he did not get them, he used his veto.
After much studied vagueness on his part about Britain's objectives, Mr
Cameron's demand came down to a protocol that would ensure Britain would be
given a veto on financial-services regulation (see PDF copy here). The
British government has become convinced that the European Commission,
usually a bastion of liberalism in Europe, has been issuing regulations
hostile to the City of London under the influence of its French
single-market commissioner, Michel Barnier. And yet strangely, given the
accusation that Brussels was taking aim at the heart of the British economy,
almost all of the new rules issued so far have been passed with British
approval (albeit after much bitter backroom fighting). Tactically, too, it
seemed odd to make a stand in defence of the financiers that politicians,
both in Britain and across the rest of European, prefer to denounce.
Mr Cameron said he is “relaxed” about the separation. The EU has always been
about multiple speeds; he was glad Britain had stayed out of the euro and
out of the passport-free Schengen area. He said that life in the EU,
particularly the single market, will continue as normal. “We wish them well
as we want the euro zone to sort out its problems, to achieve stability and
growth that all of Europe needs.” The drawn faces of senior officials seemed
to say otherwise.
The 23 members of the new pact, if they act as a block, can outvote Britain.
They are divided among themselves, of course. But their habit of working
together and cutting deals will, inevitably, begin to weigh against Britain
over time.
Mr Sarkozy and Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, have given notice of
their desire for the euro zone to act in all the domains that would normally
be the remit of all 27 members—for example, labour-market regulations and
the corporate-tax base.
Britain may assume it will benefit from extra business for the City, should
the euro zone ever pass a financial-transaction tax. But what if the new
club starts imposing financial regulations among the 17 euro-zone members,
or the 23 members of the euro-plus pact? That could begin to force
euro-denominated transactions into the euro zone, say Paris or Frankfurt.
Britain would, surely, have had more influence had the countries of the euro
zone remained under an EU-wide system.
It says much about the dire state of the debate on Europe within Britain's
Conservative party that, as Mr Cameron set out to Brussels, another Tory MP
portentously invoked the memory of Neville Chamberlain, who infamously came
back from Munich with empty assurances from Adolf Hitler. Mr Cameron may
have made a grievous mistake with regard to Britain's long-term interest.
But at least nobody can accuse him of returning from Brussels with a piece
of paper in his hand."
The night
Europe changed
9 December 2011
David Cameron
dramatically vetoed a European Union Treaty change last night, risking
political isolation and forcing the most far-reaching shake-up in Europe for
decades.
In one of the most significant developments in Britain's
38-year membership of the EU, the British prime minister said he could not
allow a "treaty within a treaty" that would undermine the UK's position in
the single market.
Arguably in the
long hours of a bitter Brussels night Europe changed more than at any time
since the last european war.
On the one hand a major step was taken towards closer integration. This is
not the result of popular demand by Europe's people. It is because Europe's
leaders believe their project has "never been in such danger".
Last night most of Europe's governments gave up a crucial element of their
sovereignty. In the future, tax and spending plans will be shown to European
officials before national governments.
There will be automatic sanctions against those countries that overspend.
Countries can be refered to the European Court of Justice. Monetary union
has moved towards being also a fiscal union.
As a result of the late-night negotiations, there is now a two-speed Europe.
French President Nicolas Sarkozy accepted that. He said it was "the
responsibility of those who opted out of the single currency". He means it
was their fault not their repsonsibility.
But that implies
that the Euro has been a huge success; not a bomb.
Europe will now have two categories of membership as Europe's leaders failed
to agree changes to the existing EU treaties.
The main obstacle to treaty change was Britain. Never has the UK been more
isolated in Europe and PM Cameron has angered many European leaders. In
their view he used his veto at a time of Europe's hour of need.
If there was to be a treaty change, the Prime Minister wanted exemptions
from some financial regulations but Germany and France would not budge.
Cameron had demanded that:
• Any transfer of power from a national regulator to an EU regulator on
financial services would be subject to a veto.
• Banks should face a higher capital requirement.
• The European Banking Authority should remain in London. There were
suggestions that it might be consolidated in the European Security and
Markets Authority in Paris.
• The European Central Bank be rebuffed in its attempts to rule that
euro-denominated transactions take place within the eurozone.
French PM
Sarkovsky rejected the demands outright; basically leaving Cameron no where
to go.
Cameron appears to
be protecting the very bankers that due to their lack of regulation created
the financial crisis in the first place. The UK needs financial regulation.
But it does not want the EU's regulations and oversight. It wants to do it
in its own way.
The arguments are not yet over. Without a full EU agreement changes will
have to be agreed by inter-governmental treaties. The UK will demand a
seat at the table for any EU implemented changes. Messy.
Almost more
worryingly the EU seems to be ignoring debt issues, the absence of growth in
Europe, and the widening gap between European economies.
Will a commitment
to budgetary discipline frees up the European Central Bank to act more
aggressively in the markets and so lower the borrowing costs of troubled
countries like Italy and Spain. The ECB has never been fleet of foot.
So what next:
Well, if the
eurozone collapses Britain may find others rallying to its vision.
In the UK there
are already many who argue that if Britain is so marginalised it might as
well go further and decide whether it wants to stay in the European Union.
The cry for a fundamental re-think of Britain's relationship with Europe
will not be stifled.
A good walk spoiled
9
December 2011
This week is the
so called Dubai World Championship. It is a golf tournament. For the sixty
leading players on the European Golf Tour. Not the Asian tour, the Japanese
Tour or the USA tour. The 60 golfers include 49 Europeans, 8 South Africans
and one each from Chile, Australia and Korea - except that the Korean
withdrew after five holes with a bad neck!
So the Dubai World
Championship is to Golf what the World Series is to Baseball.
As for the
golfers, what a bunch of spoiled prima donnas they are. They happen to be
lucky enough to possess the talent and have had the opportunity to make a
pastime into a career.
They are doing
what many of us would love to be able to do.
Jetting from
country to country, top hotels, chauffeur driven, even a servant to carry
and clean their clubs, tell them where to hit the ball and to take the abuse
when it all goes wrong.
Find any other
sport where the professional players each have a Mr. Hudson to do the grunt
work for them?
Golf tournaments
pay out huge amounts of money as prizes; many pay ridiculous sums in
appearance money. Yet they must still be profitable for the sponsors and
hosts.
Yesterday I
followed Paul Casey and Rafael Cabrera-Bello for all 18 holes. Only about 6
people followed all 18 holes and a couple of them were probably family and
friends. Casey's caddy must have the most sensitive ears since Colin
Montgomerie and can hear a sneeze at 400 yards. On one tee there is a guy
standing behind the tee with a small camera. Put the camera away says the
caddy. The spectator (and good for him) said "Its not turned on." Mr. Casey
turned to him and threatened "He said, put the camera away, mate." Now there
was nothing matey about that exchange. Aggressive and unnecessary.
Casey threw his
clubs twice; my Dad refused to play with me ever again when I did that once
at 14 years old.
Casey in
particular was a misery for all 18 holes. Grumpy, surly, reacting to the
slightest sound. Bizarrely the main noise culprits were the guys carrying
the scoreboard with that group and the teams updating the fixed scoreboards
that are around the course.
I always enjoy
people who look like they are enjoying their work. It can be a flight
attendant on Emirates, a school teacher, a golfer. If you show that you are
enjoying your work it creates a positive feeling for everyone around you.
This message has not got to the ranks of the world's professional golfers
who seem to have decided that they are better and more important than the
rest of us.
Then there are the
marshalls. Stand still they yell, long before the golfer has even reached
his ball let alone taken the usual array of practice swings. Unnecessarily
officious.
Worse is the golf
course. It is simply not spectator friendly. It is ok if you pick one place
on the course and decide that you want to stay there for the day. But to
walk around 18 holes is torture. The course is long enough from tee to green
at 7,800 yards. But spectators do not walk from tee to green. We walk on the
edges of the course; sinking with each step into the sand and the bark
mulch; in and out of trees and bushes. The course was simply not designed
for tournament golf or with spectators in mind.
Add to that the
yomp from the car park to the course. The usual shambolic access to and from
the course through the building site and the unfinished roads around the
Jumairah Golf Estate and frankly the whole game is better watched on TV.
The Ladies are in
Dubai next week. The Emirates course is accessible via the metro and the
course is much more walker friendly.
Thais test
taboos as war on royal slurs heats up
8 December 2011
Reuters
From a windowless
room in a Bangkok suburb, computer technicians scour thousands of websites,
Facebook pages and tweets night and day. Their mission: to suppress what is
regarded as one of Thailand's most heinous crimes -- insulting the monarchy.
The government calls this its "war room", part of a zero-tolerance campaign
that uses the world's most draconian lese-majeste laws to stamp out even the
faintest criticism of 84-year-old King Bhumibol Adulyadej, the world's
longest-reigning monarch.
Critics call it a "witch hunt" and few are spared if they fall foul of the
process. Sixty-one-year-old cancer sufferer Amphon Tangnoppaku, dubbed
"Uncle SMS", was jailed for 20 years last month for sending text messages
deemed to have disparaged Queen Sirikit.
The ruling prompted outrage. On Saturday, Human Rights Watch criticised the
"shocking" severity of recent penalties for lese-majeste and urged Thailand
to amend the law.
The offence is punishable by up to 15 years in prison, possibly more if
there is violation of the 2007 Computer Crimes Act, which has been used to
block more than 70,000 websites, many for lese-majeste, others for
pornography or cyber fraud.
Washington-based pro-democracy group Freedom House says the two laws give
Thai authorities "carte blanche to clamp down on any form of expression".
Some Thais had hoped Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, whose party members
are among those accused of lese-majeste, would reform the law. But she is
treading carefully, aware her opponents in the military and royalist
establishment could seize on any hint of disloyalty to the monarchy to bring
her down.
Independent analysts say the use of lese-majeste could undermine those it
was designed to protect if the backlash against the law grows.
The tough-sounding Cyber Security Operation Centre remains focused, however.
"We don't have any impressive equipment to track suspicious Internet
activity," said Nut Payongsri, an official in the vast government complex.
"In most cases, we hear about misuse via calls to our hotline. We check each
case and report them to the police."
The king is in poor health and has spent the past two years in hospital. He
made a rare public appearance in a wheelchair on Monday at celebrations to
mark his birthday.
His health and the succession are sensitive topics. Crown Prince
Vajiralongkorn has yet to command the same respect as his father, who is
seen as almost divine in the majority Buddhist country.
Lese-majeste shields the king, queen, crown prince or regent from criticism.
In the latest case, the exact content of the messages Amphon was accused of
sending is unclear -- disclosing it could also mean prison. He denied the
charges and wept in court.
Undeterred by the outcry, Information and Communications Technology ICT.L
Minister Anudit Nakorntab warned Thais they could face similar punishment if
they clicked "like" or "share" next to Facebook postings about the case that
were considered offensive to the throne.
An ICT Ministry official told Reuters that Thais who received anti-monarchy
messages by email or on their personal Facebook walls and failed to delete
them were also in violation.
"We would take them to court and prosecute them," said the official, who
asked to remain anonymous because he was not authorised to speak to the
media. "It is against the law to do such a thing and as a result, they will
be fined and jailed."
The ICT Ministry said it was in talks with Facebook to block pages hosted
outside Thailand carrying offensive content its cyber police were powerless
to block. The U.S.-based social networking site did not respond to questions
from Reuters.
Some cases are overtly political, others just bizarre, such as that of a
Swiss man jailed for spray-painting a portrait of the king because he could
not buy alcohol on the monarch's birthday under Thai law. He was pardoned
and deported after a short prison stint.
Lese-majeste complaints can be made by any citizen and, because of the
sensitivity of the allegations, police usually feel compelled to probe them.
The army filed charges of lese-majeste in May against academic Somsack
Jeamteerasakul for comments he allegedly made in a web posting about the
king's youngest daughter, Princess Chulabhorn Walailak, who is not protected
by the laws.
Chiranuch Premchaiporn, director of online newspaper Prachatai, is accused
of failing to delete anti-monarchy postings fast enough. Political activist
Chotisak Onsoong is accused of insulting the monarchy by refusing to stand
during the royal anthem that precedes movie screenings in Thailand.
Thai-born American Lerpong Wichaikhamma, also known as Joe Gordon, pleaded
guilty to lese-majeste in October after being arrested during a visit to
Thailand for having posted a web link to a Thai translation of a banned book
about the king. (See more details on his case below).
Critics of lese-majeste say it is being used as a political weapon to stifle
opponents, pointing to the huge jump in cases since the 2006 coup that
overthrew former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, Yingluck's brother, and
triggered a polarising political crisis.
Thailand's lese-majeste laws date from the start of the 20th century. Other
countries with constitutional monarchies, such as Spain and the Netherlands,
have such laws but cases are nowadays extremely rare.
David Streckfuss, a scholar who monitors lese-majeste laws, said 478 known
cases had been submitted to the Thai Criminal Court since the coup, and the
397 cases between 2006 and 2009 compared with an average four or five a year
in the preceding 15 years.
The conviction rate, Streckfuss says, is currently 94 percent.
Thailand's military, which sees protecting the crown as its top priority, is
behind a number of complaints, particularly those against members of the
pro-Thaksin "red shirt" movement, which fought troops in the street in 2009
and 2010.
Thaksin and the red shirts have been accused of republican leanings, charges
they deny. But some take issue with the punishment handed down for lese-majeste.
"In the time of absolute monarchy, the highest punishment was three years,
so how is it that now, with our constitutional monarchy, the punishment has
been increased to up to 15 years?" said Weng Tojirakarn, a red shirt leader
and parliamentarian.
The police and judiciary feel obliged to follow up accusations of lese-majeste
-- for fear of being accused of disrespect themselves -- and so the charge
has become an easy weapon for political groups to use against each other.
In the case of Thaksin, allegations against him of lese-majeste were used by
the royalist "yellow shirts" to draw supporters to huge street rallies that
helped undermine his government, and the claims were cited by the military
as one reason for the 2006 coup.
The Santiprachatham Network, a group of academics and social activists,
started a campaign against a "flawed judicial system" in the wake of
Amphon's 20-year sentence.
Some newspapers that for years were reluctant to carry stories on lese-majeste
now call for a review of the law.
"The idea that discussion of the lese-majeste law is somehow disloyal to the
monarchy is emotionally loaded but empty. The law cannot affect love of the
monarch," the Bangkok Post said in an editorial, describing the cyber war as
"futile and self-defeating".
Anand Panyarachun, a former premier and senior statesman, last week rebuked
those who had politicised the law and said ordinary citizens should not be
allowed to file complaints that undermined rather than strengthened the
monarchy.
"The harshness of the penalty should be reviewed," Anand said. "Many Thais
try to protect him, try to defend him. In actual fact the consequence is we
ourselves are doing a lot of damage to the monarchy or even to the king
himself."
Joe Gordon jailed in Thailand
8 December 2011
The sentencing of
American citizen Joe Gordon is now making international news. It received
extended coverage on BBC World News on Thursday.
The news pictures
of Joe Gordon being taken to jail in shackles and chains were desperately
sad. Joe Gordon is a Colorado car salesman. He is not a security threat; he
is not a terrorist; he has committed no heinous crime.
Gordon was jailed
for two and a half years after he admitted posting web links to a banned
biography of King Bhumibol Adulyadej.
Joe Gordon, a used car salesman from Colorado who was born in Thailand,
admitted lese-majeste, or insulting the king, at an earlier hearing.
Admitting guilt gives him he opportunity to apply for a royal pardon.
He was sentenced to five years in jail, but the judges halved the term
because of his guilty plea.
The US consul general in Thailand said the sentence was "severe".
"He was given the sentence for his right of expression," Elizabeth Pratt
told reporters. Not that Pratt is the consul general. The Ambassador,
Kristie Kenney, has been silent on this issue.
"We continue to respect the Thai monarchy but we also support the right of
expression which is internationally recognised as a human right," said
Pratt.
Activists say the lese-majeste law has become increasingly politicised, and
is used as a tool of repression rather than as a way of protecting the
monarchy.
Gordon, 55, reportedly translated parts of the widely available biography,
The King Never Smiles by Paul Handley, several years ago and posted them on
a blog while he was living in the US. Note that he did this in the USA where
the Handley book was both written and published, by Yale University Press.
He was arrested in May when he visited Thailand for medical treatment.
He initially denied the charges, but said he changed his plea to guilty
after being repeatedly refused bail. Jail conditions in Thailand are
notoriously unpleasant.
Prosecutions under
the law have increased dramatically in recent years, amid chronic political
instability. The authorities have also passed a new law, the Computer Crimes
Act, that increases their powers to tackle any perceived insults to the
monarchy on the internet or through mobile phones.
Last month a 61-year-old man was jailed for 20 years for sending four text
messages that were deemed offensive to the Thai queen.
Many Thais feel great respect for the king, but there is increasing concern
over whether restrictions on freedom of speech are damaging the monarchy
rather than protecting it.
Under the current laws there cannot be any open national debate about the
monarchy. Thais are afraid to express their views openly.
The book Gordon translated is The King Never Smiles, written by U.S.
journalist Paul Handley and published by Yale University Press. It is one of
the few publications that attempts a critical but academic look at the Thai
monarchy.
Recently, the
authorities have focused on social media, especially Facebook, as it has
become the main discussion forum for Thais who oppose the lese majeste law.
The ministry of Information and Communication Technology has set up a
hotline for those who want to report "cyber crimes" against the monarchy.
The ICT says that it has suspended more than 60,000 websites between October
and November and urged people to not click "share" or "like" on Facebook
posts that criticize the monarchy.
The big risk for the future of the Thai monarchy is that instead of
protecting the palace, the new atmosphere of fear and repression may have
the opposite effect.
EK's European network planning
7 December 2011
With its
announcement of a third daily flight to Paris Emirates Airline has made
clear that it continues to expand its core DXB - Europe sectors.
The Paris flight
is being added to the airline's growing third European departure bank around
3am at DXB. The exact schedule of the new flight is as follows:
EK071 DXB CDG 0355 0905 B77W (4 weekly increasing to 5)
EK072 CDG DXB 1110 1940 B77W (4 weekly increasing to 5)
The addition of the new Paris flight in the third European departure bank
comes after the addition of flights to Frankfurt and Manchester in that same
departure bank. LGW and LHR both have departures between 2am and 3am so the
number of Europe departures within this small bank is now up to 5 daily:
It is now likely that EK will add further destinations to this departure
bank. Any city that is already served by two daily EK flights can expect a
third to be added at a future date. Obvious candidates for such flights
include FCO, MXP, ZRH, BHX, DME and MUC.
To feed this
European departure bank EK has been building connections from Asia and
Africa that arrive within the airline's main 11pm to 1am arrivals bank. All
of these flights connect reasonably well to 3am flights to Europe as well as
the main Asian departure bank at the same time.
The 3am European flights typically leave Europe at breakfast time in the
morning and result in an evening arrival at DXB in the 7 - 8pm window. This
arrival bank has traditionally allowed for little more than some regional
connectivity. But EK is now providing additional connection options, eg EK
374 to Bangkok.
The development of Emirates' European network has rigorous and continuous.
Within the last year, the airline announced the following additional flights
within its Europe network:
Manchester - addition of 3rd daily flight
Frankfurt - addition of 3rd daily flight
Hamburg - additional of 2nd daily flight
Paris - addition of 3rd daily flight (from March 2012)
Geneva - new destination
Vienna - addition of 2nd daily flight
Amsterdam - second daily flight from 1 July 2012.
St Petersburg - new destination
Copenhagen - new destination
Dublin - new destination
Madrid and Venice are also likely to upgrade to a second daily flight. Other
additions are in the pipeline.
By the start of the Summer 2012 season, Emirates will operate up to 50 daily
departures to Europe, spread over 3 different departure banks as follows:
* morning departure bank with midnight return - 29 flights
LHR (2), LGW, MAN, GLA, NCL, BHX, FRA, MUC, DUS, HAM, CDG, NCE, ZRH, GVA,
MXP, FCO, ATH, LCA-MLA, IST, VIE, DME, VCE, PRG, MAD, AMS, LED, CPH, DUB
* afternoon departure bank with morning return - 16 flights
LHR (2), LGW, MAN, , BHX, FRA, MUC, DUS, HAM, CDG, ZRH, MXP, FCO, IST, VIE,
DME
* 3am departure with evening return - 5 flights
LHR, LGW, MAN, FRA, CDG
Over the next two years we can expect:
the addition of
new flights in the primary morning departure banks; destinations could
include - Stockholm, Brussels, Barcelona and a number of Scandinavian and
Eastern European cities are all candidates for Emirates service
the addition of secondary flights to existing destinations currently served
by just one daily flight - Amsterdam and Madrid seem the obvious candidates
for such reinforced frequencies, with a departure in the airline's afternoon
departure banks
the additional of a third flight in the 3 am departure banks as mentioned
above - Rome, Milan, Zurich, Birmingham, Moscow and Munich are candidates
Emirates service updates
7 December 2011
Emirates Summer
2012 operational changes as announced to date. Expect additional changes and
new routes to be announced throughout the winter months.
Dubai – Athens eff 01AUG12 Boeing 777-300 replaces A330-200
Dubai – Beijing eff 01MAY12 EK308/309 Boeing 777-300ER with Suites replaces
A340-500
Dubai – Copenhagen eff 01OCT12 Boeing 777-300ER with Suites replaces -200
Dubai – Dusseldorf eff 01JUN12 EK057/058 Boeing 777-300ER with Suites
replaces A340-300
Dubai – Frankfurt eff 01OCT12 EK043/044 Boeing 777-300ER with Suites
replaces A330-200
Dubai – Hong Kong 25MAR12 – 30SEP12 EK382/383 Increases from 5 weekly to 6
weekly, A330-200 operating and 01OCT12 – 27OCT12 EK382/383 Increases from 6
weekly to Daily. Boeing 777-300ER with Suites replaces A330-200
Dubai – Larnaca – Malta eff 01OCT12 Boeing 777-200 replaces A330-200
Dubai – Manchester eff 01JUN12 EK021/022 Boeing 777-300ER with Suites
replaces A330-200
Dubai – Mauritius eff 25MAR12 EK3705/3706 Day 25 operates with Boeing
777-300ER with Suites, replacing A330-200
Dubai – Munich eff 25MAR12 EK051/052 Boeing 777-300 replaces A340-300
Dubai – Paris CDG Overall service increases from 14 to 18 weekly
effective 25th March 2012:
Schedule: EK071 DXB-CDG 0355-0905 B77W
EK072 CDG-DXB 1110-1940 B77W
Days of operation: Monday, Wednesday, Friday, Sunday
Dubai – Sana’a effective 26MAR12 Planned Increase from 4 to 6 weekly, new
flights not available for reservation
Dubai – Seychelles effective 25MAR12 Increases from 11 to 13 weekly.
EK707/708 operates 6 weekly, increases from 4
Dubai – Singapore 02JUL12 – 27OCT12 EK354/355 operates with Boeing 777-300ER
with Suites on Daily basis
Dubai – Tunis eff 25MAR12 Increases from 5 weekly to Daily
Dubai – Vienna eff 25MAR12 Planned Increase from 13 to 14 weekly, new flight
not available for reservation
Dubai - Amsterdam effective 01Jul12: second daily flight:
EK149 DXB-AMS
14.55-20.00 77W
EK150 AMS-DXB
2200-06.30+1 77W
Emirates is not as green as it pretends to be
6 December 2011
In a very dubious
press release Emirates Airline has claimed that a a flight to South Africa
is part of its ongoing commitment towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
This is simple
public relations puff. The reality is rather different.
Emirates flew the
UAE Delegation to the 2011 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (COP17) in South Africa, which is taking place from 28 November – 9
December 2011.
Emirates stated
that through close coordination with air navigation providers in seven
countries between the UAE and South Africa, the airline was able to use
techniques in-air and on the ground to reduce flight emissions and save over
5 tonnes of CO2 compared to the same aircraft flying a normal flight plan.
The airline's press release advises that "this was the first flight over the
African continent for the Indian Ocean Strategic Partnership to Reduce
Emissions (INSPIRE) programme, which brings airlines, airports and air
navigation service providers together to implement a range of best practice
operational procedures to allow a ‘perfect flight.’
These flights incorporate techniques to reduce fuel consumption and
emissions, such as flying the most direct and optimum route between
departure and destination. It also includes using ground power (instead of
the aircraft’s auxiliary power unit, which burns jet fuel), minimising
on-ground delays, utilising expedient taxi and preferential runways,
conducting uninterrupted climb and descent paths."
"It was a privilege to have arrived in Durban for COP 17 on the Emirates
airline test flight which emitted less greenhouse gases by using efficient
flight paths and other techniques. UAE carriers and aerospace entities have
taken the lead in the industry by conducting such test flights under the
INSPIRE programme,” said Dr Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, the UAE Special Envoy for
Energy and Climate Change and Chief Executive Officer of Masdar.
“Although the aviation industry is only responsible for approximately 2% of
global GHG emissions, these types of initiatives remain important to curbing
climate change. UAE airlines are undertaking various programmes in this
effort, in addition to Emirates, Etihad Airways chairs the IATA Environment
Committee and is supporting R&D with the Masdar Institute in developing
aerospace biofuels using feed stock harvested in Abu Dhabi. It is the
efforts of carriers such as Emirates and Etihad, along with organizations
across the UAE, that will make a long-term positive change in international
aviation’s environmental record,” he added.
The aircraft used for the INSPIRE flight from Dubai to Durban was a Boeing
777-300ER, one of the most fuel efficient aircraft types in Emirates’ fleet.
The idea that
"Emirates inspires" with one green flight to South Africa is silly. If
Emirates has any commitment to the environment it needs to sort out the late
night arrivals into Dubai. Almost every flight arriving between 11pm and
12.30am is now kept in a holding pattern, some for up to 45 minutes - it is
not unknown to be held over the gulf, then sent out over the northern
emirates to hold again over Fujairah before commencing an approach to 30L.
Meanwhile there
are almost no departures at this time and the right (second) runway is
unused. Assume say 60 flights arrive at this time and on average each has a
20 minute hold - simplistically that is the equivalent of a single 20 hour
flight. Any savings on the SA flight are clearly not enough to compensate
for the excess holding fuel that is burned.
Part of the problem is EK's own making - because of the network hub EK keeps
adding new flights to this busy period. Part of the problem appears to be a
Dubai Airport/ATC issue - why not use both runways for arrivals. If landing
to the west on runway 30L and 30R use the L runway for arrivals from the Far
East and Africa and the right runway from flights from Europe which come in
over Sharjah and turn over Mirdiff.
Emirates hailing
its green initiatives have absolutely no credibility until arrival holds are
eliminated except in extreme weather.
When Hillary
met Suu Kyi
4 December 2011
With so much focus
on the economic mess it was easy to overlook a remarkable meeting this week.
Last week the US
secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, embraced of Aung San Suu Kyi
during her historic visit to Myanmar. Even just a year ago this would have
been unthinkable.
But how much has
really changed. Myanmar is still run by an ex-general, Thein Sein, who
likely still answers to another general, Than Shwe, the officially retired
senior junta leader. Last year's "election" was an election in name only.
The result was pre-determined.
But it is clear
that Suu Kyi, who won a Nobel Peace Prize in 1991 for her brave stand, has
moved the line from where she started, when she demanded the regime give up
power and restore her party's place after it won an overwhelming electoral
victory in 1990.
But the military
need Suu Kyi. She is the key to a gradual lifting of US sanctions on Burma's
isolated and impoverished economy. So for now Suu Kyi will be working with
herex- captors rather than defying them.
And the US meanwhile sees Myanmar as a country where it can exercise
influence in moderating Chinese regional power. The US government may be a
little too eager to usher in a new era of amity with Burma. Despite this
being the same Burmese regime that has arrested thousands of dissidents; and
killed many, Clinton still announced an initial $1.2 million in aid (in the
global scheme of things this is peanuts).
As for Suu Kyi
maybe she has accepted the need for some compromise and the west will follow
her lead; she has endured so much for so long, including the absence of her
children and the death of her husband, Michael Aris, while she was under
house arrest. Her popularity terrified the military regime; her demands gave
them only one course of action; her silence.
Ne Win, who took over in a 1962 coup, drove the economy into the ground with
his isolationist "Burmese Way to Socialism," touching off student protests
that led to troops shooting hundreds, possibly thousands, dead in 1988. Suu
Kyi denounced Ne Win and in response she was placed under house arrest on
July 20, 1989, and her telephones and visitors were cut off.
While the Generals hide behind suits, uniforms and tanks Clinton and Suu Kyi
are both seen as charismatic, intellectually brilliant and highly pragmatic
people. Maybe change has to come by degrees rather than by revolution. And
the generals may accept slower change with economic gain.
"Releasing all of
the prisoners, setting a date for the elections, and ensuring that they are
free, fair, and credible, having a really comprehensive, well-designed
effort to resolve the ethnic conflicts - those are three very big steps that
we think have to be taken before we can further engage on a range of issues
that we'd be willing to discuss," Clinton told NPR.
Suu Kyi, for her
part, spoke frankly of using U.S. leverage to get what she wants. "If we go
forward together, I am confident that there will be no turning back from the
road towards democracy," she said at a news conference with Clinton. "We are
not on that road yet, but we hope to get there as soon as possible with the
help and understanding of our friends."
This may be something of a pact with the devil but it is Myanmar's best
hope.
EK incident at
Male
3 December 2011
An Emirates Boeing
777-300, registration A6-EMR performing flight EK-653 from Colombo (Sri
Lanka) to Male (Maldives), burst a number of tyres upon landing on Male’s
runway 36 and got disabled on the runway.
The airport is currently closed due to the disabled aircraft on the runway.
There had been maintenance work on the runway two days previously.
Long delays expected at the Ibrahim Nasir International Airport (formerly
known as Male’ Int. Airport). Departing tourists are stranded at the
airport. The airport was shut down for around 5 hours. Transport Ministry
officials have announced to call airport before leaving the hotel. This is
first incident of this magnitude in this airport.
Relevant NOTAM:
A0157/11 - RWY18/36 CLSD DUE DISABLED ACFT. 02 DEC 18:34 2011 UNTIL 02 DEC
23:20 2011 ESTIMATED. CREATED: 02 DEC 18:34 2011
Still rich but no longer so calm
2 December 2011
The Economist
"The notion that
the Gulf is a haven of serenity while the rest of the Arab world burns—or
goes to the polls—is beginning to seem less plausible. In Bahrain, Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia and even the placid United Arab Emirates (UAE), people opposing
the ruling families are giving voice to dissent. The region’s rulers have
long relied on their oil wealth as a way to keep their citizens quiet but as
ripples of unrest spread, this may not work for ever.
Kuwait’s prime minister, Sheikh Nasser al-Sabah, a senior member of the
ruling family, had to step down on November 28th over allegations of
corruption. Earlier that month opposition politicians and protesters stormed
parliament, one of the few bodies in the Gulf elected on a universal
franchise, to demand his resignation.
Anger may grow again in Bahrain thanks to the government’s so far tepid
response to a report by an independent commission that examined a crackdown
earlier this year on pro-democracy protests. No one has had to resign,
despite the report’s conclusion that torture had been routine. King Hamad
replaced the head of the National Security Agency but then made him a
personal adviser. Unless the king enacts real reforms, protests are likely
to resume.
Saudi Arabia, the Gulf’s giant, has not been immune to unrest. Between
November 20th and 23rd, four men were killed in protests in the eastern,
Shia-populated city of Qatif. Footage on YouTube showed several hundred
marching protesters, a rare sight in the kingdom.
Even Abu Dhabi, the richest of the seven statelets making up the UAE, has
had to silence the voice of dissent. On November 27th five cheeky
pro-democracy bloggers who had been in prison since April charged with
“insulting” the country’s royal rulers were sentenced to terms varying from
two to three years. A day later they were pardoned by Sheikh Khalifa al-Nahyan,
the UAE’s president.
But their original demand, which so incensed the authorities, that
parliament be directly elected and given legislative power, will not be
forgotten in a hurry. Billows of the Arab spring have reached even the
Gulf."
Glocer out - rejoice!
2 December 2011
Tom Glocer has been fired as chief executive of Thomson Reuters; he will be
replaced on January 1 by Jim Smith, chief operating officer, in another
round of management upheaval at the financial and professional information
business.
The choice of Mr Smith, a Thomson veteran who ran its legal and other
professional units before being promoted this July, was seen by some
insiders as evidence that Woodbridge, the Thomson family holding company
that owns more than 55 per cent of the stock, is tightening its hold on its
largest asset.
Smith is focused
on operations; he has neither the experience or imagination to grow any
significant part of the business, so it will be the usual rounds of
cost-cutting, headcount reductions and toilet paper sheet rationing.
The consensus is
that David Thomson, chairman, and Geoffrey Beattie, the family consigliere
who runs Woodbridge, have been frustrated with the Thomson Reuters share
price, which has fallen from more than $41 to $27.22 this year.
The company indicated that the latest restructuring would incur “one-time
charges”, but gave no details, saying that its guidance for 2011 was
otherwise unchanged. Investor fears about the impact of market turmoil on
headcount at the group’s financial services clients have contributed to
pressure on the stock.
Woodbridge and Mr Glocer led a sudden shake-up of Thomson Reuters Markets in
July, sweeping out several executives, including Devin Wenig, the division’s
chief executive and a long-time ally of Mr Glocer. In September, Mr Glocer
told the Financial Times: “I’m not planning to go anywhere.”
For the most part
it is now executives associated with the former Thomson Corp, including Mr
Smith, that run the group. And the editorial operations appear to have been
taken over by new hires from within Wall Street making the news file
predominantly American.
Mr Glocer became chief executive of Reuters in 2001 and negotiated its sale
to the owner of Thomson Financial shortly before the global financial
crisis.
The official
version of Glocer's departure was announced by David Thomson as follows:
Tom will be remembered as the individual who turned around Reuters ten years
ago, led the company to growth and guided its sale to form Thomson Reuters,”
said David Thomson, chairman of Thomson Reuters. “Over the past four years,
Tom successfully directed an extensive integration, expanded our business
internationally, revitalized the Reuters news organization and championed
talent across the entire business.
The unofficial version: which I subscribe to:
"Tom will be remembered as the individual who destroyed the Reuters brand
and organisation after 150 years of undisputed leadership in international
news & financial information, led the company to ruin, and sold it off
cheaply to Thomson while rewarding himself handsomely with stock options and
generous bonuses” said former executives of the organisation that was once a
household name with an enviable reputation for innovation, integrity, and
independence."
The restructuring will leave the group’s financial and risk operations
reporting to David Craig; the legal business under Mike Suchsland; Chris
Kibarian running intellectual property and science; tax and accounting
reporting to Brian Peccarelli; and the global growth organisation led by
Shanker Ramamurthy.
“Thomson Reuters has been losing the bake-off,” said Douglas B. Taylor, the
managing director of Burton-Taylor International Consulting, a company that
tracks the financial information business. Not only have Bloomberg and, to a
smaller degree, other firms been taking customers away from Thomson Reuters,
Mr. Taylor said, but the company has also been largely unsuccessful in
attracting new clients.
Turning 40
2 December 2011
Today was the 40th
birthday of the United Arab Emirates. The date is a bit misleading; this is
the fortieth anniversary of the UAE becoming a nation. But as a people they
have been in the gulf for centuries.
But for the day -
here is a quick summary of how the UAE came into being:
The UAE is a
federation of seven emirates (equivalent to principalities), each governed
by a hereditary emir, with a single national president. The constituent
emirates are Abu Dhabi, Ajman, Dubai, Fujairah, Ras al-Khaimah, Sharjah, and
Umm al-Quwain. The capital is Abu Dhabi, which is also the state's center of
political, industrial, and cultural activities.
Prior to independence in 1971, the UAE was known as the Trucial States or
Trucial Oman, in reference to a 19th-century truce between the local
sheikhs, hereditary rulers of the territories, and the United Kingdom. The
term Pirate Coast was also used by some to refer to the emirates from the
18th to the early 20th century, owing to the preponderance of pirates
operating from emirati ports.
The UAE's political system, is based on its 1971 Constitution, which is
composed of several intricately connected governing bodies. As a federation
of seven monarchies, whose rulers retain absolute power within their
emirates, but with a UAE president, it is neither a constitutional monarchy
nor a republic. The emirs choose one of their members to be the president of
the federation, but this does not alter the monarchical character of the
government of the individual emirates.
The UAE gained its
independence after discovering that the country had oil reserves that are
ranked as the world's sixth-largest. In the early 1960s, oil was discovered
in Abu Dhabi, an event that led to quick unification calls made by UAE
sheikdoms. Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan became ruler of Abu Dhabi in 1966 and
the British started losing their oil investments and contracts to U.S. oil
companies. The British had earlier started a development office that helped
in some small developments in the emirates. The sheikhs of the emirates then
decided to form a council to coordinate matters between them and took over
the development office.
In 1968, the United Kingdom announced its decision, reaffirmed in March
1971, to end the treaty relationships with the seven Trucial Sheikhdoms
which had been, together with Bahrain and Qatar, under British protection.
The nine attempted to form a union of Arab emirates, but by mid-1971 they
were still unable to agree on terms of union, even though the British treaty
relationship was to expire in December of that year.
Bahrain became independent in August, and Qatar in September 1971. When the
British-Trucial Sheikhdoms treaty expired on December 1, 1971, they became
fully independent. The rulers of Abu Dhabi and Dubai decided to form a union
between their two emirates independently, prepare a constitution, then call
the rulers of the other five emirates to a meeting and offer them the
opportunity to join. It was also agreed between the two that the
constitution be written by December 2, 1971. On that date, at the Dubai
Guesthouse Palace, four other emirates agreed to enter into a union called
the United Arab Emirates. Ras al-Khaimah joined later, in early 1972.
On 2 November 2004, the UAE's first president, Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Al
Nahyan, died. His eldest son, Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan, succeeded
as Emir of Abu Dhabi. In accordance with the constitution, the UAE's Supreme
Council of Rulers elected Khalifa as president. Sheikh Mohammad bin Zayed Al
Nahyan succeeded Khalifa as Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi. In January 2006,
Sheikh Maktoum bin Rashid Al Maktoum, the prime minister of the UAE and the
ruler of Dubai, died, and the crown prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al
Maktoum assumed both roles
In 2010, the UAE's population was estimated at 8,264,070, of which less than
20% were UAE nationals or Emiratis. The majority of the population are
expatriates; they have no citizenship status and remain in the UAE on short
work/residence visas. The country's net migration rate stands at 21.71, the
world's highest.
23% of the
population are non-Emirati Arabs and Iranians and the majority of the
population, about 50%, is from India. Approximately 1.75 million Indian
nationals reside in the UAE, making them the single largest expatriate
community in the country. However, by 2020 emiratis are projected to form
just 10% of the population. There is also a growing presence of Europeans
especially in multi-cultural cities such as Dubai. Those from other parts of
Asia (including the Philippines, Iran or Sri Lanka) comprised up to 1
million people. The rest of the population were from other Arab states.
Dubai airport expansion delayed to 2013
1 December 2011
The Gulf News
happily reports that construction workers at Dubai International Airport are
scrambling to provide the airport infrastructure necessary to support
Emirates' relentless expansion.
The paper says that by 2013, Emirates should have the world's first terminal
concourse used exclusively for getting passengers on and off A380
superjumbos.
The trouble is
that the building was originally scheduled for a 2012 opening - the Gulf
News neither questions or explains the delay.
Emirates has 162 aircraft, and a further 239 on order, and its president Tim
Clark says that one of his main challenges is trying to ensure that the
airport's hub infrastructure can cope with the airline's fleet expansion.
"The logistical pressures we face at the hub, that's quite a big problem for
us to manage," Clark said.
The timetable for completion of Dubai World Central — which will supposedly
be the world's largest passenger airport — has been pushed back from early
in the next decade to 2030....this is also a date the seems to slip on a
regular basis.
Dubai World Central — which opened to cargo carriers last year — will be
developed with cash generated from Dubai International airport's operations.
Emirates was originally meant to move from Dubai International to Dubai
World Central by 2017, but this is now not expected to happen until 2025 or
later says the Gulf News. If the airport is not open until 2013 assume that
is the when the moving date will be.
All of which means Emirates' fleet could be capped at 260 until 2025,
because that is the maximum number of aircraft Clark thinks an expanded
Dubai International can support.
He sees a business case for Emirates having 400 aircraft, but says this is
only likely to be possible at Dubai World Central.
At the Dubai Airshow this month, it also became apparent that Emirates is
facing constraints in its choice of aircraft.
Emirates unveiled plans to buy 50 Boeing 777-300 ER long-haul aircraft, with
deliveries starting in 2015. But this was largely to fill in fleet gaps as
the launch of Airbus' planned A350-1000 — has been delayed until 2017.
|
| |
|